2024 Election Map Based on the Latest Poll in ALL 50 STATES! (September 2024)

what's going on everyone welcome back to the show okay we have seen a flip this is big news when it comes to the presidential race and we're going to take a look at the electoral map but first I'm going to take a look at real clear politics their polling averages and this is really big news so that's what we're going to focus on in this video but first off you guys can do me a favor please like the video and if you find this information valuable and you want to see more please consider subscribing to the channel okay so let's go and take a look at real clear politics averaging and first off we'll look at the national poll now when it comes to National polls the reason why we do this is because we want to see momentum we want to see what candidate has a momentum and what candidate doesn't so in this case just looking at the blue here all you need to do is look at the blue you'll see that Harris has the momentum and Real Clear Politics has her at plus 1.8 so we have blue here that's Harris and the red that's Trump trump only has two polls that he's favored in Harris is favored in all the rest now let's take a look at some of the states because that's what that's what matters looking at the electoral map and we will be looking at that electoral map as I stated at the end of this video and I will show you this flip I'll show you this change so looking at Arizona we have Trump is leading according to the real clear politics average Trump has plus 0.5 however Harris has been able to cut this lead and that's what's important just 3 weeks ago go Trump had a large lead he was at like two points but now he's down to 0.5 which means that the momentum is on Harris's side so looking at this we have some of the latest polling The Insider poll has Trump at plus one the hill pole has Trump at plus three we have a Bloomberg poll that shows a tie and we have the Fox News poll showing Harris at plus one now I will not go through all of the polls but if you go back and check out my videos just like last week I went over some of these same polls let's take a look at Nevada when it comes to Nevada we have seen a change in Nevada real clear politics is showing it now at a tie and just a few days ago Trump was leading in Nevada so looking at some of the latest polls we have The Insider poll showing Trump at plus one we have the heel poll showing Harris at plus one we have Fox News showing Harris at plus two we have the Bloomberg poll showing Harris at plus4 now let's move to West wiconsin now Harris has been doing pretty good in Wisconsin and she continues to do well Harris is showing on Real Clear Politics average Harris has plus 1.4 the traff guardar pole shows Trump at plus one the hill pole shows Trump at plus one the Bloomberg poll shows Harris at Plus 8 and the rasm poll shows Harris at plus one let's move to Michigan looking at Michigan overall real cler politics average shows Harris at Plus plus 1.1 the traal guard poll shows a tie the hill poll shows Harris at plus three the MRA poll shows Trump at plus one the Bloomberg poll shows Harris at plus three and so you see Harris is doing pretty good in both Wisconsin and Michigan let's move forward to Pennsylvania this is where things change now we're seeing Harris according to real care politics according to their average Harris is now in the lead plus 0.5 this is the flip looking at the latest traar poll we have Trump at plus two looking at the hill pole we have a tie looking at the Bloomberg pole we have Harris at plus4 and so Harris has now flipped Pennsylvania and well I'll show you on the electoral map why this makes why this is big why this makes a big change North Carolina we have the real Clair politics average showing Trump at plus 0.6 we have The Insider poll showing Trump at plus one we have the hill poll showing Trump at plus one we have the Fox News poll showing Trump at plus one we have the Bloomberg poll showing Harris at plus two the high point poll showing at Harris at plus one and the New York Times poll showing Harris at plus two let's move to Georgia looking at Georgia we have Trump favored Real Clear Politics average plus 0.2 we have The Insider poll showing it at a tie we have the hill poll showing Harris at plus one we have the Fox News poll showing Harris at plus two we have the Bloomberg poll showing Harris at plus two and so you can see right now that Harris has the momentum and she's moving in the right direction so first let's start off with the states that are likely to vote for the Democratic candidate we have Washington we have California we have Hawaii we have New York we have one District in Maine we have Vermont we have Connecticut we have Delaware we have Maryland we have DC we have Massachusetts and we have Rhode Island now let's take a look at the states that lean towards voting for The Democratic candidate we have Oregon we have Colorado we have New Mexico we have Minnesota we have Illinois we have Virginia we have one District in Nebraska we have two electoral votes in Maine we have New Hampshire and we have New Jersey now let's take a look at the states that were likely vote for the Republican candidate we have Idaho we have Montana we we have Wyoming we have Utah we have Alaska we have North Dakota we have South Dakota we have the rest of Nebraska we have Kansas we have Oklahoma we have Missouri we have Arkansas we have Louisiana we have Mississippi we have Alabama we have Tennessee we have Kentucky we have South Carolina we have West Virginia Indiana and one District in Maine now let's look at the states that are leaning towards voting for The Republican candidate we have Iowa we have Ohio we have Florida and we have Texas and so these are the states that we think are likely are leaning towards voting for The Democratic candidate and the Republican candidate now what I want to do is I want to take a look at our electoral map how does this change things when it comes to our electoral map let's go ahead and take a look so looking at our map let's say the election was today and we don't have any talk goip States and so whoever had the advantage on Real Clear Politics that's what we're going to use and I did this just 3 days ago and we had a different outcome so let me show you what I'm talking about here when it comes to Nevada if we were looking at real cair politics Trump would win Nevada Trump would also win Arizona Trump would win Georgia and North Carolina when it comes to Harris she would win Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania now when we're looking at the electoral votes Harris would be at 270 Trump would be at 268 you only need 270 to win and so Harris would win the presidency just based on real clear politics now if you guys remember just a couple of days ago I looked at real clear politics and I showed you that Trump did have the advantage Trump would have won in the situation if we were just to look and we took out the toss-up States we were just to look at each state and said okay it's got to go to Trump or it's going to go to Harris but just a few days later now Harris has the advantage and she would win in this situation as well as when you look at 538 polling when I looked at 538 polling Harris had a a bigger lead and so what is this telling us this is telling us this bump that Harris received from the National Convention is helping her as well as she continues to Surge where Trump is staying at the same level or going down which is bad news for Trump now let's take a look I want to go right back over to our map and what I want to do is I just want to look at some of the different Pathways because we know that some of these states are toss-ups and in this situation Trump is not going to win all the toss-ups Harris is not going to win all the toss-ups it's probably going to be split amongst the two and when we're looking at some of the closest States right now Nevada would be a closed state so let's say that Harris is able to win Nevada let's say that Trump is still able to win Arizona and then let's say Harris wins North Carolina now when we're looking at the rest of the map we have Harris at 248 we have Trump at 2:30 we know Harris looks pretty strong in Wisconsin and Michigan so we'll give her both of those and she would go over the 270 that's needed so if she won Nevada and North Carolina then she would not have to win Pennsylvania this is very important although right now she's leading in Pennsylvania according to Real Clear Politics she wouldn't have to win Pennsylvania if she won Nevada and North Carolina and so I just wanted to show you that breakdown now also when it comes to Trump right now Harris has an advantage because as I showed you earlier Trump could win Nevada Arizona Georgia and he can win North Carolina and still not win the presidency so he can win all of those States and if he loses Pennsylvania he will not win and so right now Harris has that Advantage because she has the blue wall she has that blue wall and that could push her to Victory and that's the easiest pathway for her to win and now it's it's realistic because we're now we're seeing polling that is reflecting that and like I said when we're looking at Real Clear Politics average when we're looking at 538 average they're all showing that Harris has the advantage and that's really big news when it comes down to this polling and so I want to know what you guys think about this so let me know in the comments below if you like this video please give me a thumbs up please subscribe for more and I'll talk to you in the next one bye