Welcome to the Real clerk quick take according to exito data over the last 11 presidential Cycles Independence have comprised nearly 27% of the electorate during that 44e span only two candidates have managed to win the White House while losing the independent vote one of those candidates was George W Bush in 2000 he narrowly won independence by two points four years later Bush lost Independence to John krey by a single point while winning re-election by three points the other candidate was Barack Obama Obama easily won independ in 2008 in 2012 however he lost Independence to M Romney by five points but still powered to a four-point re-election Victory thanks to a large turnout among Democratic base voters eight years ago Donald Trump bested Hillary Clinton among independent voters by four points and won the White House despite losing the popular vote in 2020 Trump came within 40,000 votes in three Battleground States from winning the election despite losing independent voters to Biden by whopping 13 points so where did things stand in 2024 an RCP average of the current national poll data shows Trump and KLA Harris running neck and neck among independent voters separated by less than a single percentage Point keep an eye on the battle over independent voters whoever wins it will be favored to win the White House get all the latest polls at rler ping.com