NFL fans welcome back to the J all day sports show in today's episode we're going to go over my Survivor picks for the NFL week one we're less than four weeks until kickoff I'm super excited guys I'm actually deleting one of my Survivor picks from a previous video I don't like this game anymore so make sure you stick around to find out let's get into it let's get right into these games and the first thing I always like to do is check out the spreads and in week one it's a really tough week the biggest spread we're really seeing plus six and a half the Cardinals are getting and then the Patriots are getting a bunch of points too but for the most part guys there aren't huge spreads this week in week one here's another big spread plus nine for the Patriots now we're going to go through all these games Ravens Chiefs there's no way I'm touching that Packers Eagles no way Jaguars Dolphins these are games I don't like for the most part I want to go with spreads over four points I don't really like division games and you really want to check out the weather right for sure Vikings Giants no way and listen the Buffalo Bills were one of the worst teams against the run last year and the Arizona Cardinals the biggest strength of that team last year was running the football so this plus six and 1 half point line looks pretty big but in my opinion I don't like this game just for that reason reason and they also got Trey McBride the Cardinals do a very good tight end who's on the brink of being a top five top three tight end in the NFL they also added Marvin Harrison Jr and on the flip side the Buffalo Bills lost two of their stud defensive players in the secondary yes they were a little bit older and they also lost Gabe Davis and Stefan Tigs that's over like 250 targets they got to make up for this year then they're going to run a lot of 12 Personnel run the ball so this is going to be a pretty close game I think it's going to be decided by field goal either way I'm staying away from this game the Bengals are a potential pick but they got a lot of moving Parts too they lost Tyler Boyd who was a staple in that Joe Barrow offense they also lost Joe Mixon who could catch the ball out of the backfield really good runner in between the tackles but the Patriots offense is going to be pretty terrible in my opinion so I think the Bengals win this game so I like the Bengals out of my top three they're in third place right now Texans Colts no way same thing with the Steelers and Falcons that game is way too close to call Titans Bears it's a four-point spread but the Titans I think are going to be a little bit better it all depends if DeAndre Hopkins plays if DeAndre Hopkins is out he's out I think with a knee injury they said like four to six weeks he might be ready for opening day but I'm not sure if he doesn't play the Bears are in play in my opinion and then here's a game that I originally had as one of my picks the Saints ver the Panthers but the Saints lost right tackle Ryan ramek their their offensive line is trash guys stay away from this game they only have one guy on this whole offensive line above a 50 PFF grade and Chris has been banged up a lot in Camp I don't like I just don't think this offense is going to muster a lot of points and if the Panthers won I would not be surprised another game I really really like is the Seattle Seahawks at home versus the Denver Broncos is it going to be stum is it going to be B Knicks it doesn't matter in my opinion playing in Seattle is always really tough I don't think the Broncos have enough juice on defense to slow down and jiga and Tyler Lockett DK mea that offense is pretty good and jior Smith seems to be getting healthier and healthier each and every week so I do like the Seahawks they're they're my number two out of my top three Survivor picks Chargers Raiders that's a division game I don't like and here is my top pick guys there's not a lot of them this week here is my third and final and my top pick of the week for my Survivor pool it's going to be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home versus the Washington commanders yes Jaden Daniels is probably going to be a little hard to deal with but he's a rookie and look for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to force some turnovers play that really Stout defense that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are known for playing and you got veterans like Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans they know how to win games in the n NFL Todd balls is a mastermind of destroying quarterbacks who like to run outside the pocket look what the Buccaneers did to Jaylen Herz and the Eagles in the playoffs last year I can't see the commanders going on the road playing in the humidity and the heat in Tampa Bay with a new head coach a new offensive coordinator a new rookie quarterback I don't see it Tampa Bay is my pick of the week Cowboys Browns I'm not I don't like that game either Rams Lions Jets 49ers I'm staying away from all of those games guys so we're going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers number one Seattle Seahawks number two and number three is the Cincinnati Bengals you see some of the trends that I like to pick home teams right the Bengals are at home right the Seahawks are at home and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are at home no division games and I think the weather is an advantage for each and every one of these teams so that's why I'm going with those three teams as my picks for my Survivor pools in week one let me know in the comments What teams do you like for your Survivor pools don't forget to like And subscribe peace