CFB Week 1 PrizePicks FREE PICK l Saturday Best Bets, Props, Predictions

hey what's going on YouTube we've got three games for you for week one of college football uh starting tomorrow so let's get into it uh if you haven't already uh we've done a lot of other games already this week uh so the Friday night games um depending on when you're watching this and then we've done Georgia and Clemson we'll do Miami um and Florida after this as well along with the Sunday and Monday night games so these are three additional games for you on Saturday uh so the first one is going to be Virginia Tech and Vanderbilt the hokes are coming off a seven and six season five and three in conference play and Vandy is 2- 10 um 0 and8 in the conference um it's going to be an interesting matchup I think Vanderbilt still has the same head coach but new coordinators they basically brought over the New Mexico State offense with them uh Diego Pavia is a pretty good quarterback um he did some things against Auburn last year he had three touchdown I think if you look at Virginia Tech everybody talks about the slow start they had last year um and where they kind of wound up but you know it it was a completely different look offense for the first month of last season you know they didn't have kirn Jon starting um so I I don't put a lot of emphasis on how they started which was pretty rough I think one and three one and four something like that um and so this is a team that's going to be dangerous uh it's a team that has a lot of Talent on the offensive side of the ball a lot of returning starters and Vanderbilt is uh still a major work in progress over the last three years they've given up on average of 35 points per game on defense um they've got a lot of unproven transfers that have come in so I mean the the signs are leaning Virginia Tech heavy as you can see here so you know 60% uh going to Virginia Tech on the money line uh if you look at the spread uh again that's 60% there and then over 48 and a half is where people are leaning um right there so you know I I like Virginia Tech big in this game uh for the picks that we're going to get into um as I said you know if you look at Virginia Tech defensively they've got two Elite Corners in uh mansor Delane and uh Dorian strong so I'm taking the unders on the Vandy receivers who you know their top receivers transferred out they've got a bunch of new guys in I think if you look at Pavia he's going to do most of the damage with his legs um and you can see here just these aren't these aren't big numbers here obviously so yeah it's somewhat dangerous to take an under 28 and a half but I I do not see how Vanderbilt is going to be able to move the ball through the air they have three offensive linemen on their team that had grades below 50 in pass blocking last season so I mean that that's beyond uh horrific so you know Virginia Tech from top to bottom on the defense I think the weakest part of their defense is probably the middle uh but they've added some nice transfers some proven transfers that should come in against uh Cedric Alexander here uh rushing wise their their leading rusher had 395 yards on the season last year I don't expect uh them to be able to move the ball with their running backs if Pavia was here i' I'd feel better taking the over there but there there was no Pavia props at all um so I do think it's going to be the Diego Pavia show for Vanderbilt if you look at Virginia Tech Basel toon over uh one half touchdown you know this guy is an absolute stud he also uh does kick returns for the hogies he had a great season last year transferring in from North Carolina 8 &t and uh he's going to be a big part of the Hoke offense so I definitely like toting there at uh over that half touchdown and then uh two more for you here so John love is the hokes kicker over seven points I like that better than the field goals we also had one and a half field goals but um I expect there to be a lot of points scored in this game uh so going to be mostly extra points maybe one field goal uh I feel really good about that over seven and you can see here so NC State that was four touchdowns you know Louisville was a hor horrible game uh for the hes last year uh but obviously some some pretty big numbers here against lesser competition which is who the hes are playing this week and then the last pick is going to be kyn Jones over uh two and a half touchdowns either passing or rushing uh so if you look at Kiron Jones I don't like taking props for him that are just passing Focus because if you look at the two-lane game last year he only had like 90 yards passing in this game but he had almost 200 yards rushing and you know multiple touchdowns so depending on how Virginia Tech is rolling they're going to stick with it whether that's through the air or on the ground they're going to be able to pretty much do whatever they want in this game in my opinion um so I think the touchdowns are going to be there so I I like the the sticking to touchdowns where you get both the value of the uh rushing and receiving and so here's the pick let me scroll up here the Virginia te Vanderbilt here's the pick that I put in so if you're subscribed to winnable you've already received this um again just my go-to $5 bet uh Skinner less than uh 28 and a half Alexander less than 34 and a half rushing yards toon basically a touchdown John love over that seven kicking points and then Kyon Jones so that's paying out I believe uh $5 bet get you $45 uh so let's move on to the next game here uh Penn State against West Virginia uh so this is in Morgantown I think if you look at these two teams I mean West Virginia had a solid year last year um Garrick green is the quarterback he's he's definitely more of a threat with his legs I think if you look at Penn State there's a lot of question marks you got like three new coordinators on the team uh you've got a a pretty fresh offensive line um you know they've moved some guys around round so you know I talent-wise Pinn State's better uh don't get me wrong but this this could be an upset like I I wouldn't be shocked if West Virginia um who I think takes this as a much more serious rivalry than Penn State you know this isn't exactly West Virginia against pit but uh the West Virginia fans uh they're venomous you know I don't know uh if how much experience you have with them but they they can be pretty brutal so um as far as the picks we're going to take I like uh Michael Haynes over that five and a half kicking points you can see here over his last five and 10 80 to 90% hit rate um you know that's a that's a field goal or three extra points basically or two field goals and he's going to hit that so I feel good about that um I like uh West Virginia to be in that you know 20 to 24 Point range on the game maybe more uh Julian Fleming under 36 and a half receiving yards so Drew Drew aor is the quarterback here for um Penn State you can see here over one and a half passing touchdowns it's at 137 he's an efficient guy he's he's not going to like light up the scoreboard with uh passing statistics as far as yards go um but I like him over that one and a half passing touchdowns but you know he's going to spread the ball around he's got that unstable offensive line I think they're going to try and run the ball a bit um so I like Julian Flemming here under that 362 yards receiving and we can take a look at the splits here over the last 10 so you know he had two pops last season Marshall and uh Michigan and you know we can hardly say there were pops like 58 was was the high so nothing uh nothing major there we should feel good about that under that 36 and a half and then some of the other picks that I like Cole Taylor over 23 and a half uh receiving yard s so he's the tight end here for West Virginia he's he's one of the kind of go-to for gar green I would say um and so like you can see consistently yeah he had some Duds in here um but consistently um getting over that 23 and a half pretty easily and let's see I think the last pick so we talked about Drew aor uh would be Garrett green over 42 and a half yards rushing like I said he's much more of a a runner than a passer um he can put up some Gody numbers on the ground and uh I expect him to do the same against Pinn State tomorrow so I I really like that over 42 and a half there from a rushing perspective and then as far as the the bet we put in again here's another $5 for 45 um depending on when you're putting this in you know prize picks is running a bunch of promotions right now so you know they may give you full value if you get uh or 1X the value if you get three out of the five or four out of the five so think it depends on you know the number of lineups that you're creating but um you know I I like this one green green devil means they're pretty confident in that pick the red one means they're less confident um in case you're wondering what those what those pictures are and then the last game we're going to talk about for right now is going to be Notre Dame Texas A&M just a really interesting game so you've got Riley Leonard who transferred over to Notre Dame from duke you've got Mike Elco who left Duke as the head coach and went to Texas A&M so you've got quarterback against old head coach um you know Notre Dame has a lot of question marks on that offensive line they lost two of their tackles uh to the NFL uh another guy had injury you know they've got six combined starts on that offensive line right now so that is a concern although A&M is is still a working progress they've got a fairly athletic but undersized defensive line um so this is going to be an interesting game it could really go either way um you know the line isn't that much plus three on the road I mean neutral site that's that's an even split most likely so um we'll see how it do I don't know how much you knew about Mike Elco but dude did a hell of a job at Duke so I'm gonna probably give the edge to Texas A&M in that game just because I think he's a better uh football coach than Marcus Freeman at this point um so here are the picks that I've got I've got Chris Mitchell over 302 yards receiving like I said they have Riley Leonard Leonard you know he's a guy who's he's kind of like Daniel Jones was a Duke like he's he's a good passer but he's definitely uh got some Wheels um but if you look at Chris Mitchell here over 30 and a half yards receiving like I mean that's more or less a lock look at that I mean those are some huge numbers um um I don't know why it's only at 30 and a half but I feel that's the one I feel best about so uh some of the others here uh Jeremiah love under 15 and a half uh yards rushing again like I said athletic defensive line A&M you've got kind of a a uh new regime there um in the offensive front with Notre Dame I think they're going to be very Riley Leonard dependent and as you can see like love is is not a guy who's you know tearing up the box score every day so I like that one as well and then uh the next one that I like here is Jaden greous the wide receiver we're gonna go under 36 and a half again he's a guy he's not going to get a ton of looks um you know had popped a one time I would say you know he'd went over 39 yards once or twice last season um so great house under 36 and a half yards Randy Bond one and a half um and also I should mention here so L5 L10 that's over the last five and 10 games that's the percent hit rate on those three those front now Randy Bond over one and a half field goals made um 70% hit rate over his last 10 you know I think uh I think this is going to be more of a defensive game I think it's going to be a field position game I think bond is going to have opportunities to hit those field goals and he's made more than one and a half in five of his last games at home so that's why I like that one there and then the last pick for this is Le'Veon Moss under 53 and a half yards rushing so uh Texas A&M lost their uh starting running back earlier in Camp and so Moss is going to split uh the carry duties um he had about 484 yards rushing last year um I do think defensively uh Notre Dame should be pretty solid and I think just with the split Back Field under that 53 and a half unless you know A&M is just able to have their way I I think that that feels like a pretty safe bet there as well so that is those picks you can see the recap here so Chris Mitchell over 30 and a half Jeremiah Love Under uh 50 and a half uh rushing yards Jaden great housee 36 and a half yards receiving Le'Veon Moss 53 and a half and then Randy Boyd one and a half field goals made okay that's a plus 100 so you're seeing the Red Devil here but like I said I I think there's reason to to feel good about um them going a little bit over that from a field goal standpoint so those are the picks uh as I mentioned before uh you can subscribe to those picks for free on winnable whenever I put them in I upload the the screenshots that you saw there so they go straight to your phone do the free plan subscribe uh if you want to do the uh VIP memberships we offer daily weekly monthly and annual and so the prices I've taken down by 75% promo I'm running until the uh end of the first week of the NFL season uh so check that out if you want you know I use a number of different tools here where you know annually you know you can see in my uh uh description below there's a link to player Prop Shop they're running an annual subscription on player props for $200 a month I use that tool or $200 a year excuse me I use that tool um I use outlier I use uh Daily Grind fantasy a couple of different subscriptions there so all in total it's about $400 a month on uh subscriptions you know and you're looking at that for for the annual where I'm going through doing the work giving you the picks so check it out um and you know i' I'd start weekly start monthly you know get a feel for it um if you want some of the uh the bigger plays but at the very least sign up for that free plan and and uh let me know how you're doing in the comments below stay tuned for the Miami Florida picks and then uh the games on Saturday and Sunday as well which are uh ussu and Boston College against Florida State talk to you guys then