[Music] we're going to Seattle Chris kraton and the Eastern Michigan Eagles are going to visit Jed fish and the Washington Huskies this is a 3:30 p.m. eastern time kick on the Big 10 Network and that feels really weird to say for a Washington game maybe not so much for Eastern Michigan but still Washington a 272 Point home favorite minus 115 the juice at bet us and the current total sits at 475 look at that money line plus 1,600 if you believe in the Eagles that's what I'm talking about Parker look my number here is closer to 18 but I mean my model has freaking loved G5 so far this season and some some have been great some have been not so good tell me uh tell me what your number say on this yeah um I I I like Washington here by about 26 which is the coward's answer because I'm going to be a little bit more um condensed here in the early season uh but it's hard it's hard to you know it's hard to not love Chris kraton and if I could put a random effect in my model that said uh Chris kraton to cover I think I I think I would just toss it in there explicitly um really good pressure against UMass last week from Eastern Michigan that's what I'm interested in in kind of a new Washington offense new on the offensive line new at the quarterback position new in the offensive coordinator position uh but three guys had three uh three or more pressures last week uh so obviously that is UMass but 18 total pressures is pretty dang disruptive uh in in any game against anybody so that'll be something to watch especially as we we imag imagine that Washington will still be working out the Kinks and we know Eastern Michigan is feisty I know you guys have play one of you guys has a play on this so I won't spend too long on that but that's the one stat they kind of stood out for me Eastern Michigan Trends right quick Eastern Michigan four and one against the spread their last five as a double digit Road dog Craton and that dude has got a pack of wild dogs that are going to fight you in the parking lot so covering big spreads makes a whole lot of sense for him Washington completely different team but they were three and three against the spread as a double- digit home favorite last season a massive Talent differential here right at number 35 for Washington and number 109 for Eastern Michigan Kyle Eastern Michigan's Advanced stats are always bad always bad but they always find a way to turn the games into rock fights like what what are you looking at in this one yeah Eastern Michigan you always look at them and wonder how they covered as many spreads how did they get to a bowl game how are they at this point uh one is they're always really good on special teams that makes a big difference definitely um second Chris kraton's team never quits I mean they keep going all the time uh very Scrappy defense they're not wildly talented by any means but they're never going to quit take a peek at Washington's schedule they play Washington State next week then they start the Big 10 schedule if there was a game they'd Overlook to some degree this would be the one kraton as an underdog you know I was going to say this so here we go uh 35 and 16 against the spread as an underdog dating back to 2016 um 27-9 against the spread as a road Underdog and 27-9 against the spread with an average plus 6.2 average ATS margin I think that might be as good as anybody in the country so Katon teams have been fantastic in this spot and I won't go too in depth here because I want to get to the Q&A as well but the Eastern Michigan uh quarterback spot last year Smith could not throw the ball like I mean he really could not throw the ball so I know Cole Snider had a rough last year he was good two years ago Co Snider four big time throws last week zero turnover worthy plays 2.4 seconds to throw on average like he just has to be okay for it to be a decent upgrade from last year he doesn't have to be really good I don't think this is going to be pretty uh I was hoping this would get to 28 but I'm back in Eastern Michigan here plus the points I love it I love it Kyle's going to lock in Eastern Michigan plus 27 and a half and who can blame him for siding with Chris kraton as a dog not not me my friends not me so we're locking that one in on that all right [Music] [Music]