historian Alan liman predicts that President Joe Biden is likely to win reelection in 2024 based on his keys to the White House model which evaluates 12 factors such as economic conditions and major scandals liman's model known for its accuracy in past elections suggests that Biden's Administration meets several criteria that favor his re-election despite challenges like economic issues and political polarization liman argues that these are outweighed by broader indicators supporting Biden his analysis offers a grounded perspective on the election contrasting with the often speculative nature of predictions