>> ALWAYS GOOD TO REMEMBER, VOTING IS ABOUT TO BEGIN. PETER, THANK YOU. LET'S BRING IN STEVE KORNACKI TO BREAK IT DOWN. LET'S START WITH THE STATE OF THE RACE FROM A NATIONAL PERSPECTIVE. >> YEAH. HERE WE GO, SAVANNAH. THIS IS THE AVERAGE OF ALL THE POLLS OUT THERE RIGHT NOW. THE VICE PRESIDENT HAS A THREE-POINT LEAD OVER DONALD TRUMP. TWO WAYS TO LOOK AT THIS. IF YOU ARE A DEMOCRAT, OBVIOUSLY YOU ARE HAPPY YOU ARE AHEAD AND IT IS AN IMPROVEMENT FROM WHEN JOE BIDEN WAS THE CANDIDATE. HE TRAILED DONALD TRUMP ALL YEAR. BUT IF YOU ARE A REPUBLICAN, YOU CAN TAKE SOLACE IN THIS. THIS IS NOT UNFAMILIAR TERRITORY FOR DONALD TRUMP. LABOR DAY 2020, HE TRAILED JOE BIDEN BY NINE. HE ALMOST CAME BACK TO WIN THAT RACE. >> SO HARRIS HAS A TIGHTER NATIONAL MARGIN. BUT AS WE KNOW, THESE ELECTIONS ARE DETERMINED STATE BY STATE IN THESE BATTLEGROUND STATES, SO LET'S LOOK AT THE STATE OF THE RACE RIGHT NOW. >> WE WILL TALK ABOUT IT A LOT BETWEEN NOW AND NOVEMBER. BUT THE KEY HERE IS THAT SIX OF THESE SEVEN STATES ALL WENT FOR JOE BIDEN IN 2020. NORTH CAROLINA, THEY ONLY WENT FOR TRUMP. YOU SEE RIGHT NOW THE POLLING IS TIGHT IN JUST ABOUT ALL OF THEM. TRUMP AHEAD IN GEORGIA, NORTH CAROLINA. SMALL HARRIS LEADS. TAKE A LOOK AT WISCONSIN. HARRIS LEADING BY SIX. THIS IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE, THE POLLING WAS OFF IN STATES LIKE WISCONSIN IN 2020 AND 2016. IT UNDERESTIMATED TRUMP SUPPORT. WHETHER IT DOES THAT AGAIN THIS TIME AROUND, A MAJOR QUESTION. >> THAT MADE A HUGE DIFFERENCE IN THE RESULT THERE. LET'S DO MY FAVORITE MAP, THE 270. LOVE TO SEE THIS PLAY OUT. >> YEAH, MINE TOO. SO IT GOT THOSE SEVEN STATES JUST MENTIONED IN GRAY HERE, THE BATTLEGROUND STATES. TWO PERSPECTIVES HERE, IF YOU ARE HARRIS, YOUR MOST DIRECT PATH IS THIS. MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN AND PENNSYLVANIA ALL WENT FOR BIDEN. POLL THOSE AND YOU SEE RIGHT THERE HARRIS IS AT EXACTLY 270. HERE IS THE COMPLICATION FOR HERE. PENNSYLVANIA SHE DIDN'T PICK THAT STATE'S GOVERNOR AS THE RUNNING MATE. IF SHE WERE TO LOSE PENNSYLVANIA, IT IS THE LARGEST OF THESE BATTLEGROUND STATES. HER NUMBER COMES DOWN. SHE WOULD THEN NEED TO WIN TWO FROM THIS SUN BELT HERE. MEANWHILE, IF TRUMP WERE TO GET PENNSYLVANIA, IT OPENS UP THE SIMPLEST PATH FOR HIM. GET PENNSYLVANIA, HOLD CAROLINA AND THEN JUST WIN BACK GEORGIA, WHICH HE NARROWLY LOST, AND HE WOULD BE AT 270. >> STEVE, YOU ARE NOT WEARING KHAKIS. YOU ARE WEARING GRAY PANTS. ARE YOU GOING IN A NEW FASHION DIRECTION? >> YE