DECISION YOU WILL HAVE EVER MADE. >> ALL RIGHT. LET'S BRING IN NBC'S STEVE KORNACKI NOW, JOINING US FROM THE BIG BOARD TO BREAK DOWN THE LATEST POLLING. HOW ARE THINGS LOOKING? >> YEAH, ANA. HERE'S THE NATIONAL AVERAGE. WHAT WE'VE GOT HERE IS ALL OF THE RECENT MAJOR POLLS NATIONALLY. WHAT IS THE SORT OF COMPOSITE WHEN YOU AVERAGE THEM TOGETHER. HARRIS WITH A THREE-POINT ADVANTAGE NATIONALLY OVER DONALD TRUMP. NOW, IF YOU'RE A DEMOCRAT, THE GOOD NEWS, BESIDES THE FACT THAT YOU'RE AHEAD IS THAT'S AN IMPROVEMENT FOR DEMOCRATS FROM WHERE THINGS WERE BEFORE HARRIS BECAME THE CANDIDATE. JOE BIDEN ALMOST ALL YEAR WAS TRAILING DOWN DONALD TRUMP, SO THAT'S CHANGED HARRIS AHEAD BY A FEW POINTS THERE. IF YOU'RE A REPUBLICAN, WHAT YOU CAN TAKE SOLACE FROM HERE IS THIS IS NOT UNFAMILIAR TERRITORY FOR DONALD TRUMP. TAKE A LOOK HERE AT THE LAST TWO ELECTITIONS, 2020, 2016, THE POLLING AT THIS POINT COMING OUT OF LABOR DAY, BEGINNING THE FALL RUSH. IN 2016, HILLARY CLINTON LED ON AVERAGE BY 5 POINTS, OF COURSE, DONALD TRUMP WON IN 2016. AND JOE BIDEN HAD AN EVEN BIGGER LEAD ON AVERAGE LABOR DAY 2020. DONALD TRUMP DIDN'T WIN THAT ELECTION, BUT CERTAINLY IN THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE, HE CAME THIS CLOSE TO DOING SO, ANA. TRUMP HAS RUN FROM BEHIND BEFORE CERTAINLY. >> AND WHAT KIND OF ELECTORAL COLLEGE PATHS ARE THERE, THEN? >> LET'S TAKE A LOOK. PARDON ME, I LOVE THE ROAD TO 270 MAP. NOW WE GET TO USE IT PRETTY MUCH EVERY DAY BETWEEN NOW AND THE ELECTION. SEVEN KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES, THEY ARE IN GRAY HERE. SIX OF THESE SEVEN STATES WENT FROM JOE BIDEN IN 2020. DEMOCRATS ARE TRYING TO HOLD ON TO THOSE. THE SEVENTH IS NORTH CAROLINA. THAT'S STATE WHERE REPUBLICANS ARE PLAYING DEFENSE ON THIS LIST. IF YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THE PATHS, THE EASIEST WILL START WITH KAMALA HARRIS, ALL OF THE STATE POLLING IS VERY TIGHT, BUT THE BEST POLLING, RELATIVELY SPEAKING, FOR HARRIS AND THE DEMOCRATS HAS BEEN IN -- TALK ABOUT THEM ALL THE TIME, THESE GREAT LAKE STATES, BIG TEN STATES, WHATEVER YOU WANT TO CALL THEM, WISCONSIN, MICHIGAN AND PENNSYLVANIA. IF HARRIS COULD WIN THOSE THREE STATES FOR THE SAKE OF ARGUMENT, TURN THEM BLUE, EXACTLY 270 ELECTORAL VOTES FOR HER. IF SHE SLIPS UP, PENNSYLVANIA IN PARTICULAR IS ONE REPUBLICANS THINK THEY HAVE A GOOD SHOT AT HERE, LET'S SAY SHE WERE TO SLIP UP AND LOST PENNSYLVANIA, PENNSYLVANIA IS THE BIGGEST OF ALL THE SWING STATES, 19 ELECTORAL VOTES, HARRIS WOULD HAVE TO COMPENSATE BY WINNING AT LEAST TWO FROM THE SUN BELT, AND FOR TRUMP'S EASIEST PATH QUICKLY