what's up guys we are back with a Full Slate of MLB action here on Monday September 2nd Sunday went pretty okay I guess for a Sunday it was a little bit weird out there guys no shocker there we had the Brewers minus 130 to start the day that was a really really messy 4 to3 Extra Inning loss there with the Brewers committing three errs and eventually losing by one run in 11 Innings that was pretty annoying but not nearly as annoying as the Yankees minus one and a half they absolutely crapped the bed there I don't know what to say about that one except for what the hell happened um yeah they got blown out 14 to7 by the Cardinals we had the Mets minus one and a half they got us the two to nothing shutout win there behind seven shutout Innings from Mana so we'll definitely take that one we had the Mariners minus 158 another very disappointing showing there from Seattle they ended up losing that one 3 to2 they just couldn't get any offense going I guess we shouldn't be shocked about that we finished the day off very very strong though guys we had the Dodgers in Arizona over nine we got there by the fourth inning thanks in large parts of Arizona having an eight run second inning we also had the under there in Sunday night baseball guys we had Atlanta against Philly under 8 and a half that ended up being a 3-2 11 inning win there for Philadelphia so 3 and three on the day I guess we'll take that for a Sunday especially after such a crazy NCA football day let's get after it here in the last few days before the NFL season opener before we jump into the games though guys hit that like button it helps me out and the channel a ton and it is a big thank you for putting out all of this free content every single day if you're new around here and haven't already subscribe to the channel for free to get notifications about our daily uploads and you can sign up for a channel membership we're working on some members perks for the channel so stay tuned for that those our videos are sponsored by stumpthespread.com we have a team of experienced cappers over there for every major sport currently covering Major League Baseball NCA football UFC and the NFL click the link in the description if you're interested in signing up and also to join our free email list to get the occasional free or premium pick straight to your inbox comment below with any bets you're looking at today and we will give you our best advice on all of them we are committed to responding to every single comment every day so let us know anything you want to say about my picks these videos or anything you see here as always our favorite picks will be in the pin comment down below now let's get into our first game of the day we've got the St Louis Cardinals taking on the Milwaukee Brewers the Cardinals come into this game guys Fresh Off have a pretty surprising Series win there against the Yankees the Cardinals actually had one of their best games it feels like all season scoring 14 runs winning 14 to7 there in game three they're 69 and 68 on the year still 11 games back of Milwaukee there in the NL Central the Cardinals are going to be hitting the ball in this one to Young Andre Pand who he's six and six this year with a 3.80 erra he's coming off of a decent maybe not Elite but decent start there against the Potter he went five and two3 innings gave up eight hits and two earned runs in that one he walked two and struck out three not an amazing start necessarily but he kept his team in the game and the Cardinals ended up winning that one 4 to3 the Cardinals are also 3 and0 over his last three starts and guys he hasn't given up more than two earned runs over any of his last four outings he's been throwing the ball great this is a very young guy 25 years old he's making a mark for himself here though right out of the gate so yeah good stuff from him so far we'll see if he can hold up here going against a pretty tough Milwaukee Brewers team he has one St started against them but it was so early on the season guys there's not a lot we can draw from that so we'll see what he does in this one I'm expecting relatively good stuff we'll also see what we get out of that Cardinal Bullpen which continues to be pretty good guys sixth in the majors right now with a 3.70 Bullpen erra so yeah not bad uh a better Bullpen that I would have thought the Cardinal would have especially in the early goings when their Bullpen was absolutely terrible so we'll see what we get out of them in this one we'll also see what's going to go on with these uh hot and cold Cardinals bats guys obviously they're coming off a game where they scored 14 runs they've scored 14 three four and four runs over their last few games so not really crazy crazy numbers except for that 14 Run game yesterday but we'll see what they do in this one over the course of this season this has not been a very good offensive team that's probably been the biggest problem for the Cardinals this year uh yeah I mean 24th in the majors in runs scored 21st in the majors in slugging percentage they are batting 247 as a team that is 13th in the MLB so you know that's not horrible they're 16th in the majors and on base percentage so there's some decent things to be said about how the offense is going right now how they're swinging the at the moment but guys this team has a pretty big mountain to climb obviously we've got a manager here very very much on the hot seat so we'll see what happens with the Cardinals in this game a very important series for them here going up against the Milwaukee Brewers who come into this game fresh off of a tough loss they had won five in a row before losing 4 to3 yesterday pretty bad uh pretty bad situation there for the Brewers I mean they had three errors in that game just not the best performance not what we expected to see from them they're 80 and 57 on the year nine game cushion there in the NL Central they're handing the ball in this game to Freddy Peralta who's 9 and S this year with a 3.70 erra his last couple of starts have been absolutely lights out guys he was very good against the Giants in his last start six Innings two hits zero runs allowed he struck out eight and walked three his start before that was at the Cardinals guys at bus Stadium he was very very good they lost that game it it wasn't his fault he went five innings give up three hits and zero runs he walked two and struck out two so not crazy crazy numbers but very very good stuff and all three of his last three starts have been very very good so honestly guys I'm expecting pretty good stuff out of Peralta here I don't think he's going to have too much trouble he does have a start against the Cardinals back in May that maybe wasn't amazing but he has a fantastic start against them back in April so I overall I think this is a pretty good spot to back Freddy Peralta in terms of the Milwaukee Brewers Bullpen they've been even better than the Cardinals guys tied for first in the major right now with a 2.80 bullpen erra so extremely positive stuff here for their pitching staff in this game expecting them to be very very good give the Cardinals all sorts of trouble out there at the plate in terms of the Milwaukee Brewers offense it's been better recently I just don't fully trust them necessarily I mean they scored 3 five4 five and six runs over the last few games uh I mean they're fifth in the majors in runs scored seventh in the majors in batting average they are a top three on base percentage team not a great slugging percentage team not a crazy amount of power numbers coming out of this squad but regardless guys I do think this is a pretty solid offense how do I expect them to do here against Palante and the Cardinals very solid uh you know Bullpen that seems a bit questionable seems tough to ask for them to score a whole ton of runs so we'll see see what we get out of them in this game and looking at the numbers guys we've got the Cardinals at plus 143 we got the Brewers at minus 162 we've got over under out there showing of eight or 7 and A2 the Cardinals 32 and 36 on the road so not a great Road team Milwaukee 40 and 25 at home pretty dominant stuff there we've actually got mixed Trends towards the over under here with St Louis being 3530 and 3 to the under at home on the road and Milwaukee being 36 22 and 7 to the over at home uh with a over under of 8 or 7 and A2 guys I'm going to be leaning towards the under in this spot I'm expecting good stuff from both starters and honestly good stuff from both bullpens so I think that's going to leave offense at a premium in this game and under eight seems very very playable to me I'm not sure if it's going to end in the pin comment but I would say it's got a chance I also think guys since we're looking at such a likely lowc scoring game that you might want to take a flyer here on the Cardinals at plus 143 if you know this is going to be a one-run game down the stretch taking the team that's plus 140 or more definitely seems reasonable but I think the better value in this game is taking that under next on the docket guys we're looking at the Chicago White Sox going on the road to take on the Baltimore Orioles the White Sox come into this game fresh off of a two to nothing shut out loss there to the Mets yeah uh the pitching staff was fine but the offense couldn't come up with anything which isn't a big shock the White Sox clearly the worst team in major league baseball right now they're going to be handing the ball to Chris flexen who's 2 and 13 this season with a 5.29 erra his last start was against the Rangers six in the third Innings nine hits three earned runs and that's again a Rangers team that's not a very good hitting team so definitely some significant concerns there we'll see how he can do against a Baltimore Orioles team that used to be one of the hardest hitting teams in Major League Baseball maybe not quite so much at the moment but we'll see what they can do we'll also see what flexon can do here guys not holding my breath for a good outing from him and not ever expecting a good outing from this Chicago White Sox bullpen a 4.97 bullpen ra has them second worst in all of Major League Baseball so definitely big concerns there for the White Sox pitching staff no shock there but even bigger concerns for this team's lack of offense guys they are dead last and run scor they are dead last on base percentage they are dead last in slugging percentage and the fact that they're hitting 220 on the season and they aren't dead last is pretty embarrassing for the Seattle Mariners who I believe are the team in last place in batting average so yeah really not expecting anything good from this offense they've sced 03 1 three and one run over their last few games pretty pathetic stuff we'll see what they can do here against the Orioles who come into this game fresh off of winning two out of three there at the Colorado Rockies corfield didn't exactly get the Baltimore bats online so that's a little bit of a concern but at 79 and 9 in the year they're only a half game back of the Yankees in the AL East the Orioles are going to be hitting the ball in this one to Corbin Burns who's 12-7 this year with a 3.23 erra his last few starts though guys have been very very problematic at the Dodgers he gave up six runs only one of them was earned but still not great there giving up two home runs start before that at home against the Houston Astros he gave up five earned runs and the start before that he got absolutely shelled by the Boston Red Sox so a little bit concerned about him in this one I know he's going up against a terrible opponent but hey man this this is not a guy that's throwing the ball extremely well at the moment so definitely question marks about him also some significant questions about this Baltimore Bullpen guys a 4.01 bullpen erra does not have me feeling very confident in them and the bats are also a scary thing for Baltimore right now guys they've scored six five five three and four runs over their last few games this is not a team that was really designed to be only scoring that amount of runs they're supposed to be an ultra Elite offensive team they're still fourth in the majors and run scored but all these numbers are trending down guys slugging percentage numbers are taking a drop uh we've seen their batting average go down we've seen their on base percentage go down like this is not a team that's looking like it's going to be playing at its best once these games matter the most and right now locked in a dog fight with the Yankees to try and get that top spot in the AL East now is not the time to be uh having a hitting slump so we'll see what they can do here against the White Sox obviously a terrible opponent looking at the numbers in this game Chicago is plus 310 the Orioles are minus 350 we've got an over under in this game of 8 and a half the white socks are 13 and 53 on the road that's MLB worst road record Baltimore is 39 and 30 at home so that's pretty reasonable in terms of the over under here guys we've got mixed Trends uh the White Sox are a slight under team on the road and Baltimore is a slight over team at home in general I would look towards under 8 and 1 half I think in this spot but really guys this is going to sound crazy but I think this is a spot we have to be considering taking a flyer on the white socks this is a greater than 3 to1 favorite uh we've got a guy on the mound for the Orioles that's not throwing the ball well I'm definitely not interested in taking Baltimore minus 2 and a half or something like that which is what you would have to do to get any sort of reasonable price there so yeah give me a small flyer on the white socks at plus 310 I do think the better value in this game might be that under but generally speaking this is going to be a staya away spot for me moving right along here we're looking at the Cleveland Guardians going on the road to take on the Kansas City Royals the Guardians come into this game fresh off of winning two out of three against the Pirates they're 78 and 59 on the year they're back up to a 3 and 1 half game cushion over the Twins and the Kansas City Royals the Guardians are going to be hitting the ball in this one to Gavin Williams he's 2-7 this year with a 4.99 erra his last start was a good one against the Royals guys he went five innings gave up three hits in two earned runs he struck out six and walked two a very very solid outing from him unfortunately for him guys Cleveland lost that game 6 to one he's been throwing the ball pretty well recently I would say three out of his last four starts have been very good so we'll see what we get out of him in this one he's a young guy I don't necessarily expect him to go super deep into games and I also you know there's consistency issues to be addressed when you've got a super young starter out there on the mound speaking of consistency though guys Cleveland has consistently been one of the best two bullpens in Major League Baseball maybe the actual best overall so I'm not worried about that Bullpen guys if we do see a short start here from Gavin Williams I fully expect that Bullpen to be able to come in and hold the door you know just keep things together they're a very very good Bullpen unit overall we'll see what they can do in this one we'll also see what we get from Cleveland at the plate that's kind of the big question for this team all the time we' seen Steven ju continue to struggle uh Jose Ramirez seems like he's stuck on 34 home runs he's not having the best time this team is down to 13th in the majors and runs scored 22nd in the majors and batting average they've scored 6 0 10 7 1 and four runs over their last few that's not exactly filling me with confidence guys definitely significant concerns about this Cleveland Guardians offense going up against the Royals here who come into this game fresh off of another loss ever since losing that last game of that four game series at Cleveland guys they have now dropped five games in a row getting swept in a Four game series by the Houston Astros the Royals 75 and 63 on the year they could have been like tied with Cleveland at this point but that is just not the way things went they're going to be Hing the ball to Michael WKA in this game he's 11- six on the year with a 3.50 erra his last start at Cleveland guys did not have a great time six Innings nine hits five earned runs allowed that was a game we saw Cleveland eventually win 7 to5 so a tough loss there for Kansas City W overall has been throwing the ball great so I was a bit surprised to see him have a questionable start although his start against Cleveland back in June he did get dinged up for seven hits he pitched out of trouble but given up seven hits you're playing with fire so we'll see what we get out of walk on this one we'll also see what we get from that Kansas City Bullpen which has been a very big question mark guys a 4.47 bullpen ER has them 25th in the major leagues so the Royals likely going to need to score quite a few runs in this game uh they've scored two two 2 three and five over the last few games absolutely not swinging the hottest bats we're seeing great things from Bobby Whit Jr still but other than that not a lot of guys impressing me in this lineup The Royals are still six in the majors in runs scored and six in the majors batting 256 as a team but yeah guys losing their first baseman and just generally speaking this team doesn't feel like they're at 100% and doesn't feel like they're playing the best right now so looking at the numbers here guys we got Cleveland at minus 102 the Royals at - 110 we've got an over under of8 and a half in this game Cleveland is 35 and 34 on the road the Royals are 41 and 28 at home that's very impressive home numbers we've also got uh some mixed Trends here for the over under Cleveland is a significant under team on the road and the Royals are actually a slight over team at home now generally speaking guys I think this is a pretty good spot for the Royals at minus 110 I'm not really sold on Gavin Williams out there I do think WKA could have a bit of a bounce back here especially getting to pitch at home we are worried about that Royals bullpen but the Guardians offense has been pretty suspect here down the stretch so yeah give me the Royals as a slight lean in this one and I also think there could be some value on that under eight and a half but overall guys I don't think this is a game that we can really be on in a meaningful way I just don't have enough trust in that Royals bullpen and yeah just a lot of unknowns it feels like in this game next on the docket guys we are looking at the Houston Astros going on the road to take on the Cincinnati Reds the Astros come into this game winners of their last five in a row courtesy of that four game sweep there of the Kansas City Royals they're going to be handing the ball to Justin Verlander in this game he's three and four this year with a 4.16 erra his last start guys not a very good one he was going up against the Phillies five innings seven hits four earned runs just not looking like the old Justin berlander I mean or I guess you could say he is looking like the old Justin berlander at 41 years old we've got Grandpa Verlander out there on the mound and it's unfortunately for him just not quite looking the same so we'll see what he can do out there if he has a short start that could put some pressure on the Houston Bullpen but I think they can handle it fourth in the majors right now with a 3.55 Bullpen erra absolutely nothing to turn your nose up at there this is a very very good bullpen in terms of their offense things have been cruising along kind kind of I mean 7 five 3 six and 10 runs scored here over this winning streak that they're on that's got to feel pretty nice I mean we've seen Alvarez do some very positive stuff he's looking like the best hitter on this team at the moment the Astros are 12th in the majors in runs scored third in the majors in batting average batting 261 is a team they're also a top five on base percentage team so generally like speaking here down the stretch I'm expecting positive stuff from the Astros offense we'll see what they can do here against the Cincinnati Reds who come into this game fresh off of a 4 to3 win against milwa in 11 Innings so they might be a little bit tired coming into this one and at 65 and 73 on the year it's not like they have much to play for they're going to be handing the ball to julan aguar in this one he's 1 and0 this season with a 6.43 erra he's going to be making his fourth start of the Season he has starts so far this year against Toronto Pittsburgh and the Oakland A's so hasn't exactly been taking on the toughest opponents he did have good starts against both Pittsburgh and Toronto but he got absolutely dismantled by the Oakland A's so going up against a team like the Houston Astros here guys I definitely have a lot of questions I think is fair to say quite a few questions uh in terms of their Bullpen guys um yeah it has been has been pretty here down the stretch The Royals are the Royals the Reds Bullpen is down to middle of the pack in the MLB with a 3.94 bullpen erra after having a nice long run there in the top 10 things not looking great for that Bullpen right now guys and that is a big concern here with 23 yearold Julian aguar out there on the mound in terms of their offense not having a good time either guys Cincinnati's struggled the plate pretty much all season long scoring 4 404 and 10 runs over their last few games they are 26th in the majors in batting average 22nd in the majors on base percentage uh Ellie de Cruz is an exciting player don't get me wrong but batting 263 on the season not really going to get me to jazzed up so looking at the numbers for this game we're looking at Houston at minus 172 the Reds at plus 144 we got an over under of 9 and a half in this game which seems a bit expensive or a bit High uh in terms of the size in this game I mean Houston is 34 and 33 on the road so not a great Road team but definitely a number that has improved drastically over the course of the Season Cincinnati's only 33 and 39 at home so that's not ideal either um in terms of the over under we've actually got Houston they are a big under team on the road they are 39 26 and 1 to the under on the road Cincinnati 35 31 and 6 to the under at home and with an over under of N9 and a half in this game guys I feel like the under is certainly live I'm a little bit worried about the Red's pitching situation though and that means makes me lean way way more towards Houston to win this game and I think they're going to win it by a significant margin taking the Astros atus one a half you can get them atus 11 minus 110 somewhere in there that is a very appealing price to me give me the Astros to win this game by at least two I think this is an excellent spot for them hey guys jumping in here with a quick ad break first of all this is a great time to sign up at stum thespread.com signing up for a premium membership gets you access to our entire team of cappers covering MLB NCA football UFC and the NFL if you just want to test out service a great way to do that is by joining our free email list which will get you the occasionally free or premium pick straight to your inbox just go ahead and click that link in the description it will take you right over to stumpthespread.com also guys just to clarify some of the questions we've been getting in the emails and in the comments I am not the MLB Capper for stumpt spread.com these YouTube picks are obviously free to everyone and are just what I am seeing out there we have an expert with nearly 15 years of experience that covers MLB and has a very strong algorithm and some very cool tools that uses to bring our premium members the best picks possible don't forget to like this video And subscribe if you're new now back to the games next on the do guys we're looking at the LA Dodgers going on the road to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks we saw the Dodgers on the bad end guys of a blowout loss there in game three of this series losing 14 to3 on Sunday at 82 and 55 in the year and with a five game cushion in the NL West I don't think the Dodgers are too worried right now they're going to be handing the ball in this game to Jack flare who comes into this one 10- six on the season with a 3.07 an erra he's been having a pretty decent time out there I mean his last start he did give up three earned runs over six Innings to the Baltimore Orioles but that's not a disaster and it looks like he's rounding into form here now that he's getting more used to being in that Dodgers uniform Clarity he's had a good season no doubt about that in terms of their Bullpen the Dodgers been very good as well a 3.56 bullpen ra has them fifth in the MLB not a bullpen that I have too big of question marks about even if they've had a bad game here or there don't really think that counts as a disaster in terms of their offense this has been one of the best offenses in Major League Baseball we've obviously seen absolutely insane stuff from motani this season Muki Betts is rounding back into form we've seen good stuff from Hernandez and Freddy Freeman this is an offense that can absolutely kill it and no shocker to see them being third in the majors in runs scored fourth and the majors getting on base at a 330 clip they're also the third highest slugging percentage team in the MLB they've scored 3 8 10 6 and six runs over their last few games they are hitting the ball well so we'll see what they can do here in game four against the Diamondbacks who come into this one after a desperately needed 14-3 win there in game three they're 77 and 60 on the year five games back of the Dodgers in the NL West they're going to be hitting the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez in this one he's 2-0 this season with a 5.06 ER his last start was not a good one against the mats he got pretty much shelled out there and yeah I mean he's got four starts under his belt this season most of them have looked pretty good but none of them have been against a team that can hit the ball anything like this Dodger Squad I'm definitely a little bit worried about Rodriguez out there on the mound the dude doesn't have terrible stuff but at 31 like I don't know I just just not really sold on this guy out there on the mound against a team like the Dodgers so if he doesn't have a great time and has to come out of the game early a lot of weight is going to fall on the shoulders of this Arizona Diamondbacks Bullpen and while they've been a bit better here down the stretch of the Season guys a 4.05 bullpen ra doesn't exactly fill me with tons of optimism especially if they're going to have to go up against a team like the Dodgers that that's a pretty big ask guys that's a pretty big ask for a mediocre Bullpen to go up against such an elite offense so we'll see what we get from the uh the Diamondbacks pitching staff in this game I've got my questions about them the offense obviously was definitely on line there in game three scoring 14 runs they've scored 14 6 9 2 and eight runs over their last few games so not uh not incredible by the Diamondback standards but not terrible either this team is the top scoring team in the MLB Arizona is second in the majors and batting average batting 261 as a squad they're the top on base percentage team in the MLB they're also top five in slugging percentage guys this is an insanely good offense probably the best offense in major league baseball right now we'll see what they can do against a good starter out there but right now no doubt about it Arizona swinging some pretty solid bats so looking at the numbers for this game we've got the Dodgers at minus 135 the Diamondbacks at plus 122 we've got an over under of 8 and a half in this one the daughters are 36 and 30 on the road the Arizona is 38 and 30 at home we've got mixed Trends here towards the over under team the over under Dodgers are actually a slight under team on the road but Arizona guys they are 4125 and two to the over at home that's pretty crazy uh looking at the the side in this game I definitely lean towards the Dodgers at minus 135 I think they've got the far better starter out there on the mound in flarity will he hold up here against Arizona hard to know but I'm expecting at least decent start from him in this game and I don't think that I can say the same thing here about Edwardo Rodriguez so definitely like the Dodgers as the side in this one but guys my favorite pick and my favorite value on this game is going to be that over one once again I don't think that we're going to see flare shut out the Diamondbacks by any stretch of the imagination I also don't think there's anywhere Edwardo Rodriguez is going to be shutting out the Dodgers so yeah getting to nine runs in this one doesn't seem like it's going to be any problem to me give me over eight and a half in this spot going in the pin comment for sure next up guys we've got the Detroit Tigers going on the road to take on the San Diego Padres the Tigers come into this game fresh off of a 4 to1 win against Boston they actually won two out of three in that Series so pretty solid stuff there at 70 and 68 on the year obviously they have a lot of work still to do but things are looking a little bit better for Detroit than I would have expected once again and this is a getting to be a pretty annoying Trend here for the Tigers we do not have a confirmed starter for them so we don't know who they're going to be putting out there on the mound to begin the game obviously guys sco ball is the main guy for the the Tigers starting pitching he's not going to be the one so not really sure if it ends up being a bullpen start obviously uh don't feel terrible about the Tigers at this point they're in the top half of the majors with a bullpen erra of 3.81 so yeah not terrible can there Bullpen string together an entire start and look good we'll have to see I don't think that's a loot to happen but I think it's not impossible this has not been a terrible Bullpen this season there have been times they looked slightly below average perhaps but not terrible the offense has been the big concern uh but you know recently they been scouching up a few runs they've scored 4 2 5 Z and three over their last few games they're 20th in the majors in runs scored 24th in the majors in batting average but they're one of the worst on base percentage teams in the majors and yeah just a little bit concerning for me to see you know like what are we going to get from this team we did see Riley green hit a two-run home run like that's cool but not one of the more high-powered offenses out there and they're going up against a tough opponent in the Padres who come into this one winners of two out of their last three at Tampa Bay they're 78 and 61 in the year five games back of the Dodgers in the NL West they're going to be giving the ball to Joe Musgrove in this one he's 4- four this season with a 4.44 ER how funny is that uh his last start was against the Cardinals it was at St Louis he went 6 in give him seven hits and three earned runs honestly guys that's been his worst start over his last five games all the other ones were very very lights out so we'll see what he can do here against the Tigers not necessarily the toughest hitting team out there generally speaking I'm expecting pretty good stuff from Musgrove in this game I'm a little bit worried about that Padre's Bullpen a 3.86 bullpen ra is obviously not ideal but it's not nearly as bad as they were early in the season so I'm not really going to be ringing alarm Bells right now I do think they'll be fine here against a weak hitting tigers Squad so looking at the numbers for the uh the Padre's offense it's been excellent this year but recently I don't know a little bit up and down they scored 4 4 13 one and three runs over their last few games uh they're sitting at seventh in the majors in runs scored but they're the top batting average team and the majors batting 265 of the squad they're also top five and on base percentage like this is not a terrible offense Manny machado's doing his thing we've seen Merill doing some good stuff recently like this is a pretty solid offense so looking at the numbers for this game we've got the Tigers at plus 164 the Padres at-1 6 we had an over runder of eight in this game Detroit is 35 and 34 on the road the Padre's are 37 and 31 at home we've actually got both team showing pretty significant Trends towards the over in this spot which is kind of interesting to me I mean Detroit 3728 and four to the over on the road and the Padre's are 4126 and one to the over at home I'm a little bit worried about Musgrove really holding down that uh Detroit offense but I think they'll get a run or two here if not off of Musgrove then probably against the uh probably against that pes's Bullpen which isn't amazing and I'm expecting the Padre's to score a bunch of runs especially if this is a bullpen start from the Tigers I just think this offense is poised for kind of a Breakout game so guys I think the best value in this one is over eight I think we're going to see plenty of offense in this one in general if you're determined to bet the side in this one I guess I would maybe take a uh a small small flyer on the Tigers at plus 164 but really not too interested in that guys very much more interested in this over next up guys we're looking at the Minnesota Twins going on the road to take on the Tampa Bay Rays the twins come into this game fresh off of winning two out of three there against Toronto in a series they desperately needed to pick up some wins uh they're three and half games back of Cleveland in the AL Central so definitely within Striking Distance they're going to be Hing the ball in this one to Simeon Woods Richardson he comes into this game five and three on the year with a 3.85 erra his last start though guys not his best work four and two3 innings three hits four earned runs against the Atlanta Braves not good stuff he had three walks in that game like just did not feel like he had his best stuff his four starts before that were all pretty solid at least his last three starts before that were all pretty good so I think there's a decent chance we see something of a bounceback performance from him in this game going up against Tampa Bay a team that he had a very good start against back in June on June 20th in fact so yeah expecting decent stuff from Simeon Woods Richardson uh in terms of their Bullpen what do we think we're going to see from the twins I mean not ideal a 4.00 bullpen ER has them right there around the middle of the pack in the majors and well that's fine it's obviously not the ideal so we'll see what we get from the twins pitching staff in this one I don't think is going to be a disaster situation the offense has been a disaster situation recently guys they've scored 4 0 2 1 and six runs over their last few games that's pretty weak stuff they're down to 11th in the majors and run scored they're still top 10 in batting average top eight in on base percentage but is this an offense that I'm scared of out there right now not really this team has to get healthy before I'm like oh they're going to be you know just killing it out there at the plate this just hasn't been the same offense here over the last I would say 10 or 15 games at least so some concerns there for sure going up against the Rays who come into this game losers of three out of their last four at 66 and 67 not exactly having the best year they're handing the ball to my twin brother Zack latel who comes into this game 5 and8 on the season with a 3.89 erra his last start was against the Houston Astros and my brother was out there killing it it was back on the 14th so he's missed a little bit of time here five innings one hit one earned run in that one he looked very very good so good to see him back on the mound now that he's done with whatever little shoulder issue that was so yeah I'm expecting decent stuff from latel in this game I'm obviously not holding my breath since it's a guy coming off the I but he did go onto the aisle throwing the ball great and his last start against Minnesota was back on the 20th of June and he was lights out in that one so expecting good stuff from latel in this one also expecting pretty good stuff from that Tampa Bay Bullpen a 3.82 bullpen erra nothing to turn your nose up at definitely in the top half of the majors there the problem for this team all season long has been their lack of offense they've scored three 11 5 2 and three runs over their last few games they're 28th in the majors in runs scored this season guys definitely big concern there 28th in slugging percentage they're in the bottom third of the majors in every major hitting category not a team that you're going to be scared of to see up there at the plate so look at the numbers for this one we got the twins at - 112 the Rays at- 102 we got over unders out there of eight or 7 and a half Minnesota 35 and 32 on the road Tampa Bay 35 and 35 at home no big trends here towards the over or the under for really either team in terms of a side in this game I think I'm leaning slightly towards Tampa Bay but without too much conviction really in that pick obviously not a team that I trust very much to score runs or anything like that the twins are not swinging the hottest bats at all I do think we're going to see Simeon Woods Richardson bounce back on the mound a little bit and all of that guys is kind of lead leading up towards me taking an under in this game if you can still find eights out there I think it's some reasonable value I don't think I'm going to be putting it in the pinned comment however but I don't think it's a terrible spot I think you could make a little bit of money on that one but overall this isn't a game that I have a ton of interest in just going to cheer on my twin brother out there and hope he has a good outing next on the docket guys we're looking at the Seattle Mariners going on the road to take on the Oakland A's Seattle comes into this game a fresh off of absolutely letting us down there against the Angels they lost 3 to2 in that one pretty annoying stuff the Mariners are 69 and 68 on the year hitting the ball to Logan Gilbert in this game who's 7- 10 on the season with a 3.09 erra his last start guys it seemed like he got back on track albe it against the Tampa Bay Rays he went six Innings give up four hits and struck out 10 in a game we somehow see Seattle manage to lose this offense is just abysmal guys the bullpen for the Mariners definitely creeping up there getting better and better a 3.80 bullpen erra nothing to turn your nose up at there it's been a pretty decent Bullpen overall just over the course of this entire season so continuing to expect good stuff from them and I continue to expect absolutely nothing from the Seattle Mariners offense guys they've scored two four 9 six and two runs over the last few games and honestly that is just like a huge huge outburst ver of offense for one of the worst offenses in Major League Baseball they are last in the MLB and team batting average they are second to last in the MLB and slugging percentage Yeah not a good team at the plate not a good team at the plate nobody that they run up there am I really scared of I mean their best power hitters only batting 204 on the season Cal rally that's not really going to get me going there bud you're going to have to pump those numbers up that batting average number just way too low so we'll see what we get from Seattle offensively in this one not expecting Miracles here as they go up against the Oakland A's who come into this game Losers of two out of their last three but at 59 and 78 on the season it's not exactly like they have a ton to play for they're going to be hitting the ball in this one to aaloo who comes into this game looking pretty good 5 and3 on the season with a 3.21 erra last time out another very very good start it was at the Reds he gave up two earned runs over six Innings of work in a game we saw Oakland win 9 to6 so very very good stuff out there from him all of his last five starts have been excellent he hasn't been taking on the toughest opponents necessarily but he's got a good start against the Dodgers in there he's got a good uh Bullpen outing against Baltimore like this dude this dude's solid this guy is very very good at 28 years old he's making a very legitimate case out there that he deserves to be a starting pitcher and not a bullpen guy so definitely expecting good stuff from him and expecting good stuff from that Oakland Bullpen a 3.77 bullpen erray has them in the top nine or 10 there in the majors so very good stuff from this uh you know just pitching staff just in general for this game uh the question for Oakland is where is the offense going to come from but they have scored four2 and nine runs over their last three games that's not terrible they've got got some solid uh Power hitters out there Brent Rooker is a monster this team is 25th in the majors in runs scored but they're almost top half of the majors in slugging percentage they are only 24th in the majors in batting average so that doesn't exactly make me excited but generally speaking guys um we've got some good stuff to say about Oakland in this matchup Seattle minus 135 in this game Oakland at plus 122 we've got an over under of 7 and a half in this one Seattle is not a good road team 28 and 39 on the road that's pretty weak stuff we also see Seattle they're an over team on the road road which is a little bit interesting I don't know if we're going to see over type of numbers from them in this game Oakland they're 33 and 35 at home so a pretty good home record for a team that's well below 500 this season in terms of the over under they are a slight under team at home not really too interesting that over under of seven and a half in this game guys but I'd be lying if I didn't tell you this I do like Oakland at plus 122 a decent amount I think they've got a good chance to win this game I love beo out there I hate that Seattle Mariners offense like they're terrible they're also playing on the road where they're not very good at all so yeah all that adds up to an Oakland A's pick at plus 122 and guys this has a very real shot to end up in the pinned comment rounding into the home stretch here guys we're looking at the Boston Red Sox going on the road to take on the New York Mets the Red Sox come into this game fresh off of losing two out of three there at Detroit things are not looking great for them at 70 and 67 on the year they're going to be hitting the ball to Brian Bellow in this one he's 12- six this season with a 4.66 ER he's coming off a great start against the Blue Jays he went eight Innings gave up two hits and zero runs while striking out nine in a game we saw Boston win three to nothing Boston is also 4- one over his last five starts the only bad one there guys against Arizona he got pretty much sheld so we'll see what he can do here going up against a Mets team that you know has had its problems has its ups and downs this season he has not faced them this year so nothing to be gleaned from that but looking at their Bullpen that is a big Achilles heel of this Boston Team guys what are they 24th in the majors are they 4.47 Bullpen erra that is absolutely not getting the job done so very worried about the bullpen feel pretty decent about Brian Bellow out there on the mound though albeit he is coming off of an extended start so that's a bit concerning we'll see what he can do we'll see what the bullpen can do here we'll also see if the Red Sox can muster up some offense guys they've scored 1 1 70 and three runs over the last few games this is supposed to be one of the best offenses in Major League Baseball at least top 10 if not better than that they are not looking like that right now guys they are eighth in the majors in run scored fifth in the majors in batting average of the season but all those numbers trending down right now as they are swinging some ice cold bats so we'll see what they can here going on the road to take on the Mets who come into this game winners of their last four in a row and five of their last six overall they did just win three in a row against the Chicago White sock they did Cover in the last game of that series for us so thank you very much Mets they're going to be handing the ball to Luis srino in this game he's N9 and six this year with a 3.96 erra his last start left a lot to be desired against the Diamondbacks guys four and two3 innings eight hits four earned runs allowed he gave up two home runs in that game just not his best St uh his starts before that though he was looking pretty good so we'll see what he can do here against the Bost and Red Sox a team that's swinging some pretty cold bats but over the course of the season has been a pretty good offense the Mets Bullpen definitely improving over the course of the season but sitting with a 4. bullpen ra doesn't really get me super excited about them and yeah I mean just not not a bullpen that I'm hyped about not really a pitching staff that I'm that excited about right now either with saino even being on the mound so we'll see what they can get from the pitchers but the offense hasn't been killing it either in a series at the White Sox they scored two five and five runs verus respectively that's not amazing given they're going against on one of the worst uh you know teams in Major League Baseball in general so definitely a lot of question marks for me there so looking at the offense for the Mets doesn't really fill me with a ton of confidence so the numbers for this game have the Red Sox as underdogs at plus 110 the Mets at minus 125 we've got an over under of eight or seven and a half showing out there Boston a great Road team they're much better away from uh Fenway they're 39 and 29 on the road the Mets are 35 and 32 at home so that does doesn't exactly fill me with optimism in terms of a side in this game I'm very legitimately considering the Red Sox at plus 110 that's a very good price here I am really worried about their Bullpen though and lots of things to be worried about for Boston here so uh looking at the over under we've got definitely Trends towards the over here Boston 38 27 and 3 to the over when playing on the road the Mets are 34 and 33 to the over at home neither team swing the hottest bats which scares me off a little bit but I do think the value in this game is over 7even and a half I think we're going to see some offense here I don't really trust either team's Bullpen very much so yeah getting over that 7 and a half definitely feels possible and while it's not going in the pin comment I do think there's some very reasonable value next on the docket we're looking at the Pittsburgh Pirates going on the road to take on the Chicago Cubs the Pirates come to this game aresh off of a 6 to1 loss there at Cleveland they've not been having a good time down the stretch they're all the way down to 63 and 73 on the year they're giving the ball to Jared Jones in this game who's 5 and seven this season with a 3.88 erra his last start was against the Cubs guys and he didn't have a good time he gave up five earned runs over four Innings of work he gave up two home runs in that game just not a very good outing in his first time back off of the I so definitely concerned about him very concerned about this Pirates Bullpen they're one of the worst bullpen in Major League Baseball a 4.64 bullpen erra pretty embarrassing stuff there and the offense not really killing it either they did have a couple of high-scoring games but yeah just over the last few 1 3 8 10 58 and four runs like those high-scoring games they lost those games they were kind of blowout games so yeah just not a lot of great things for me to say about this offense that is 22 in the majors in runs scored and 26 in the majors on base percentage they're taking on an NL Central opponent in this one the Chicago Cubs who play in some of their best ball of the Season they've won six straight games there are still nine games back of Milwaukee there in the NL Central but hey at least they're putting up a fight they're going to be giving the ball reportedly to Jameson taone in this game who got scratched yesterday and ended up making is slated to make the start in this one he's N9 and eight this year with a 3.85 ER his last start was against the Pirates six and two thirs innings eight hits four earned runs in a game we saw the Cubs win 18 to8 so we'll see if you can get that kind of run support again I'm expecting him something of a decent outing it seems like he's figuring things out although maybe not a starter that I have the most faith in I do have a good amount of faith in that Chicago Cubs Bullpen guys a 3.71 bullpen ra has them seventh in the major league so nothing wrong with that and the offense is absolutely killing it right now guys 14 57 149 and 18 runs over their last few games including a three- game sweep of these same Pirates uh playing away from Wrigley Field now they're going to be playing at Wrigley Field and yeah guys this offense just coming alive here down the stretch it's a big big boost for this Cubs team that really hasn't had a ton to feel positive about over the course of the season so looking at the numbers for this one we got the Pirates at plus 120 the Cubs atus 138 we got an over under of 7 and a half in this one Pittsburgh 31 and 37 on the road the Cubs 36 and 29 at home we've got bull Team showing small Trends towards the under in this one but I would lean more towards the over of that very tiny seven and a half number but much better than that guys I do like the Cubs atus 138 in this spot I think there's a great chance they win this game Jared Jones not throwing the ball that well coming off of the IL so will this one end up in the pin comment I don't really think so but I do think the Cubs are some decent value I just wish the price was a little bit better next up we've got the most hated team from that Sunday slate we've got the New York Yankees going on the road to take on the Texas Rangers the Yankees lost 14 to7 there getting absolutely shelled by the Cardinals pretty wild stuff but at 79 and 58 on the year they're still the top team in the AL East the Yankees are going to be hitting the ball to Garrett Cole in this game he's 5 and3 this season with a 3.86 erra his last start was at the Washington Nationals he gave up six hits and three earned runs including two home runs in that game so clearly didn't have his best stuff but generally speaking he's been throwing the ball really really well down the stretch including a very good start against the Texas Rangers albeit in a loss that the bullpen gave up he went five in a third Innings gave up six hits and only one earned run while striking out 10 so expecting good stuff from Cole in this one what do we expect from that Yankees Bullpen well I'm not going to say I expect miracles from him guys because it's been a bit problematic they're trending downwards with a 3.72 bullpen erra and the offense has been a little bit Mia I mean they are coming off of a game where they scored seven runs we got Rizzo coming back like honestly I really think this offense is poised for something of a breakout here I mean judge is obviously putting up crazy numbers this team is finally getting back to full strength this lineup is looking really really scary they're second in the majors in runs scored and second in the majors in slugging percentage this is a very very scary offense here going up against the Rangers who come into this game winners of five out of their last six they're 65 and 72 on the year handing the ball to Andrew Heeney who's 4 and 13 this season with a 3.95 erra his last couple of starts have been very very good I'll be it against the wh Soxs and the Pirates so not exactly the toughest opponents the last time he pitched against the Yankees it was at Yankee Stadium back on the 11th of August he went four two3 Innings gave up five hits four earned runs and a home run in that game so yeah a bit worried about Heeney out there in the m no doubt about that also very worried about that Rangers Bullpen that's what seventh worst in the majors or something like that not a very good Bullpen at all and not exactly like they're the hardest hitting team and all these wins they've been getting recently they were against the A's and the Chicago White Sox so definitely have to take those the big grain of salt we've seen good stuff from Cory Seager that's fun uh but they're 23rd in the majors in runs scored and 24th in the majors in slugging percentage so look at the numbers for this game the Yankees being big favorites definitely what You' expect to see the Rangers are plus 154 in this game over under of 8 and a half the Yankees a great Road team the best road team in the Major Leagues with a 42 and 27 road record they're also a slight over team on the road we see the Rangers are a huge under team at home they're 35 and 32 at home in terms of the side in this game guys I do think with Cole out there on the mound there's a great chance for the Yankees to bounce back atus 184 I don't see a ton of value and really I'm too scared to uh take them at minus one a half I think in terms of the over under of 8 and a half I would probably lean slightly towards the over but generally speaking guys I don't think this is a game that we're going to be on in a meaningful way that's all the games we have for today hit that like button for good luck on all of your 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