🔴 LIVE: Tropical Storm Francine SLAMMING Louisiana & Mississippi with Heavy Winds & Flooding!

[Music] a [Music] he [Music] all righty guys good morning everybody welcome back here to another live stream it is very very early in the morning right now it is currently 4:10 a.m. eastern uh we're I decided I'm going to do a little bit of live coverage tonight I'm sure there's people out there who's like you know still wondering what's going on with the storm I I know there's a lot of people out there with storm anxiety uh and stuff like that and I I know that there's not many people that are awake to cover this um but I I'm awake uh and I am wanting to uh be here for you guys to give you all some coverage just to kind of you know maybe help ease your mind uh the storm is no longer a hurricane uh she's been downgraded to kind of a mid-level category or sorry a mid a mid-level tropical storm here sustained winds of 50 mph we're still gusting pretty heavily up there though uh maximum wind gust up to right around uh 85 miles per hour uh anyways let's see who we got here this morning we got aun what's up hope you're doing good good morning to you what's up Scott saying hi Andrew and everyone else what's up Scott hope you're doing good good morning Anna uh goodness Andrew late night yeah very much so very very much so uh what's up Devon say hello Andrew what's up man hope you're doing good what's up Haley uh what's up the purple what's up Brent uh what's up tabletop what's up rail fan have I had my coffee not no I haven't had my coffee but I have had my uh my cup of of soda here so at least it's something caffeinated uh tabletop hope everyone's doing okay with the storm Andrew models doing some weird stuff with the yellow blob um so on that actually I looked at that earlier it seems like the models might even be dropping support for it um let's let's take a quick little peek here um real quickly I know this is mostly focused on um uh the main storm but uh so there there's the there's the main storm there um Francine we work way down in time that goes through but yeah there's another potential of maybe something Brewing uh just off of the Southeastern US Coast um that's been consistent for you know quite a handful of models but it's it's still not like you know not really engraved quite yet um even then this is nothing too crazy I mean this this would be like uh probably like tropical depression status if if even so no I wouldn't let it get to you man I wouldn't let it worry you um I don't I don't think much is going to happen out of that storm to be honest with you um seems like the models are really kind of you know dropping a lot of the support for it um 12 Zulu uh ecmwf you know also shows that low pressure there but you know the pressure is down pretty high uh 1,10 m bars is not a strong low that is not a strong low at all uh let's see good morning K Jack hope you're doing good uh Anna says uh here coffee for all thank you an I appreciate that could could certainly use some coffee this morning absolutely uh let's see find it interesting cause uh the models started to lose focus on the NHC raise the odds to 30% I mean we we'll keep an eye on it of course you know if there's um anything that pops up you know we'll talk about it uh now speak of things popping up there's actually a storm that we're also watching obviously we have you know the main system that made landfall here let's go and hop to our latest uh run here that already made landfall but we have a a depression out here in the Atlantic as well um this guy's going to continue oh shoot uh this thing is going to continue moving its way uh relatively Westward uh over the next several days um as of now does not have any any threat for anybody um so it's it's not currently an issue uh for for nobody so that's good that is certainly good um here's that area we were talking about just off the coast of you know the Southeastern us 30% chance overall formation pretty low odds about a one in roughly uh roughly about a one in three shot uh then we got two other little areas over here just uh right near the or just east of the ler antillas I know you guys can't really see that but there's the ler Antilles um got two areas of 10% chance not worried about it but then then we got this guy guy uh this is tropical depression 7 uh this will be our next named storm which let me let's see here what's the what's the next storm in line um curious what's the next name because we have Francine next is uh what G name uh Gordon Gordon we got Gordon uh is this is going to be future Gordon here uh nothing like a Jimmy Dean breakfast sandwich on a stormy morning bro that sounds awesome that sounds really nice you should throw one of those in the microwave for me that would be amazing that actually man you're making me hungry now man why'd you do that why'd you do that uh anyways but yeah the storm right now like I mentioned uh sustained at 50 uh pressure's down to 988 milars uh per last update here um last update came through uh when was our last update here let's pull up our NHC it couldn't have been that long ago um see last update was at 1:00 a.m. Central so that was 2 o'l so that was about about two hours ago about two hours ago was our last update here um maximum surge I mean we're still seeing some surges out there when was that that was at 1:00 a.m. Central Time yeah that's that's the The Advisory 14a that was at uh 2: a.m. so that's that's still valid that's still valid um yeah no surges continue man surges continue out there towards like you know Golfport uh Mississippi we could be seeing you know up to four to six foot so still a pretty good amount of surges obviously that that area 5 to 10 that we had earlier has already happened that was from you know the hurricane force winds which we're we're no longer in Hurricane force winds but uh we're still gusting uh in the hurricane force in some spots so uh meanwhile we are doing that uh let's take a quick little peek here at the uh rainfall totals that's something we really didn't do uh when was this update see oh this oh this hasn't updated in a while last update was at 12:50 a.m. it's 4:16 a.m. so this is fairly outdated but wow look at that so this this was as of um what like three roughly three hours ago and and radar is estimating a good 7 in or so here let's let's go ahead and overlay our towns here if it'll even pop up that menu which it's not here let me let me restart this program this program it probably needs restarted I haven't restarted it in a while so let's go and get this rebooted up here but yeah no there's there's definitely a lot of rain that you know fell out in these regions here all right here we go all right let's go and pull up our town names we're going to turn those on yeah like New Orleans looks like they got hit pretty good look at that uh radar estimating over eight inches 7 eight inches out there in New Orleans goodness that's yeah that's a pretty pretty good amount of rainfall uh Baton Rouge much less much less um mostly around like maybe 1 or two Ines now remember this is an estimate uh this is you know this is not approximate but just based off of radar data U but yeah New Orleans definitely got hit pretty good and uh they are not really the best at handling um rainfall I might have some cameras out there if they still have power we can we can pull them up there has been a lot of power outages here um but yeah let's see if we can pull up some uh some cameras out there let's see so a lot of our heaviest precepts out there like literally in the middle like kind of northern part of the city we do got some cams available uh that one is offline yeah I think they might even be mostly out of power oh buddy yeah pretty sure a lot of New Orleans is probably without power right now that's why we're not getting like none of these are loading so yeah that's that's probably what's what's going on here here let's pull up our power outage map here we can we can see what we got going on did I see the gate breach I did not I did not um here let's oh here we go all right New Orleans oh is new wait so wait New Orleans is split up into two different counties really I honestly did not know that look at that so there's actually two counties in New Orleans let's see Orleans Parish um yeah I mean look at that 50,000 people out of 200,000 basically a good 25% of the population on the Eastern side of New Orleans is without power right now uh the western side good 68,000 out of 216,000 people without power 31% it's uh it's a relatively fresh update too 405 that was what roughly about 15 minutes ago 14 minutes ago that's wow that that that is a lot of people that is a lot of people without power now I guarantee you they're a lot worse down here 93% of people where the landfall was is without power parishes equals counties does it oh yeah they're both parishes huh yeah the core of the storm right now is over like uh Lake Ponka train if that's how you say it still not entirely too sure if that's how you say it or not once again my my pronunciation skills are not really skillful they're pretty bad they're they are pretty bad uh let's see we're going to bring up our reflectivity again is our radar just no this wait yeah no this radar is down like completely down oh shoot wait a minute something might have happened to the radar cuz yeah no it hasn't updated since I just realized yeah it hasn't updated since like 1:00 a.m. it is now 400 a.m. um let's try Jackson radar that's still a really good radar we can use man that is yeah that's that's not good at all here we're going to go and turn off those power outages we're going to get that off you pronounced it really good oh thanks appreciate the feedback there because like I said sometimes I I think I know think I think I'm saying it right and next thing you know I'm saying it wrong so I don't know it's you know got to be you can never be too careful anyways but yeah now we're getting some pretty heavy bands out by Jackson uh I think we got cams up in Jackson to too I can probably pull up for you guys let's take a quick little peek here at Jackson oh yeah we got a lot of Camas in Jackson holy cow um here I'm actually going to move this over here temporarily so we can kind of see some of those is that even loaded there we go oh yeah look at the rain curtains see those on the road there huh yeah I mean look at look at all the cameras that we got over here we have a lot of them so we're going to we're going to have a fun time but yeah but they're they're certainly getting a lot of rain let's try like Central uh let's get more into the like the populated areas let's try like this one here oh never mind that one's unavailable let's try this one over here oh oh yeah oh yeah look at that I think that's flooding look at that yeah the road is like cover in and water I wonder how much rain is falling out here let let's take a look at that I'm curious to see um storm total prip uh is this right showing less than an inch of rainfall although it does show a lot of rain uh down like toward like Golfport and stuff like that let's try Mobile radar maybe that'll get a better Golf port idea oh yeah there's some spikes maybe four or five inches out there in your Golf port certainly a that's a a whopping amount of rain that is a lot of rain man that is a lot of rain let's try uh Lake Charles radar I don't know if this can really reach out that well oh man that just sucks just sucks we're out of the we're out of radar um like I said this is the last bit of data we got from this radar this is 3 hours old um the radar went down I don't know why uh probably either a network error or power outage or some type of physical damage to the radar itself um I don't know they did they didn't leave any notes or anything like that sometimes they leave notes from the operator leaves notes saying what happened to it but uh as of now nothing now the thing is though is that that was at 1:00 a.m. um when the radar went down uh and that's yeah you can see that you know that this is this was the frame the last frame that the radar picked up here um and it was kind of in some of that heavy prip I don't know maybe maybe some strong winds or something like that hit it uh good morning Jack welcome welcome I was tracking this at the end of the day it was not lining up it might have been a radar issue yeah it is a radar issue um like I said I just don't know what's wrong with it I don't know if there's like a literal problem with the radar like a hardware issue or if it's just like Network or you know some form of software issue I I don't know um I'm going to check radar scope on my phone maybe cuz sometimes I've had it where it's just like a software glitch but here let me look pull up radar scope got a lot of marine warnings here we'll take a look at those in a minute out by Florida yeah no radar is down yep yeah she's she's not loading see that red on the bottom there that's our last bit of data so it's it's it's down man uh is Birmingham down uh let's see I don't think Birmingham is down uh no no birmingham's still up and running got a lot of bands going into Alabama right now though yeah let's take a quick little peek off the coast of Florida we got some cells now we got to watch these guys for like water spouts um you know we got to keep it out there for like toric activity and water spouts so remember that but as of now I don't really see much of uh anything like toric I'm sure these are probably worn for water spouts though yep water spouts possible winds great sorry less than 34 knots or wait 34 knots are greater sorry sorry my my brain just doesn't work very well at this hour but yeah no Lis uh Birmingham is is still up and running we're good all right I do want to take a minute to hop to satellite to show you guys something here um here let's bring up Francine here we go yeah so there you go there there's the latest satellite it it it looks very much falling apart it does not look good man so I don't know if you remember this when we were forecasting it guys but remember how I was talking about all that dry air um that would be a problem with the storm so yeah there's a lot of dry air getting into that storm right now uh it's not doing very well as you can tell um the only convection that's really happening right now are those storms that we were just looking at uh off the coast of Florida other than that is just you know light look at the smiley face Bro Look at that he's happy oh my gosh look at that so at least the storm's going out with a good mindset that is wow that is that is just heartwarming isn't it but yeah let's let's take a look here at the the uh water vapor for a minute yeah look at all that dark you see that that is all intruding dry air just getting like ripped in the storm there dude yeah that is that is wild yeah the storm's not liking that so yeah the lighter colors like the White and the gray uh that is representing like you know relatively moisture filled atmosphere um you know relatively moisture filled atmosphere uh as well as you know those storms uh and of course you have that dryer which is just low humidity throughout the atmosphere here so um saying the storm was moving 17 miles an hour kept that speed steadily from 4 to8 haven't checked it since 8 um let's see how fast she's moving 14 she uh she she she slowed down a little bit yeah she slowed slowed down a little bit um yeah we're moving Northeast at 14 miles hour 12 knots um Central load down to 988 mbars or 98 988 HPA uh Central or sorry uh winds are at 50 mph sustained so we're kind of uh right now kind of mid trop tropical storm strength she's still a tropical storm but she is uh running into numerous problems you know like I mentioned a strong wind shear too uh there's a lot of upper level winds that's kind of ripping apart that storm so it's it's really dying from three things right now um you know first of all being removed from the water removing that heat Source uh from the sea uh that is killing the storm itself not to mention a lot of dry air getting into it and a lot of upper level winds getting to the storm too a lot of wind shear so yeah see that's that's a that's a big problem that's a big problem problem um for the storm and so she's she's rapidly weakening rapidly weakening uh does the temperature increase uh tornadoes um so dup points uh have a very I don't know if you mean like temperature or do Point temperature itself I I would go more off a dupoint um higher dup points does support more fuel for thunderstorms and and tornadoes um like I said you can have a high temperature and a low due point and there will not be much moisture in the atmosphere uh which wouldn't do very well for tornadoes uh or you can have a high temperature and a high due point which would represent a lot of moisture which would get tornadoes does that make sense there there's a lot there's a lot to it uh more than just temperatures and do points of course you know uh meanwhile thermodynamics are very important for tornadoes also uh kinematics like you know vectors and you know wind uh wind shear is a really big thing for for those storms too so it's it's not as you you know probably uh it's not just rely on thermodynamics uh let's see so very thankful that the path of the storm moved away from Houston um but we have a nephew near Northshore gotcha yeah yeah no Houston Houston's good I remember the models in early stages you guys remember that how we were talking about this a couple days ago how the models had this thing potentially rolling into the Houston yeah it was a little ways away off um I I tell you what man I nailed I'm not not I just got to kind of take the credit where it's due I nailed the strength of this thing man since uh the storm was like all the way down here I was saying this thing's likely going to be a lowend category 2 upon landfall if not an upper level cat one I I I I'm proud of myself man I am proud of myself for that um regarding its track I was fairly close I I in the beginning like the first four C we did uh I said that the storm was going to make landfall somewhere in here which that wasn't too far off it made landfall over here so it was just uh maybe like 00 miles east of that of course there's you know error margin that's why we have the cone of uncertainty but I just want to say I'm I'm proud of my forecast I think I think I nailed it with the storm here definitely wasn't an easy storm to forecast either because there was a lot of variables um once again like that dry air we were talking about um but we determined that the dry air wasn't going to be a big issue in until after the storm mostly made landfall so um but yeah um wondering if I should be concerned about tornadoes today thank you for explanation no problem so yes we do need to be weather aware for tornadoes today uh let's go ahead and bring up our our day one SPC Outlook so our tornado probability today is a 5% chance so the if you're in any if you're in the green or the brown here you're under a risk for tornadoes today okay so today's tornado risk is um mostly in Alabama okay mostly Alabama but also like Panhandle Florida is under a pretty big threat too uh Panhandle Florida mostly like Central Southern Alabama bits of Western Georgia South Central Tennessee a little bit of like Northeastern Mississippi that's where the tornado threat is today that's where the tornado thread is but yeah the brown here uh it's a 5% chance of a tornado so basically uh the way this works is a radius so we'll do 25 miles so this is a 25 mile radius right so say you live somewhere say you live where that red dot is Right within 25 miles of you there's a 5% chance of a tornado dropping and in this area does not mean it'll be right over that area where you're at just somewhere within 25 miles of you there's a 5% chance of a tornado dropping uh meanwhile the area here in the green which is a lower probability uh this one is down to 2% which is as you can imagine is uh like a one in 50 uh is that right one in 50 shot but yeah so you know obviously it's very low very very low uh so yeah don't try not to stress too much over it um but yeah the the biggest threat's going to be in the brown here so that includes like Birmingham Montgomery uh let's see areas out there towards panle Florida uh shy Pensacola but it does include like Santa Rosa Beach Panama City uh does also include I believe Tallahassee too yep Tallahasse into 5% tornado risk uh Southwest Georgia towards Banbridge cluded uh let's see uh still live near Houston but our son moved out so uh now my husband and I are shopping for property Central Northwest Texas humidity is yuck here oh yeah I hear you I hear you yeah being close to that uh that Coast there it's definitely humid I I live in Florida so we get it from both sides you know we get that moisture from the golf and from the Atlantic so yeah no trust me we get it too it's pretty it can be pretty brutal sometimes now yeah West Texas would be a better option uh for humidity it's usually actually sometimes pretty dry out here um along like the region um so yeah definitely would be a good a better place for lower humidity absolutely how come the cone moved out of Missouri uh well there's still a little bit of the cone in Missouri but the storm has uh it's just going to die once it gets here the storm is literally just going to say nope I'm done as it approaches Missouri it's it's it's not doing so hot right now like I mentioned she's uh she's struggling I mean look at Satellite she's not doing very well uh you can see we have a lot of um a lot of that dry air indicated in the in the dark Grays and blacks here this is showing all that TR a just kind of digging its way into the southern part of the storm uh our low is somewhere right here um yeah somewhere actually a little more to the South more like right there um but anyways yeah the dry here though is getting really really too much to handle for the storm here I mean there's not hardly any new convection we have a little bit of storm activity developing just south of the Panhandle um you know we have those Marine warnings for water spouts out there here let's go and hop our way over to reflectivity again kind of see this line of storms here got a couple other um yeah now we'll need to watch out there for that uh do I think these will or or sorry do I think there'll be a tornado threat with that low pressure going into North and South I I don't know man I mean we'll have to see how that system holds up because you know some models don't even have that low maturing really um have that system kind of just bla out but I mean obviously you know if if you have a strong Cyclone a strong tropical or non-tropical low um tornadoes can not always but they can be a problem um but obviously you know since there's so much uncertainty with the storm that over here um yeah we can't really tell right now like I said though you know if it becomes an issue uh we will talk about it okay um that's that's just what we do here um you know we talk about everything that we need to talk about if if it's not a big problem then we don't talk about it but if it's a big issue like this storm here which which is a huge issue um of course we're going to be talking about it now if this storm develops like I said right now it's a 30% chance um I don't think it's going to do much from what I see right now there's not a lot of support but um if it does end up winding to do something then we'll talk about it we got two little areas over here and of course we got um Gordon future Gordon here um which this one's just going to mostly be a fish storm uh staying out to seea uh models in the long range actually have the storm kind of like I mean this is obiously in la la land this is really far out but maybe kind of going up further uh into the central Atlantic but yeah this one won't be an issue for us at least for not for now uh the next several days are going to be spent um yeah maybe it's like a lower maybe midlevel tropical storm um conditions aren't super conducive as of now we're not seeing any uh like hurricane concerns with that storm though like I said it wouldn't even matter you know if became if it even came a cat 5 it wouldn't even matter which it's not um cuz it's just nowhere it's it's not a problem so but like I mentioned this guy though yeah this one's still an issue uh but the core of the storm is actually right over Lake Ponka train right now uh out there towards New Orleans I'm sure they're getting some Gusty winds out there I wish I had some cameras we do have cameras but the power is out uh so it's making it a little obviously a little difficult to read those cameras um but anyways let's see here your climates like ours my dad used to live out west much drier yeah my grandpa he lives out in New Mexico which is uh very dry very dry out there um see going through long-term drought but recently got some consistent rain well yeah I that's a lot a lot of these areas down here I know you're up there in Texas but a lot of areas over here actually you know what no including you I forgot yeah including like you know your area um not it was last week last week we covered that big flooding that happened um between Louisiana and Texas there was a lot of tropical moisture out there um and of course the storm just added more for like Louisiana which is a big issue um but yeah no now you guys have definitely been kind of getting a little bit better out there um here let's actually pull up our drought monitor I'm curious to see where we're at right now uh this was updated on September 5th this is not up to dat this is uh heavily outdated date of valid September 3rd map release September 5th yeah so that obviously does not take into consideration the rain that we just got from last week but also um you know the rain we just got now uh from the storm here but yeah now that's those drop conditions are much much better than this map um let's see need rain uh we've been getting a lot of rain here in Florida we just we we're still getting our typical summertime thunderstorms but he we're getting closer to fall man we're already we're already in meteorological fall that started on the 1 of this month but like official fall uh is I believe what the 21st usually on the 21st uh 22nd 22nd that was close very close uh so yeah fall is the 22nd here of September so we're we're getting there we're we're getting there we're about 10 days away till fall honestly I'm ready for it I'm ready for things to cool down a bit it it's been pretty hot this year in Florida I mean we've had like some really hot days lately it hasn't been as bad I mean I've been getting like temperatures in the '90s like the lower 90s and stuff like that uh it was earlier like you know August uh it was um actually like July uh July it was like upper 90s uh with like 70% humidity was pretty bad it pretty bad we had like 80 degree du points which was something else um like 85 degree points I I recorded it is it was pretty wild it's it's pretty brutal sometimes but yeah I am ready for things to to cool down a bit um and the thing is though as we roll in the fall uh obviously at this point in time we're at Peak hurricane season we going to start rolling down the ladder here uh for hurricane season but we still got a couple months so you know stuff's not going to end here we still the waters are still very much warm and very much you know capable of producing uh tropical Cyclones for the next several months but um you know the uh based off of the activity chart for this time of the year we are at Peak right now and we're starting to go down the ladder but uh but also on top of that too uh is the fact that we're going to be rolling into uh what we call Second Spring which is uh which introduces cooler air back into the country so like I mentioned you know the whole country's been heated up from summertime um and so what's going to end up happening is that cooler air is going to start coming down from the north uh and that cooler air is going to interact with the uh the warm air that's already in our atmosphere it's not as potent as spring but uh we can definitely get some severe weather events out of it um in which yeah we will likely see a lot of that this year we'll have to see how that plays out but um you know but just know that you know severe weather second severe weather season is is ahead of us so we'll need to be watching and of course you know before you know it we'll start be yeah really before you know we'll start tracking snowstorms I mean um October I believe is when they start really kind of popping up here towards like the Pacific Northwest and so of those upper elevations um and of course November they they go a little bit more further to the East and to the South uh then of course December we start getting some of the activity up there towards like the mid West and and of course January more further down here towards like the Plains and you know the Ohio Valley Northeast of course and and so on but you know we're still a little ways away from that so we'll get to it I I really do need to make my winter forecast video I have not um I have not made it yet which I really need to I mean I'm already a pass du but we'll I I'll work on that soon for you guys I need to make the graphics there's a lot of work that goes into those videos it's crazy dude it it takes me at least two days to make uh cuz I got to sit there and make every slide I got to make every graphic I got to forast it I got to actually you know really put a lot of thought into it um you know current observations past historical uh data um you know just a lot of stuff that involved into it and I got to analyze all that I got to make maps that fit that um and then I got to record the video and do many takes on that I mean recording a video itself takes a good full four hours four to six hours uh a winter forecast video can sometimes take longer but anyways uh how long do I plan on being live I'm not sure man just kind of taking it minute by minute but yeah but you know like I said there's there's a lot that goes into those but I do really need to get that out cuz um you know at this point in time we are we are fairly um you know we we we we fairly much uh do understand uh what this winter could look like and and and something I can actually do here um really quickly I'm going to give you guys a little bit of you guys are who's in here right now you guys are in for a special treat cuz I'm going to give you guys a a little bit of a a preview okay A little bit of a preview of what we could see this year um first of all I do need to bring up our uh map here here we go but let's go ahead and give yall a little little preview here for the season I know it's very much off topic to the tropics but you know we're hanging out here it's late um okay so here's our model predictions it honestly looks like so December January February that's like the heart of Winter here uh our average is right around low linia but more towards neutral conditions so let me show you um what a neutral winter pattern would look like there's a lot of a lot of M Maps here so typically what that would do is that that would make the uh North pretty cold so it like I said it looks like we're going to have a neutral pattern so this is a very well a very good potential possibility for the season uh really cold in the Northeast in the Ohio Valley in the Northern Plains uh more wet down towards the South more precipitation more more moisture subtropical jet goes over uh Mexico into the southeast so we get a lot of precipitation in these regions here a bit more warmer air because of that too uh Pacific jet stream you know just you could could definitely spark up some uh decent precipitation up there in the Pacific Northwest but uh but yeah a lot cooler you know the jet stream bringing down maybe some more uh you know some more cooler air and and the thing is is that this pattern would mean maybe a lot of snow for these areas cuz you got to think your tropical jet bringing all that moisture uh in with that cooler air coming down those two converge you're getting moisture and cold air boom that's that's that's big time snowmaker so that that would be a big issue for like the Northeast I think this year um just want to go ahead and you know look at that uh and then the other option was a linia so it's it's likely we're going to be in neutral status uh if not linia very weak linia as of now um let's see here um let me pull up the the linia winter pattern here uh if it'll load here we go all right so typically uh during a lania um which I think we're probably going to be more likely towards neutral oh this is very small wow that is really low resolution but we'll make it work uh so the south is pretty dry typically during that point which is the opposite of what you know the the neutral condition was expected um still cooler across the north so I I really do think the north regardless is going to be very cold this year uh you know a lot of potential polar vortex activity up there towards the north um a lot more precipitation across the Ohio Valley with that cooler air coming down there certainly could be some pretty big snowstorms up in the Ohio Valley there too uh meanwhile maybe a little bit less more drier more warmer conditions down in the Southeast which would you know kind of limit our snowfall for areas like you know the the Carolinas and like Tennessee Mississippi those regions there would probably kind of um not really see a whole lot uh the Pacific Northwest we get a lot of precipitation though uh from the main jet stream uh coming down so you know maybe some more snowfall and and and stuff like that so anyways but yeah that's just a little bit of a a winter uh discussion with you guys that's our first one I've done this year so um you know if you guys are watching this right now you are a lucky few people who got a an early look at uh our our Winter forecast here so yeah I'm going to need to do like fullon uh more research that's just based off of simple simplistic um Maps there I need to do a lot more research like um you know North Atlantic oscillations both uh that pacific oscillation there's a lot of things I need to get into uh historical events and you know so I'll work on that soon I'll work on that soon um is Tornado Alley shifting away from Missouri um you know people people say that it it's shifting uh I I do believe it is I mean but it's just nature I mean it it's never consistent it's always moving it's always changing um I don't know honestly I I don't know what I what my input is on that to be honest with you I just like I said nature just changes naturally um you know some might say it's shifting uh While others may not I mean it's things are changing I will say that yes there is a lot of changes in our weather uh the patterns are very um not much in a pattern if that makes sense they're they're very scattered they're very much all over the place so yeah um let's see here ready for fall to yeah no me me as well I I'm definitely ready for fall it's been it's been a I feel like it's been a long summer this year it's been like it's been it's been a long summer I'm ready for for fall time for sure um but anyways uh y'all got any questions uh regarding the system here um I just wanted to kind of go live with you guys for a little bit uh probably not going to be live too much longer like I said this is just kind of a quick little late update here for you guys I mean um I wanted to go live to talk about the tropics and we got a little carried away with the winter weather and stuff like that so um but yeah if there's generally any questions you guys might have uh before I roll off here um feel free to let me know okay like I said we're here for you that's the main point of this channel is to help keep you guys weatherwear try to um like I said try to try to lower y'all's uh fear I know a lot of people are scared of the weather which I totally understand and that it's you're not alone that is totally normal um like I said I I know a lot of people are probably up worried about the storm here so you know that's why I wanted to go live for a little bit tonight with you guys to tell you it's all it's okay um the worst of it's done uh we still have a lot of rain though there's still is a lot of you know Gusty wind still involved but a lot of the worst of it is over with okay so keep that in mind Summer's been mild uh I think our summer here's been warmer than usual for some of it anyways for at least the beginning part of Summer it was really hot the end of summer was more mild here which has been pretty pretty nice Meow Mix what's Su dude how's Dothan Alabama uh so Dothan yeah you guys are actually in that 5% tornado R today um you're going to have to watch out for some of those bands later on um that could bring some tornado activity right now there's a pretty steep cap in effect I'm pretty sure uh which is you know really kind of preventing anything from happening but like later on to uh well later on today um here let's go and hop over to our future models we'll pull up the H Tri R here for that um see we got the we'll do the 06 Zulu here and load that up maybe fiddle maybe not yeah this oh here we go yeah so you can see as we work away later on this uh this evening you can see a lot of those cells popping up you knce that c uh the C bre you know right now it's just a bunch of normal precipitation but you know once that later once the Sun comes out the Heats up the surface those storms will start you know popping up over in these regions here so but yeah no certainly um you should be watching out for that uh let's see we're going to hop over here to uh these areas so yeah you're you're going to see a good maybe one or two Ines locally higher amounts possible but certainly keeping eye on that tornado threat we'll we'll probably try to go live later on I'm only scared of it when it tries to take me out I love a rainy day yeah me too me too um let's see is Golf Shore SL Foley Alabama in the clear uh on the best or on the beach west of Pensacola got oh yeah over here um so yeah you do have a little bit of a tornado threat today the odds of you getting a tornado is extremely low so try not to let that uh worry up I think you're good um and yeah I think a lot of the worst of it's done uh for you for that area um I mean we are still seeing a little bit of surges out there you know the surge map this is not the updated one this is the updated surge map here um yeah we are still seeing you know maybe two to four foot obviously I don't know I don't think you're on the coast there you're kind of I mean you're you're near the coast but not quite on it um I mean I don't know that for sure but U if you're on the coast uh we could still see about like two to four foot of storm surge out there so that could still be a could still be a thing um rainfall forecast uh you know maybe 2 to 4 Ines of rain this was as of 1 a.m. uh central time so this would have been like what 2 a.m. my time so this is about like three hours old so minus what you've gotten in the last 3 hours uh precipitation um but yeah no a lot of the worst of this event is is mostly over with but uh all right everybody well I'm going to go ahead and roll off here uh once again thank you all for joining just wanted to you know quickly go live with you guys for a little bit uh if you guys did enjoy it consider leaving a like hitting that subscribe button be greatly appreciated uh we'll be live later on today for some more updates but uh all righty guys thanks for joining catch youall later on and uh like I said be careful out there be safe and we will see y'all in the next one but oh hold on a minute uh is Fitzgerald Georgia in the risk um hold on a minute uh so Western Georgia we have a threat um towards like you know just west of Atlanta this little green area just a little bit of sliver of a tornado threat am I going live again today yeah likely later on today but all right guys all right y'all heading off here for real now see you later guys you guys take care be safe out there we'll see y'all in the next one see you later guys catch y'all later on peace out