🔴ONGOING - HURRICANE FRANCINE LANDFALL COVERAGE - COASTAL FLOODING, HEAVY RAIN, TORNADOES

[Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] a [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] all righty welcome in everybody to the stream this is landfall coverage on Hurricane Francine and all its threats with heavy rain coastal flooding the strong um strong winds and of course the tornado threat uh we have live chasers on the ground we have live chasers on the ground we have uh Josh will be there in h as well as some other Chasers that are there in the area and we will be here live throughout landfall as we've had a lot of the rain B the big rain band here with Francine this is your F let me just draw what we have here so here is the here's Francine's eye as of right now it is kind of elliptical kind of not closed but it is looking better than it was before it is trying to close itself off it's been dealing with some dry air over the last few hours or so as well as sheer but it is definitely looking much much better it is open on this west side but it still has a pretty gnarly eyewall here on the northeast and the South sides if we go from looking like about 22 and 1 12 miles away from the coast is where the gist of that ey wall will be probably going to be more City over towards H where that eyewall comes in um of course we have some of these this is some moisture up here caused by some of the rain bands if we switch over to the Jackson at Fort Johnson and Sh Port radar you can see this is over here this is a little bit of those outer rain bands but being caused by the moisture as you see being C here's another bit of moisture causing an outer rain band it disconnected from our main system and then obviously over here we have of course our main area this is kind of like a Mist so this is a bit of a rainband right here but of course this is the first main rain band right over here over by Lafayette another main big rain band is right over here which is across these cities which are going to be getting the iron wall and then of course another it's a mix of a rain band and heavy rain going towards a light rain there and that's right over the New Orleans area so there are rain multiple rain bands with this but it is getting close and close to landfall actually looks like landfall will be occurring much sooner than we were anticipating looks like another rain band is trying to form out ahead of the eyewall we'll see how much distance it can get from said eyewall but that's going to probably have some of the stronger tropical storm force winds uh here um of course we're expecting a landfall to occur somewh between Morgan City and H probably closer by dlac and sha shavin and monut possibly um but why don't we see the recent advisory so this is from 1 p.m. the intermediate advisory tropical storm conditions are now reaching L Louisiana coast light threatening storm surge in Hurricane Forest winds expected to begin in Louisiana during the next several hours it is currently at 28.6 De North 92.1 Dees West that is about 95 miles Southwest of Morgan City at 155 miles Southwest of New Orleans 90 mph winds moving Northeast at 16 mph with a pressure of 976 Ms the Trum storm warning has been discontinued for the southwestern coast of Louisiana uh to the west of Cameron so this area right over here this does not have a trop storm warning anymore we have a storm surge warning in effect from Cameron Louisiana all the way to the Mississippi Alabama border which is going to be somewhere in this area for Vermilion Bay which is for those are wondering Vermilion Bay is basically this part of the area there of coast of Louisiana and of course the two Lakes like marus and Lake Poncha train which is located in this area over here hurricane warning and effect Louisiana coast from the rilon Cameron line Eastward over to Grand Isle now Grand Isles for those wondering is right down here this is where Ida came in so your Hurricane Warning goes on a line to about right around here give or take say probably there if I had to guess the hurricane watch is in effect for Lake maripos and Lake P train which does include Metro New Orleans as when this moves in this is going to go northeastward it's going to go over New Orleans which it is will it still be a hurricane at that time that is what is uncertain at this time and a tropical storm warning is an effect for the Louisiana coast from Cameron to the Vermillion Cameron line east of Grand Isle to the Alabama Florida border and of course Lake morus and Lake Pon train which includes Metro New Orleans at 1:00 p.m. Francine was located near latitude 28.6 North longitude 92.1 West Francine is moving Northeast near 16 M hour this motion should continue through this afternoon and Francine is anticipated to make landfall in Louisiana within the warning 8 area later this afternoon or evening after landfall the center is expected to cross Southeastern Louisiana tonight and move northward across Mississippi on Thursday and Thursday night Max maximum winds on 90 mph with higher gusts little change in strength is expected before the landfall FR scene is expected to rapidly weaken after landfall and the system is forecast to become Pro tropical to by tomorrow hurricane Forest winds extend 40 mi from the center and trop force winds are 115 mil an oil platform east of the center recently reported to seeing Winds of 83 mph and a peak Gest of 102 and the oil platform had a 90 uh 93.3 Mill of our pressure with this Central pressure be 976 all right so I'm going to bring in actually here our Chasers who are out there we have Josh who is I believe you are in h correct Josh correct me if I am um mistaken or not okay look Josh might not be there right now or might be going through a bit of a gust could have knocked out service we'll try to see if you can get to him um it's we have Joshua Thomas there in the field um in the chat Joshua Evans is one of our Chasers that he will be Chase in the tornado threat tomorrow sounds like we might have uh Josh here Josh you there okay okay and they are moving positions so we're need a they're going to need a little bit of time which that's okay we will give them the time that they need and we will get back to them that's the Beauties with trying to predict these um with these these tropical systems obviously so you try to get an idea based on the cones of when landfall can be uh a couple days ago I think we were looking at a um possibility of a landfall happening you know around this time actually really would be happening about right now um that's what we were thinking Monday and going into yesterday morning but as we saw with how the forecast was going with it um throughout the day yesterday and into the overnight it was looking more than likely it was going to be about a zero z um a zero Z landfall time which would be about 8:00 p.m. Eastern uh 7:00 p.m. central but obviously the storm had some other plans and looks like we're going to be somewhere in that range of 18 Z which was 30 minutes ago at 2: p.m. Eastern and z z which is 8:00 p.m. Eastern and that's the BDS as I was saying with tropical clones because you're not ever really sure an exact time of when they're going to make landfall it basically just gives you a guesstimate an estimate on when you could possibly see the landfall obviously you know storms can move slower than expected or they can move quicker than expected you know originally how it was for yesterday it were like okay looks like Francine's actually going to be a little bit slower than we expected spend more time over water but it ended up uh being what was originally about forecasted and it actually looks like it could be moving a little bit uh quicker than what was forecasted um but that just happens when with these systems when you get these movements get these jogs to a certain direction uh which is what we've seen with other storms in the past historically and it looks like what we might be seeing the France scene as well so it's looking like Francine has a little bit more on that south side of the eyewall it looks like it might be trying to um close itself off here but it also looks like that this looks like it's trying to become another rainband it's trying to separate itself from the eyewall which makes itself in is interesting uh because it was originally a part of the eyewall so that makes me wonder is you know is this you know part of land interaction starting to begin or if Francine is trying to you know showing signs of possibly of an ey wall replacement cycle that it will not end up completing because it's so close to the coast which is uh pretty funny if you ask me for be quite interesting to see how it looks on other parts of radar on other radar and also on imagery all right so here we go now let me just bring my Discord let me let me bring let bring the Discord over and I will go full screen and we have Josh here in the field yeah we hear you yeah I I was saying because I believe you guys were originally in h um pretty sure based on what it's looking like here on the radar uh with the Northeast movement it looks like that it it looks like that it would be in going right in between Morgan City and H for the landfall I was thinking it looks like the best of the eyewall would actually be in Morgan City so good call to move over towards there to get possibly the iall uh in about maybe a little bit yeah so as I was mentioning it looks like that there is a bit of a rain B another rain band a smaller rain band that was trying to form uh right in between that that larger rain band and the eyewall which I believe is what that's what's over um that's what's over Morgan City right now and yeah that is over Morgan City bringing some tropical storm force winds it looks like that as I was mentioning a larger rainband that was a part of the iall but looks like it's trying to detach itself from the iall is heading towards Morgan City might actually just go a little bit West of Morgan City that might have some stronger tropical storm force winds I don't think it's going to have the hurricane force winds those I think are still a while out from Morgan City it looks like about 43 miles out of Morgan City so probably not for another couple hours until that gets over towards Morgan City but the winds are definitely blowing there definitely can tell as well with the rain how strong how strong do you think would you say that they would be right now all right well we can definitely hear the howl of the wind we can definitely tell those Oh meant to all right we can definitely tell that those are tropical storm force winds um I'll bring the radar back full screen so you guys can get back into shelter and into the car very shortly but those winds definitely are how howling oh let's bring that back in actually those winds are starting to howl I'll I'll let you guys I'll let you guys take it from here for a couple minutes those winds are howling um as conditions will continue to deteriorate in Morgan City what conditions are we currently seeing there Josh obviously you had a very strong wind gust what yeah I'm still on you guys all right I'll bring the Discord over there and I'll bring the Discord over there so we definitely are waiting to see what we will get when it comes with when the high wall will start making its way onto land we're also currently awaiting any tornado warnings in that form with the outer bands looks like the you could get some embedded discreet is supercells like this little guy right here over by Bel chass to the southeast of New Orleans could possibly see something with that let's take a look at the velocity couplets let's take a look at velocity looks like that is definitely trying to do something quite possibly that little discreet area could be something to keep an eye on there as it heads towards Metro New Orleans um as we keep an eye on that could keep an eye on this as well see if it's going to end up being anything currently there is a slight risk in effect and it will keep an eye on just all these areas here in coastal parts of Louisiana as well as into Mississippi and Alabama as Francine makes its way towards land obviously there are some areas of rotation a little bit of a broad couet there to the north of Raceland which is to well to the north of the coast that's about to the east of where of Morgan City um to the northeast of hom so we'll be keeping our eyes on that we'll keeping our eyes on that little couplet heading towards Metro New Orleans of course currently have having no tornado warnings but with these bands having embedded cells and some of these might get semi- discreet could see some tornado action out of that today a 5% tornado risk is out from the Storm Prediction Center of course for tornadoes which includes most of eastern Southeastern Louisiana including the New Orleans Metro most of Southern Mississippi including the gulport and buuy Metro areas um Southern Alabama which includes the mul Hill area and a good part of the western panhandle of Florida which includes Pensacola and it might actually get over towards Panama City it does and and it actually gets into just a tiny bit here of the Big Bend region over by appala Cola is where I would say is where it probably ends maybe a little to the east over by carabel so those areas also in the 5% as all this area of discreet storms and way Far East Outer bands is what is going to be which is all a part of our storm same with this rainband area in Southeastern Alabama and Southwestern Georgia this is all moisture and all a part of our main system Francine which is why there is a 5% over here as this is going to be in that Eastern quadrant and Northeastern quadrant that right front quadrant which that right front quadrant is what is usually considered to be the if you draw if you were to draw an axis a matter of fact let me actually bring back bring back bur storm so if you were to draw an axis like so through the storm basically usually what's in the storm the right front quadrant the northeastern quadrant which is this quadrant right here this is where the worst of the conditions usually tends to be with the storms but also what we usually see on the east side of storms so that is what we're going to be seeing with these two quadrants right here this is where most of your rain bands are going to be coming in as such so let me just redraw our quadrant this is where most of your rain bands are be coming in and that moisture and it's obviously going to be mixing in with some of that air that comes in from the south that's where you get that lift that's where you get the turning of the winds in the atmosphere and that will will cause your tornadoes obviously with the instability and the moisture and of course the shear that ends up coming in you'll get a bit of a tornado risk which is what we're seeing and you get that mainly on the Eastern side of the storms obviously you can get them on the western side but you mainly will see them at the on the east side of these storms so you're so the 5% risk From The Storm Prediction Center is on set east side of the storm going from right about where the landfall is expected to occur and it goes all the way Eastward through about appal Cola so it looks a little something like this is what our 5% is looking like maybe a little bit more to the north but that was just a general you know idea for everybody on what this is looking like when it comes to the tornado risk for today and then tomorrow we have another 5% risk again going to be mainly here in the Panhandle and big band region of course it also includes a bit of Southwestern Georgia and goes well into Central Alabama tomorrow's risk is looking something similar to this where our 5% will be obviously what you will have is Francine is going to be moving a little bit like this which means its powder bands and its moisture flow is mainly going to be up moving up like this well into the 5% region as well as into the marginal so obviously you're going to get you're going to get areas here that going to get the rain but your more severe weather threat is going to be along a corridor right here Huntsville birming Montgomery down through Dothan Tallahassee Albany Georgia Panama City Pensacola and through mobile that is your best Corridor for the super weather for the tornado threat for tomorrow from Francine and then Francine's moisture is not really looking like it would be that strong and the instability looks like it will not be that strong for Friday going into day three as Francine will be going under extratropical transition by this point tomorrow and this is looking like a more um for the Cal areas it's going to be more morning threat and then mid to late afternoon for Central parts of Alabama will be the Tor attic threat there not really going to be a nighttime threat though uh for Alabama this time around um which is thankfully as Francine will go under that EST tropical transition and will be weakening which means you'll be seeing a bit of the instability um that is going to be weakening and weakening do apologize for some of the technical difficulties that we might be seeing with the stream for today uh this is my first go with the stream here on the spk service Channel my name is Jonesy for those that may have heard of me um I've worked with the twk service guys quite closely in the past um as well as being formally a part of force rtin but obviously with me not being there anymore I am here with support service now and this is my first stream with this work service folks so I do apologize with some of the technical difficulties this is mainly my first time working with these overlays but dude just bear with me we are in the point of Francine's life cycle where we will be seeing hourly updates hourly position updates as we are going to be awaiting that o so for those that do not know the National Hurricane Center uh once these storms get close enough to landfall uh initiates what is uh called hourly positional updates and it basically is just updating the position every hour until landfall and it will and they will continue to do it for a bit after landfall until the they deem the threat to not be as serious anymore mainly it's just for positional updates Bast track updates that way um they can go into the archives later on if they need to adjust things it can uh but also gives folks an idea of when we could be seeing landfalls and such all right we're going to take a small little break here so we will be right back e e e e e e e all righty welcome back in as we start another hour of our coverage here on Hurricane Francine's landfall coverage landfall still probably a couple hours away but it looks very very close to uh whatever this little island is right here I'm not really sure the name of it but I'm going to take a look uh the eyewalls at it's very close to that about 8 miles away is the outer edge of the iall little about 8 n miles away let me see if I can uh go to Google Maps I'm going to be doing that on my second Monitor and let me see if I can get a um see what I can get a name of that uh Little Island that's there [Music] there it's like that's in the ATA FIA Bay Area right in there well that actually looks like it's mainly Marshland it's got some sand there but it's mainly a Marshland so it's in the Gulf CL plane not really an actual Island it's more so a um Barrier Island it looks like just Barrier Island Marshland which we see that a lot uh with these type of storms usually is affecting these types of islands first in this region of the country but the ey wall is very close to that actually and that looks like it'll be by four League Bay Lost Lake Lake Merchant and Caillou Lake very shortly uh these are areas where you really can't get there by car these are areas where it you know it's basically the part of the B the Louisiana bayou um these Barrier Islands which it's kind of more swampy it's kind of you know the bou which is how Louisiana is so this is areas where you can only get by boat so these are not the areas where are it's very flat so there's not going to be any sort of residences whatsoever and I highly doubt that there's anybody on these U marshy swampland Islands right now unless there's you know weather Towers or oil platforms that are in these areas I do apologize for my phone let me just turn the ringer off on that um was actually pretty funny that I played that but the eyewall is getting closer to what is considered the coastline of Louisiana probably still good ways away out of Morgan City and Amelia and over and H about 36 miles away um should have that positioning up date now it is moving at 17 M an hour so it has gone up 1 M hour so if I had to say that would probably be about two or so out a little over two hours out of the um I'd say Morgan City is from getting the eyewall and distance for Morgan City to the Coast about 17 miles so I'd say probably about which for a system moving at 7 miles hour that's about say about 3 hours give or take till the eyes there at Morgan City I would say that probably the eye itself is maybe about 2 3 hours from the landfall if I had to make a guest at this time it really is looking like that the eye is obviously it's open on that west side but it is look like it is trying to do a little bit of a close off in this area so it looks like it is actually trying to make an outer eyewall so possible signs of an eyewall replacement cycle right at landfall but it won't really complete itself due to of course landfall happening so what would be I guess you can consider an hour eyeball eyewall is just going to be a very large rain band which is going to have a lot of Gusty winds in it so let's read this positional update Tropic storm force winds and heavy rainfall spreading Inland across Southern Louisiana Tropic storm force winds and heavy rainfall spreading Inland across Southern Louisiana and conditions will continue to deteriorate over the next several hours hurricane force winds are just located offshore now is the time to stay inside away from Windows have multiple ways receive warning and windows and oil platform southeast of the center recently reported sustained winds of 92 mph and a peak gust of 112 mph at an elevation of 102 ft an O station located on Eugene Island recently reported sustain ones of 48 mph and a peak G of 53 mph and another positional update will occur at 3 p.m. central which is 400 p.m. Eastern that is 20 UTC 20 Z so the summary at 2 p.m. Central 3 p.m. Eastern so 19 Zulu 28.7 North 91.8 West it is about 80 mil to the South Southwest of Morgan City and 135 mil Southwest of New Orleans so they're basically calling about we're basically calling it looks like about this the center give or take maybe like here so somewhere here is where they're calling the center of Francine or maybe it's actually like no that would actually take much much closer so they're probably they're saying it's somewhere like around here give or take which makes sense for what we're seeing on the radar very elliptical eye very very open eye very weird shape of an eye that tends to happen with uh storms that are on the weaker side of the sapper Simpson hurricane scale those hurricane force winds are just offshore the eyewall is just offshore and only a couple of Miles off offshore actually maybe 4 miles or less from hitting those marshlands I'd say that probably d uh dulock over there might possibly get the eyewall first but that would be more If It Moves In a direction that that way instead of like the this way which is the direction that it is moving so not entirely sure who's going to get the eye who will be the first to get the eyewall but it's going to be somewhere in that corridor from Morgan City to Hom could possibly be Dak over there now we did have a torn warning earlier for over here by boras and Empire uh there in Pan's Parish of course that was allowed to expire but let me just read off the tornado watch so this tornado watch uh 667 is for Coastal Waters it's also for far Southern Mississippi and and for Southern Louisiana effective until 11:00 p.m. central Time several tornadoes are likely probabilities there are 80% for two or more tornadoes and 20% for one or more strong ef2 to EF5 tornadoes um not even going to read off the wind problems and the hail problems because you don't really get those in tornadoes or in not tornadoes excuse me in tropical Cyclones tropical Cyclones mainly is just tornadoes now obviously you do get damaging winds from hurricanes but those are more sustained not really gusts um like that we see from more severe weather those are sustained winds and those are going to be more part of the eyewall and some of the stronger rain bands so it's uh quite fre a different kind of damaging wind if you think about it does look like though I don't know if it's just me but it does look like that this that just fired up in part of the eye looks like might be just what's taking over for the eyewall and it looks like this part right here might be doing what this did and that's detach itself from the eyewall and become a rain band which is quite possibly what we could be having and if then that's the case and this is becoming the eyewall then the eyewall is 16 mil from land but I still think that this is still a part of the eyewall looks very much to be a part of the eyewall still so I don't think it's detached itself from the eyewall to where it's its own individual rainband but it is a possibility it could end up doing that but I do agree with the National Hurricane Center tment that the hurricane force winds are you know just offshore which tend to be an agreement there when you have this right here being a part of the eyewall for here um going to the National Weather Center or National Hurricane Center's website here is the cone we're going to show both the static cone obviously here from Adis 12a which came out about an hour 15 minutes ago as well as the experimental code and for those who have not seen this cone yet um the National Hurricane Center has an experimental cone which shows all the watches and warnings that are Inland so you can see those tropical storm warnings going well in Wind as well as those tropical storm watches that are there for part of Mississippi we have the hurricane watches that are Inland which include New Orleans as well as a hurricane warning I go well in when going towards B Rouge and obviously the mobile mobile area Hattisburg it looks like might be in that tropical storm warnings so very cool graphic that the National Hurricane Center has decided to be making itself I do really hope to see that that experimental cone I really do hope that that has some that those in the weather Community do like that and see more of it in the years to come rainfall potential out of Francine from the weather fiction Center uh that graphic that we have so a wide swath from right down here in the Gulf up through much of central Mississippi and parts of Eastern Mississippi of 4 to 6 in some parts of interior Louisiana are in that 6 to 8 range as well as there in the coast around Morgan City and around the Vermilion Bay Area as well of 6 to 8 in and then another 46 swap going from Dolphin Island and Gulf Shores Alabama Eastward through parts of Southern Alabama there to the east of mobile and going well throughout the Panhandle through Pensacola and Panama City over towards appalachicola and a little area to the northeast of Memphis for most of Alabama and Western Tennesseee and then parts of the Ohio Valley including Northeastern Arkansas Southeastern Missouri extreme Southern Illinois and Western Kentucky uh 24 in ises of rain expected there as well as extreme Southwestern Georgia and a lot of the panh handle of Florida also getting the 2 to 4 in of rain New Orleans on the border of the 2 to 4 and 4 to six region looks like Jacksonville also 2 to 4 in that mainly will probably be scattered thunderstorm moisture uh from Francine and then 1 to 2 in of rain expected for other cities which looks like to the east of Little Rock um we have Tallahassee being in there Atlanta Chattanooga looks like Orlando as well also in that one to2 range let's take a look at the surge total so from Freeport Texas over to Cameron Louisiana 1 to three ft surge expected there from Cameron Louisiana over to the Vermilion uh over to inter coastal city so that's around the Vermillion Bay Area is 3 to 5T inter coastal city to Port foron is expected to be 5 to 10 ft that includes the Vermilion Bay Area 4 to 7 ft from Port foron to the mouth of the Mississippi River that includes the Grand Isle areas mouth of the Mississippi River to the mouth of the Pearl River which is at the Louisiana Mississippi border that's 2 to 4 ft 4 to 6t Surge from meth Pearl River over to Ocean Springs Mississippi 3 to 5 ft from Ocean Springs Mississippi to the Mississippi Alabama border 2 to 4 feet from the Mississippi Alabama border to the Alabama Florida border which includes Mobile Bay being in the 2 to 4 ft and the Alabama Florida B border Eastward to the Santa Rosa Okaloosa County Line 1 to 2 ft there and including the two Lakes 4 to 6 feet for surge on Lake Pon train and Lake maras 3 to 5T is expected there flash flooding potential we have a moderate risk for Jackson for Hattisburg New Orleans and of course other areas there in Louisiana Mississippi a widespread slight risk goes up through much of Mississippi and Alabama goes into Southwestern Georgia includes the entirety of the Panhandle and it goes a bit into Western Louisiana as well and also Jacksonville areas in there uh tomorrow slight risk for excessive rainfall uh goes up into the Ohio Valley there in Tennessee valleys and dips right back down swath across Central Alabama going from Northwest to Southeast through the Birmingham and Montgomery areas and back to the coastline we at Tallahassee so that's a look at some of the updates from the National Hurricane Center as well as some of their products that they're and let's go back to in the field we have Josh uh who is chasing Francine for us I believe he's in Morgan City uh conditions continue to deteriorate uh Josh what do what do we have here for the conditions how have they worsened since the last time we talked to you e yeah we hear you um so it looked like that we were look like that we do have a Recon that might be heading to the storm it looked like was going to be heading towards the storm but it says it's finished on the website they might um not they might not necessarily not be going to it to the storm anymore because of how close it is to land um so they might just not even do that Recon as it's so close to land but they might just we'll have to wait and see what they decide to do um um yep it does look like that it that band does try to detach itself a little bit but it's still mainly a part of the eyewall looks like the strongest part of looks like the strongest win so our strongest DBZ in the eyewall looks like as it's going to be moving a bit this way might come in over by dolak which is south of homo but that's really close to the coastline and I I would yeah that's really close to the co that's really close to the coast there there's not really a seaw wall and there's a river that's right there next to town so that's very dangerous to chase down there but looks like they're going to get the first taste of the stra longest part of the eyewall there looks like the Eastern eyewall based on radar from the Hammond radar uh let me take a look at what it's looking like on Lake Charles uh looks very similar looks like that Eastern Iowa uh the East part of the Iowa looks like it's going to probably be the strongest part uh that band that I was mentioning looks like it's trying to detach from the iall but it's still part of the iall that's basically over that uh big island that is right down there that big Mary uh area not necessarily Marsh Island but it's to the south and east of Morgan City uh so this big marshy area by the atalia bay um looks like starting to receive the eyewall here or will be receiving the ey eyewall very very shortly so winds yep you're going to we're going to be see yeah so there's definitely the conditions are going to continue to deteriorate over the next few hours um you're in a good spot there in Morgan City uh for this eyewall and obviously to ride it out and whatnot so for those that you know basically for those that are wondering the conditions obviously we're getting they're seeing those tropical storm Forest gusts now but as the eyeball gets closer and closer those winds are going to start to get more and more sustained so the conditions that we have are more gusts as of right now but as the conditions start to deteriorate it will be sustained we saw we saw a pretty strong gust uh when he just came to you how strong do you think that gust was how strong was that I said when we uh turned in tuned into you a couple minutes ago uh um that gust that we saw that was there the chocal storm gust how strong you think that was cuz that was looking like a pretty strong gust yeah yeah yeah yeah you just mentioned earlier about a gust nearly knocked you over that one nearly got you there looked like yeah those winds will definitely be a howl in once we get to the high wall probably still about would take about an hour or two I'd say Clos to the two hour mark until the eyewall is there in the Morgan City area all right I'm going to let you guys get back into the shelter for a bit we'll come back to you uh later on audio Yeah might as well just get inside and dry off for a bit until we have that next uh camera cut to you guys and it does actually it actually does look like that Recon is in the is is actually at the storm or in the storm um looks like it's just a little bit of a glitch there on the um looks like it's not really updating much though it's a little bit of a glitch so we did get an Ison uh looks like a 977 pressure uh that happened at 1848 so let me show actually the s here uh from Recon as we do have Recon data this is going to be the last Recon before uh landfall so Recon is in there uh we just have a little bit of glitch on trop tidbits with the uh positioning of the plane so just a little bit of a glitch there uh Northeastern eyewall looks like a 40 so that's a 49 knot there 95 at the surface um so that's a pretty that's pretty nice there in that with that eyewall in the southwestern eyewall with the 69 knot there with 983 in the surface obviously you can translate that down with some of the blendings before you get your eyes on but definitely some strong winds are occurring let's take a look what we have flight level and of course with the sfrs uh so flight level let's see what we can find looks like flight level the strongest that we are seeing I've seen so far is that 88 right there um looks to be that was the probably the Northeast side um like and here's an 86 right there strongest F ofm there's some 7 not right there back up to the other 80s yeah a 69 not sfmr so definitely some based on recon obviously you get some strong us you can get some strong sustained obviously we still 92 mph sustained um not necessar really wants to say that it's weakening because you can probably still have some of those strong winds they're just probably off sure and their Recon probably did not hit the strongest winds which I assume is in this uh very red DBZ area that was more on the Eastern side and they went a Northeast to Southwest pass I think if they did do a East to W or west to east pass and went through that that's proba probably where we would see our strongest wins and that is actually confirmed by velocity here our strongest winds are actually there on the east side um in that part of the eyewall now this is just what it's showing on radar obviously this is not translating this is not sustaining this not translating down obviously this is just a gust here um but mainly the gust that could be gusting upwards of 120 130 actually in this part of the Eastern iall moving to the Northeast side so only Recon waited about 20 minutes to core through that you know they would have gotten you know that flight level wind uh but obviously that is just a gust that is not sustained and also we're talking about uh we're talking about a beam height from about um 9.5 at kft so that's you know still getting out there pretty Far So that obviously does not translate down to the surface I'd probably say that that gives you somewhere in your 85 to 95 mph um Range if we were to go uh to sustained show sustained winds on that but that is definitely the strongest part of the eyeball and it's starting to get towards these um these Barrier Islands here to the west of Port foron the Isles denus I probably butchered that Barrier Islands Refuge so those islands are going to be getting the strongest of the Winds looks like strongest of winds are going to be in between raccoon Island and is darer so those are going to be getting the strongest parts of the [Music] eyewall very very shortly so those Barrier Islands going be getting the strongest part of the eyewall in just a couple of minutes actually probably I'd say less only 2 and 1 half miles from raccoon Island and about 5 and half miles from is jeris n I'm near I'm it's Cajun it's French I'm probably butchering it so I do apologize about the uh pronunciation being very um very bad very wrong I do apologize about my uh pronunciations uh they did come out with a day three risk there is a mark for parts of Alabama Florida and Georgia this is a looks like a special day three risk because they I wasn't to know about them doing day three risks I guess they start or I guess they started doing a second day three risk did not realize that that was a thing for and that day three uh area is mainly going to be for the remnants of Francine what's going to be left over of Francine's moisture so nothing to um too big in in regards to a tornado threat on day three but that's mainly going to be the remnant of Francine at that point I wall is inching ever so closer to the Louisiana coast if it's not at the coast already and those very strong winds are going to be reaching the Barrier Islands there any minute as hurricane Francine prepares to make a landfall most likely a category landfall well it's going to be a category one landfall at minimum but looks to making a category one landfall in Louisiana in the next couple of hours I'd say the next hour or two is where we'll be seeing the landfall for Francine here in the state of Louisiana so for those who are wondering you know if there's going to be a tornado threat with Francine I would say um more or less it's going to be more of after a landfall that we'll see the tornado threat we only had a few tornado warnings um earlier we've not really had many l uh many warnings since but that's also because a lot of areas here around the coast are more by Marshland once Francine starts to move more Inland towards all of these cities here that's probably when you'll start to see tornado warning tornado warning tornado warning tornado warning but till then it's going to be fairly quiet when it comes to the tornado warnings as we're essentially in a wait and see mode just waiting on the eyewall to make its first appearance as well as awaiting the eye to start to come onshore which is still probably a good bits out from occurring any questions or comments or concerns you can go ahead and throw them at the chat make make sure you add us at spark service weather and I'll be happy to answer any questions that people might have in regards to Francine where where it's going to be heading after landfall and and what effects that we could be seeing of course hourly updates on Francine is occurring up through a couple of hours after landfall for for for trying to remember that other repite beside shop tip bits at um has the um Recon but I forgot it's name ah cyclonic weather that's what it is so af32 took off look like out a Houston or one of the Air Force fists out of out of there and it looks like that we had ourselves a we did a little bit of a pass originally coming from the Northwest to Southeast and then did that North Northeast Run Southwest one it's a pretty elliptical eye from what we've seen and that beginning of the eye is very close to land the part of the opening of the eye there or at least according to radar looks to be only about eight miles 10 miles or so from that one giant Barrier Island by Marshland although the eye itself based on satellite and probably imagery is much much farther away for for looks like a lot of [Music] Chasers although has weakened it has lit up look like a lot of CHA there are Chasers trying to get over towards dlac to try to get uh into that eyewall because that looks like one of the only towns that is there there at the coast that you can get to pretty close to the coast without having to go into the bou um looks like that so they can get into that eyewall for so I will preference that when it comes to these storms these systems um that just because it's a very op it's an open eye it's a elliptical eye um because of that we're not it's not you can't really it's hard to pinpoint exact eye location so you could be seeing like this right here only like 7 miles away be like oh yeah the eyes miles per man well that's just the beginning of the eye if that's what's even being considered as the eye you know when you have an a storm like this where it's elliptical where it's an open eye um the position of the eye on radar is different from what you'll see on satellite or on imagery and also landfall is when the ey the center of the eye passes over land it's not when the eye first enters land from you know the start of the eye entering land it's not when the eye is fully over land so the back end of the eye gets Overland landfall is when the center of the eye is Overland as soon as the center of the eye hits land that's landfall and I think a lot of people um get that a bit confused they get that misconstrued I think it's good to basically explain that so when you see the eye you know the start the beginning the eyes start to come on land then that's the beginning of the landfall process and the landfall process begins when the start the front of the eye start of the eye comes on land landfall is called once the center of the eye is on land and the landfall process ends once the end of the eye the back side of the eye comes on the land because then once that's done well then you get the back end ey wall okay so in the eye we have a 977 pressure with a 19 knot win so if if we blend that down that's 975 pressure so we'll probably see the pressure come down from 96 976 to 975 at the next position update and that's based on recon data from the hurricane Hunters who are in there there the eyewall character it says it's open to the southeast I'd say it's a little more open to the Southwest if anything there's a bit of a Southeastern there is a bit of a Southeastern eyewall there it's elliptical a the major axis is 6 M long with the minor axis is at 40 the temperature inside the Ed is at 17° C with the temperature outside the eye at 8° C and that's from the last Vortex data message that was about an hour ago at this point from the last drop song The Vortex adomat was message was near the top of this last hour for and here we go Francine's eyewall is nearing Southern Louisiana 300 p.m position update hurricane force winds the northern eyewall Francine are nearing the coast of Southern Louisiana now is the time to stay indoors and away from Windows have multiple ways to receive warnings an oil platform east of the center recently reported sustained winds of 74 mph and a peak us to 92 and an elevation 102 ft an station on Eugene Island recently reported sustained winds at 54 mph and a peak G of 70 mph another position update will occur at 5 p.m. central that's 6:00 p.m. Eastern at 22 UTC following the issu of the next full advisory the full advisory package coming up in 1 hour's time at 400 p.m. uh Central that's 5:00 p.m. Eastern at 21z so we're currently at 975 M bars which I had a feeling that they were going to do that that was based on recon data and I knew that that was going to happen based on the Recon data 60 mil to the South Southwest of Morgan City and 115 miles to the south of New Orleans so this is where this is basically where they're saying the center of the eye is so if we go so if we go from the that point that would take it about 33.9 miles from that Barrier Island it's basically moved about 20 miles in the last hour so landfall should be occurring somewhere in the next let's say 2 hours still 90 mph winds moving Northeast at 17 down to 975 mbars now looks like Recon might be done here as they are probably going to be bowing out here very very shortly if I had to guess or maybe they'll try to go for one more pass uh remains me see what Recon will end up doing for all right we're takey short break for a couple minutes and we will be back we're going to take about a five or so minute break and we'll be back with some more coverage on the landfall of Francine e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e and we're back with some more coverage here on spark service weather with the landfall of her Fran scine going to bring over the feed now we have Josh who is located in Ellsworth Louisiana they've changed some locations over a little bit Josh what what do we got here what what are we what are we seeing on your end yeah we got you e yeah so that was some pretty strong winds some gusts that we were hearing so Ellsworth so you're in h Ellsworth is little to north of it somewhere around here yeah I can those winds are pretty strong it's definitely getting picked up on the camera can kind of can kind of barely hear you right now but yeah in conditions yep yeah the when you have the strong winds in the eyewall with you know the wind sending the rain all over the place definitely even like before yeah not well yeah even before the eyewall like once yeah once you have those bands that are just outside the eyewall the very strong strong tropical storm Forest winds it's going to just send that water right into your eyes and just have the rain sting oh there's a very strong wind gust right now dang [Music] mhm yeah yeah the i w is definitely over the Bayou it's going to be getting over towards dulock which is south of H very very soon and probably that edge that I will might be getting up towards Amelia and your area actually very very soon probably within the hour if I had to guess or in an hour or so [Laughter] yeah that that tends to happen that can happen sometimes yep winds are going to continue to be pretty strong and get stronger as the eyewall makes its way more on the land and the eye gets closer and closer to making the landfall uh that rain definitely has been coming down and you soaking wet so I think I'm going to let you go to dry off before uh the next camera shot which would probably be in the eyewall or the start of the eyewall so I'm going to let you head in dry all righty all right and that is Josh Thomas he is in the field our very own Josh Thomas chasing this system hurricane Francine as it is making its way towards Louisiana Coastline getting ever so closely towards the coast iall there is part of the eyew wall that is on land it is over the Bayou though very marsh land very um very marshy areas though in the attach of Faya Delta Wildlife Management Area lots of Bou lots of cut off lots of little streams here not really many buildings in that area so we definitely have ourselves little bit of time before we see some of the areas that our cities getting into the eyewall Dak will be the first to get into the eyewall very very soon mil and Morgan City are going to have that North End of the Iowa or at least the rain part of it the Wind part of it probably not going to be for a little while longer in those areas and that is TR be confirmed based on that still the strongest of the Winds from the eyewall are over the Barrier Islands right now and they're making their Way Northeast towards dlac strongest of the Winds there in the eyewall are 20 miles away from Dak let's try to see what we're seeing here about 100 mph gusts it looks like but about possible these are gust but could also try to be sustained but this is also from a beam height about 9.5 km up so it's obviously going to be weaker than that at the surface but those are the eyewall winds making its way towards Dak which looks to be the first population Center that and cod which is just a little tiny tiny little town that is basically right on the water there basically got some barrier islands around it some it holes but that's part of the bio and then it has a little Lake and those Barrier Islands uh C CI is right down in this area down here it's a very very tiny small little town and that's actually going to get the eyewall first it's an unincorporated fishing shrimping shrimping and cobbing Village at is 10 m south of shavin and it's part of the homo Bane and thepo Metropolitan statistical area it's a small little village very very small it's known for being the very near the landfall location for Matthew of 2004 Gustav of 2008 and Zeta of 2020 um so three other tropical systems in history have made a landfall here at Koko and Koko is going to be yet another in the path of yet another storm uh don't know if Coco is going to be the landfall spot could be yet again but it um looks like that they're going to get the they're going to get the eyewall first down there at CoCo which for that little village this is not the first time that as just mentioned this is not the first time that they've done that song and dance they've done it before and they will quite frankly do it again in the future let's take a look here and flight level winds coming in at 99 knots on the most recent Recon pass sfmr is coming in at about 75 knots so with that blending that's still enough to support its um support itself at at you do the blending about 80 knots is that enough for 85 I it could be but it's definitely enough for 80 definitely enough for 80 knots depending on if we have any Flags um looks like no flags on that awesome yeah look like actually maybe there are flags I might I might take that I think could take that back we might have flags on that actually maybe um let me just take a look real quick oh so the sfmr is not coming yeah I like like it was on the east side hi the southeast side actually yeah that's that Eastern eyewall with those very strong um flight levels and okay all of it is actually flagged with uh on the Recon data now that I'm looking at it with ones and twos I'm not exactly sure what those exactly mean but I do know I don't necessarily know how the flagging codes work but there is definitely a um there's definitely some fls there oh wait no it's not a it's not a red exclamation point it's a uh it's a blue one so that's mainly I guess due to rain so that's actually unflagged actually take that back so no that would be that would be Al that is yeah that's a reading 99 knot flight level 75 knot sfmr blend that together it's probably about 80 85 knots wait and see what gets said um but definitely the NHC is going to be using that 82 for more blend for for for for for for for so we're looking at Recon the blending comes out to about 82 knots so you could they could stay at 90 M an hour they could go up to 100 Mil an hour it depends and let's see what we got the pressure on the most recent pass if that wants to come in and N9 71.7 okay interesting wait we'll wait on the drops on 73 not flight level 67 not more for could possibly have a cat too but we'll wait to see what the NHC decides to make its call at the bottom of the hour or sorry on top of the next hour it's about 25 minutes away um 971 7 extrapolated pressure just to be outside the center so that I believe based on what I've seen they more likely than not will try to go for we'll probably do a 972 but I'm going to wait for the drop on to confirm for for for for for I we are waiting for that song so patiently um looks like COC D is is just about to enter those very strong winds of the eyew wall so those that are in Coco Dre you know Chasers anybody that stay behind I don't know why any um I don't know why anybody would would have stayed behind your time is over if you wanted to get out last minute uh uh yeah your time's over now it's time to hunker down and you're in for a ride for a bit as the eyewall is officially reaching the coast of Louisiana or is starting to reach the coast of Louisiana here which Coco Dre is located somewhere down here I will starting get get down there so now you're just in for the ride for for for for I will start to come on short and Louisiana down by Coco Dre Dak will be getting it next as well as other areas in the state of Louisiana so I said we're probably about an hour 90 minutes away from landfall if I had to guess maybe two hours at most all depends on where Francine decides to have the center of the eye cross that remains to be seen on where Storm wants to make landfall waiting for drop s to come in 974 19 KN win yeah that's a 972 when we have S now let me explain the whole sa system with the eye as I'm going to bring this up on screen so basically this is the surface Splash what the pressure is at at the surface obviously you have a wind usually the rule of thumb um is for every 10 knots you bring the pressure down to 1 mbar so if it's anywhere under if it's about a 10 knot wind you're just knocking the pressure down one if it's single digits it's most likely what your pressure is unless you're around like 8 n knots then you're going to still bring it down 7 knots as well since this is 19 knots we're bring we bring it down two millars because you know the rule thumb is about um 1 bar pretend not so because of that that means that we bring our pressure down two millars which means that would be a 972 drop sand which you'll be seeing them put in at the next rivy so some last minute intensification happening with Francine at least in the pressure Department we'll see if the NHC decides to up it in the wind Department as well 972 looks like is going to be the pressure when it does make its landfall for for me take a look here yeah Serge coming in um on BR a d stream do wonder where I know he's a chaser he's chasing as well I do wonder where he is located I think he's there in Coco D actually Serge is coming in there and they do have have the eyew wall there as well very flat to the ground is Coco d uh because you know it's at the uh it's basically at sea level or below sea level oh no he's over in shavin excuse me so shavin which is up here is getting it and honestly would not be surprised if dolak also going to see some surge coming in uh coming in Coco dream most definitely seeing surge come in shavin seeing the surge come in for for all right hold on uh give me one second um give me one second everybody all right we're going to go back to Josh as the northern part of the eyewall the extreme Northern parts of the eyewall is starting to get towards his location in I think you said Ellsworth Louisiana earlier which is over here by homo so extreme Northern parts of the iow starting to get towards his location Josh what what are we what are you seeing in your location H yeah yeah it's the it's the outer rain bands so the extreme northern part of the I wall I mean makes sense you're soaking wet it makes sense that you be cold mhm winds definitely are picking up you can definitely see the winds are just blowing the rain off the gravel on the grass and just blowing that around so definitely you can tell that this is the northern part of the iall yeah winds definitely have picked up sustained and they're only going to get worse and worse H yeah yeah it sounds like the eyewall is kind of causing the service to be a little bit choppy strongest Winds of the eyewall still W to your South down by Coco Dre shavin and uh uh duluk D Dak so definitely still got a bit of time before those strongest wins the hurricane force winds of the iall uh get up to you but definitely still some pretty strong sustained tropical storm force winds and gusts and obviously that rain is just p you there in the eyewall yeah we hear you yeah it's not going to be stopping for a while that's just how the eyewall goes mhm yeah there is some um there is some stuff there is some stuff that we have and we have some news they the NHC has gone ahead and upgraded it to a category 2 we have cat 2 Francine 100 miles hour 972 mbar this is based on the recent Recon and that is making it a category 2 storm surge warning has been discontinued west of the Vermilion Cameron Parish line and it is about 40 Mi South Southwest of Morgan City Louisiana 100 miles to the west southwest of New Orleans probably going to have landfall in the next hour or so no changes to the surge no changes to the rainfall but it is a 100 miles hour because satellite radar and Recon have indicated that Francine has stayed well organized dur due to the increasing Shear but it has strengthened up to a category 2 yep yeah yeah I would all right I I'd head back into your car your shelter whatever you got as def h all righty don't get yourself blown don't don't don't fall over now don't get yourself blown away all right um so we'll see them again a bet and a little bit but as mentioned Category 2 for for so Category 2 is what we have out of Fran scine Here uh based on recon on satellite and a bunch of other things and that looks like that that's going to be what we have at landfall probably is going to be a category 2 so not much changes little change in strength is expect before landfall and Rapid weekend after landfall Thursday night or Friday we'll have post tropical 140 mil is the tropical storm force winds now 40 mil is the hurricane force winds and oil platform had 79 miles and a peak of 93 Eugene Island for the national ocean service 76 mph wind gets to 99 972 is the pressure and East iall has 96 knot flight level 73 not sfmr so little bit weaker than what came in before but still enough to confirm the 85 knot so I think that's only 81 knot instead of 82 knot for for for so hurricane force winds are at the coast and landfall should be CAU very very soon landfall should happen very very soon for so we have a new flashl warning that has come out glut dlac shavin Bay Kane Mona and gray half an inch to one and a half inches of rain has fallen already and additional amounts of 1 to 3 in are possible this one over here from Morgan City 2 to four in of rain has fallen 1 to 3 in of rain in an hour there for Morgan City Franklin Patterson Jette Berwick B Vista Baldwin Patterson Memorial airport shingon sorl gleno Amelia and Centerville there are a few special Marine warnings that are out random flash warning and Idaho we have Link pona train we have over here going towards Panama City looks like some stuff is happening some fun stuff's happening there and then this right here this is a coup of this is something that we're going to be we're keeping our eyes on um as this heads towards Dolphin Island Alabama and goes towards the mile area we have a coulet here that is with a water spout where they possible water spout looks very likely that a water spout is going to be occurring there and it's moving North at 15 knots and it's about 22 miles out of Dolphin Island so it should make its way over there in about the next hour or so so if you're in the ad Dophin Island uh Alabama area if this lasts all the way I would be keeping an eye on this so you don't need to get to shelter now but I would keep an eye on this in about an hour's time to make sure that if it does come on to Shore and it still has a water spout with it that you can take shelter so if you're over there in Dolphin Island make sure you are being weather aware and be prepared for that for for for for sounds like that there's a buoy in there so it sounds like the national weather service has a buoy in the eyewall right now SC it's now it's a very um interesting thing the reflectivity and the velocity is not matching up but that's because the eye is more away from the um from the reflectivities for for e for for all righty landfall should be happening within the next hour 75 minutes we'll just wait and see when that will be official all right we're going to go back to Josh I will a little bit more into your location yeah we we can hear you H repeat what you said oh it's the same location you were in right Ellsworth yeah I yeah I know you haven't changed locations yet mhm for yeah I can tell yep definitely can hear it for what' you say yeah no I still have you we still have you yeah the winds definitely are strong you said Transformers and power lines have been going e yeah definitely can see that that rain is just coming in and pelting can only imagine how it would be once the hurricane force winds are there mhm can definitely see a bit of water there on that grass so definitely some flooding some light flooding occurring oh that's drainage okay yeah that's good well all right H that's funny well the winds definitely will P back up um looks like According to some people that are in Louisiana uh Winds of Morgan City are at least hitting the 50 mph gusts would not be surprised if we start seeing the stronger gusts happening in your neck of the woods very very soon as it the strong the strong I the strong eyewall winds are still a while ways away but they are moving North are trying to m right mhm all right well all right well I'm going to let you dry off and head back into your shelter before the strong hurricane for mhm yeah I was going to say I didn't know if you want to dry off a bit before the hurricane Forest wins oh my yeah there's definitely a good amount someone in the chat saying there's definitely good amount of wind yep that is true also I do apologize earlier about the typing with the key with the keyboard I had to move my mic over so i''d be more clear and whatnot there's definitely a good amount of wind that's there and the winds are just going to Contin to pick up between now and landfall mhm for what' you say yeah know I still got you guys up for a second Maybe mhm all right well we'll come back to you guys oh go all righty we'll come back to them later but that was Josh with another report uh live from Ellsworth Louisiana uh another drop song came in also in the center also going to be a 972 s what the hell is going [Music] on for so hurricane Francine continuing to oh looks like this is actually yeah it's going to split the narrow Gap looks like that we do over there by Alabama that's we're keeping an ey on for a a possible tornado if it keeps it act together all the way to land I think Recon has decided to head out of the storm so we're not going to have any more Recon basically what we got is what we got when it comes to intensity as not much is expected to change there there the only thing that would change it up or down would be surface observations as well as satellite and radar we going to take a little short break again as well as we await the landfall of hurricane Francine Category 2 100 miles hour not 72 pressure and I'd say probably within the next hour hour and a half is when we will see it make landfall but we're going to take another short break for five or so minutes 10 or so minutes and we'll be back with more cover coverage of tracking hurricane tracking the tropics hurricane Francine landfall coverage as well as keeping an eye on the tornado threat from Francine e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e we're back as we continue continue to track hurricane Francine as it makes its way towards landfall in the state of Louisiana getting ever so close to landfall probably in the next 45 minutes to 60 minutes yeah all right well you you just you just hopped in immediately let me all right well I got you full screen so all right I'll bring up the radar let me take a look at uh where where is that probably this right oh okay so this starting to blow that's starting to Broad out so we're not going to take a look at that all right here we go yeah visibility is gotten much much um much much worse in your location oh boy hm yeah no we're getting you're getting we're getting your footage oh there's another strong wind gust very strong wind gusts uh let's what what' you say make sure you don't get blown away but there's some very strong wings that we're seeing out of the out of this eyewall that does not surprise me but yeah the I wall definitely getting um making its way up there lots of heavy rain lots of winds occurring as the eyewall continues its March North very strong winds and Gus very strong probably getting up there near hurricane Force if I had a guess but based on the look of it definitely have The Stance down to not get blown away which is definitely a good thing when you have winds as strong as this just make sure you just make sure you stay safe I mean you're in open field don't get hit by any flying debris oh there's another strong one go something's Blown Away in the background don't know where it is but there it goes yep we got you mhm just Northwest of H in Ellsworth yeah yep and you definitely got a it's got a pretty long time to go in that Iowa or I guess a little bit longer based on what I'm seeing definitely looks intense all right so so they're basically somewhere in this area right here uh looks like about another 13 miles left of the rain so still got a little bit of time to go in this um in the rain portion of the eyewall still got plenty of time to go in that eye wall oh service is kind of becoming spotty a bit yeah we're you you're kind of roboting I think the eyewall is kind of messing up the service a bit H all righty well let's take a look at the newest surge total so the five to 10 area foot area has shrunk tremendously um inal City to Burns point is now down to 3 to5 ft for surge which includes the Vermillion Bay the 5 to 10 foot goes from Burns point to Port foron which basically is going to be you know that's the area of your landfall happening right in there uh the Vermilion Cameron line Parish line to intercal city is 2 to 4 feet and then we're down to 1 to 3 ft for free foot free Fort all the way to the Vermilion Cameron Parish line uh everything else looks to be it's still the same except mouth of the Pearl River and to Ocean Springs is now down to 4 to 6 ft from 4 to 7 everything else looks like it Remains the Same on that tropical storm Forest winds have reached New Orleans Metro obviously the hurricane force winds have been affecting Louisiana proper and I would expect any minute now somewhere the next 30 or so minutes we will have a call of landfall from the National Hurricane Center don't know if it will happen um with this upcoming positional update but I think it could happen it's not going to happen we're not going to have to wait till 7 Eastern 6 Central I think it's going to happen before then uh the question is when that remains to be seen but it's a very elliptical eye an eye it's an eye that is was open on the Southeast then it was open on the south west now it's open on the South but that's just how this storm is as it rotates and heads up and in to state of Louisiana all right let's take a look at some of these cells one of them hitting land at appach ho bunch of other cells over here by Panama City take a look at the velocity a little bit of a couplet there that kind of weaken appalache Cola here's some other stronger couplets out here on the water we'll keep an eye on looks like they're going this way here's another couple right here but it looks like they're going this way while everything else is trying to go up it's interesting to see that these cells are doing that take a look at the one cell that we were doing and it's starting to move this way now so it looks like a lot of the discrete cells are starting to move for some reason all the discrete cells are moving this way while the moisture flow is up so that is probably what is causing what you're seeing with the rotation and the water spouts that's the shear that we're seeing that is occurring with this storb and the newest update is out and the newest updates out and let's see what we have and we have official word from the National Hurricane Center franc has made landfall so we have Francine that has made landfall so Francine has made landfall in Southern Louisiana in the Parish of terone about 30 mil south south west of Morgan City I think they meant to say South Southeast I don't know I don't know what directions are as a category 2 hurricane maximum sustain winds are near 100 mph 155 kilm per hour a noos station on UGI Island reported a peak gust of 105 mph the minimum pressure measured to that location was 976 heavy rains and hurricane Forest winds are spreading in across Southern Louisiana now Now's the Time to stay inside and away from Windows have multiple ways to receive warnings and updates and another positional update will be provided at 6:00 p.m. central Time 23 hour time at 7 Eastern so 29.3 North 91.3 West about 30 mil to the South Southwest of Morgan City 85 miles west southwest of New Orleans 100 mph winds Central pressure 9 972 and moving Northeast at 17 miles an hour let me see if I can get an actual uh location on that and yeah it was that it so I had a feeling it was going to be this big Barrier Island thing so they are saying that it did make a landfall in the aaala Delta Wildlife Management Area and it was in this area right here on this big island right here is where Francine made its landfall that's close to Coco little bit of the distance off from Coco but kind of close to it so now it's going to be it's moving Northeast it's going to go eye is the eye is actually going to go right over where you know it's actually going to go right over uh joshing them so they're going to get those hurricane force wind up there in Ellsworth so if they haven't been if they haven't got them already but Francine it's official FR scine has made landfall as a category 2 in the state of Louisiana [Music] so now the waight to landfalls over now we have the effects of the storm after the fact that it makes landfall you still have to deal with the rain you still have to deal with winds you have backend surge for areas that didn't really get surge beforehand they'll get surge on the back end and of course there's also the tornado threat so just because the storm has made landfall and it's projected to weaken from here on out does not mean that the threat is over that we can start to take things um easily and lightly the threat is not over and won't be over for a while now it is expected to rapidly weaken which is good but it could also last for a bit longer than usual because a lot of these areas is marshes swamps Bayou the tolls and there is a little bit of a j here abnormally dried but it's still you know not enough of a drought where you could get a still a bit of a brown ocean effect which can keep it at this strength for a while but now that it's made landfall and we're having this land interaction do not be surprised if the core starts to to fall apart on itself like collapse on itself obviously you still have your eyewall obviously you still have you know your raid bands but the sheer the dry and the land interaction that could cause it to completely collapse on itself weakening it very very rapidly but landfall has occurred in the state of Louisiana going to bring you guys back in yeah hold on let me just try drag that over and yeah mhm damn mhm all right oh you want me to show your feed for a bit if you can get it going okay all right while we do that let's just we'll wait on that a lot of I don't know if that's just because of the radar but looks like a bunch of little rotation cupets popping up in that area but that might just be because where you guys are is literally where the radar is meeting one another so it doesn't look like there would be any kind of rotation but who knows maybe something could form in the eyewall is it is it that white thing on the ground right there there's like a little white Speck like circle thing on the ground oh your headphones okay mhm all right well I'm going to bring up the feed cuz it's set up in the car but Josh is out there very strong winds the flag pole got ripped out of the ground at that gas station uh according to him so it is not in the ground anymore it's ripped off and blown away so that's already bit of Damages that we have out of Francine we're going to wait and see obviously on more of some of the damages obviously we wait and see how those Villages along the coast fair in regards to the storm surge but Francine is now making its truck Inland bringing damage wind and rains where it goes and we have the eyewall that is here uh in Ellsworth and it's also on a corridor from Morgan City over to haa I'm going to mute my audio a bit as I'm going to take a little bit of a break but I'll leave you with the sa and the sights of what you are seeing of Francine the eyew Waller in elworth Louisiana which is just a little bit to the northwest of of H e e e e e e e e e e e repeat that guys all right they're going to take a break cuz the eyewall definitely has been getting to them and such and oh yeah I see definitely oh I see the eyewall actually did a bit of strengthening over their location did a little bit of a a troll I was going to say re but the eyewall decided to on reflectivity do a little bit of what we call strengthening based on the DBZ's you can see there was not really a lot of DBZ's as it was in h and then as it comes out of hom DBZ's shoot up like that and that means a little bit of strengthening meaning bit of a brown ocean effect another flashl warning here between half an inch and one and a half Ines of rain has fallen additional amounts of 1 to 3 in are possible in the warned areas some CL some locations include thibo lose cut off gallano Lockport Golden Meadow Matthews Mona Raceland gray Shri and chck Bay for so they did show us the flag pole there is some roof damage in hom from what I'm seeing from some other stream uh from other streamers Chasers streams that might have been actually a power flash I just saw that reminds me why don't we take a look at the power outage maps it's only Cali and Louisiana but Louisiana is obvious why it's without power 53,000 customers are without power in Louisiana in St Mary's parish 9800 out of 19,000 are without power in tabone where this may landfall this stor made landfall we have 8,800 out of 27 uh th000 customers Le forche has 115,000 out of the 42,000 assumption Parish has 4,000 out of 10,000 out Iberia 2300 out out of 35,000 St Martin doesn't have that many power outages but it has some Jefferson has 2900 St Charles 7 350 St John and the Baptist 530 Livingston up to 2,000 uh Tangi Pahoa is at 4700 73,000 Iberville is at 467 out of 9300 and there's some other ones over here but that is not related to the storm let's look at the power outage map here in Louisiana got have the radar loop still playing for for so we're going to take we're going to have the radar loop going we're going to regroup here and we're going to come back after a short break you're watching spark service weather as we are tracking and chasing hurricane Francine in the state of Louis Siana Category 2 landfall 100 miles an hour we'll be back for e e e e e e [Music] I [Music] oh [Music] [Music] [Music] oh [Music] [Music] [Music] a [Music] a [Music] [Music] oh [Music] oh [Music] a [Music] oh [Music] [Music] a [Music] [Music] a [Music] [Music] [Music] a [Music] oh [Music] [Music] [Music] a [Music] a [Music] [Music] n [Music] [Music] oh [Music] [Music] oh [Music] oh [Music] [Music] for [Music] oh [Music] [Music] [Music] he [Music] all right we're back sorry about the long time of break taking care some stuff so we're down to 90 miles hour now on the hurricane for for for for for so let's take a look here we have a surge of on Shore these or stuff that's going down this is going to be interesting to see what it gets on what the threat is going to look here's a new super oh wait no I think we read this already or not really not super for me flash Lo warning um 1 to two in of rain to fall and 2 to 4 in of rain are possible in warned areas foro Napoleonville hanville chak Bay South vatry North vatry Raceland labille Supreme this alamans Paradis bayug got Boot and Ling and one here for Morgan City B Rivers Stevensville and P part 2 to 4 in of rain three to 1 to 3 in of rain in 1 hour as reach 7:30 Eastern Francine is down to 90 M hour and it will continue to weaken as it moves more and more Inland I'll be right back for for for for for all right try to get another update from Josh once find out his location and how things are going Dak H shobon Mona they're all in the I do like had a 16 M hour stain G 96 miles hour some roof damage in Morgan City caused by the eyewall and there's a lot more power out of just that are occurring [Music] ter bone nearly it's everybody without power 23,500 people without power compared to 27,300 why is H St Mary's terone the forche all setting around 50% or more and assumption with um of the parish without power these parishes have taken a lot of damage from Francine also it has done lots of rain has comeing down New Orleans has a flash blood warning one to two inches of rain additional 2 to four which includes New Orleans marero Avendale Harvey Terry timberlan belchase shmat Jefferson Greta haran westo Bridge City Elmwood Estelle Woodmere River Ridge Cherry town wagaman and a rabi which includes Interstate 610 and 10 and also we have one to 2 in 1 to 2 in of rain volum additional amounts of 2 to 4 Ines in this other flash R warning which is for replace hanville Reserve monz Kona Taff Norco Edgar new s Dyan garyville St Rose Luling Wallace and Emma includes interstates 10 55 and 310 media advisory coming out at the top of the hour another position update will occur coming up at 8:00 p.m. central that is 9:00 p.m. Eastern for for for e and the intermediate advisory has just been released we're down to 85 miles hour 978 on that pressure 20 miles east Southeast of Morgan City 55 miles west southwest of New Orleans 85 9978 is what the NHC has gone with at this advisory e for e can it dve out for for looks like the heaviest of the rain in the eyewall looks to be on a corridor from bio got over e and you can clearly see the weakening of it on the radar the structure of it already like I said with when I made landfall the structure was already changing and starting to fall apart kind of the same thing here as well definitely as it moves more and Inland weakens the structure really changes big time for surge is coming in now the back end surge is coming in in parts of tribone terone Parish areas that have not really seen The Surge yet come in are seeing it now that it's moving more more in l oh it's moving still moving Northeast at 17 more of a 6 to or no I'm sorry that's is that an 8 to 12 area yeah that's an 8 to 12 area uh to the west and to the northeast of New Orleans around the side Al area thing possibly 8 to 12 Ines of rain can fall as well to the west of New Orleans around that area of the place flash warning another flashl warning just got issued over here 2 to 3 in of R of fall addition month 2 to 4 in for Donaldsonville NP uh Napoleonville grar SE lucher Convent belrose plain Courville North valer Wallace and garyville which includes I 10 for iwall is making run towards New Orleans could get some hurricane Forest winds definitely some hurricane Forest gusts in The Big Easy in New Orleans in the New Orleans Metro for the next bet same more is start to lose customers Vermilion Parish has 2300 without power Orleans up to 7 700 customers for well let's do a quick update around the tropics 94 L 10% 92 L 20% it's 10 10 2020 trop qu pression 7 as of the last advisory for that advisory 2 34 miles hour 1007 don't know what that's going to do that's still a long ways away from that could do anything if at all there is an area of Interest off the Southeast coast that looks like be mainly for next week zero 30 on that Eastern Pacific we have a 770 area we out that's 93e and that will go towards Baja nothing in the S Pacific the main focus obviously though is Francine we'll keep an eye on 93e over the weekend as depending on what that does I could bring some rain and monsoonal energy to the southwestern United States is that time of year where're storms tend to like to do that it would obviously have to go through Baja California and other parts of Western Mexico now for those who are um fans of tornadoes tropical Cyclones we haven't really seen that today guess the um the environment hasn't been as potent for tornadoes as one may have thought it could have been or would have been could always get some though tonight and the tornado threat could always be more of an overnight threat we'll have to keep an eye on what the tornado threat does tonight and what it does tomorrow [Music] but as it right now looks like we're not going to have a barrel repeat where the environment was just so potent for tornado is for for for for and the sun actually Peaks through a little bit on the New Iberia sky cam pretty cool if you ask me this image all that rain and all the wind whatnot and yet a little bit of sunshine on the sky cam pink DBZ pixels what's the winds looking like there must be caused by the rain and the wind e lots of flash flooding occurring on the South Shore not sure area south of Lake P train so around New Orleans so if you don't have to travel please don't travel be very very careful whether or where e e e e e e e e e for for for assumption Parish nearly has every customer without power 9700 out of the 10,440 customers St James is up to 3,100 customers without power so the rivers started coming up in these areas mainly because of the onshore flow which makes sense why they got out of there there's going to be River flooding there's going to be flash flooding and obviously surge flooding in these areas in southern Louisiana for whoa that's a lot of power flashes that's the sky just turned blue on someone's uh on someone's a video that they posted well if there's one thing I'm noticing a lot of these red DBZ's are starting to fall apart which is good I just usually is a sign of weakening still seeing some 90 some some higher 90s here and then same over here with these gusts winds are obviously down 85 miles an hour could be even lower at that point O did not mean to close radar scope let me open that back up for for for some of the stations Easter I wall I guess a wind 94.5 mbars some of these stations are now down or out of power we do have a tornado warning over here for sidal located nearly Cather 7 miles east SEL moving Northwest 40 m hour this is for South Central St Tam Parish in Southeastern Louisiana uh this will be near idel around 725 Central and the comb around 7:30 this includes interes 10 and 12 radar indicated let's see and it would be with this right in here and let moving this way so we finally have a tornado warning don't know why it's not coming up but we do have a tornado war and it's right there inside out for for so this warning looks like it's coming right into downtown sidel which that's not really good hopefully things will be okay there little couet to keep an eye on right over here and here and then obviously here's a cup foet down here still pretty much ways away but at 30 knots so it's moving to the north at 35 miles an hour and based on positioning it be there in about 2 hours if it keeps it act together considerable tag up in Montana weird thunderstorm interesting let's go into the CC we have a CC drop on this not really so that means that there's probably nothing on the ground which is good but you still want you still want there to be in your shelters you don't want to be left anywhere I think there I also read that there was a flash warning in Georgia there is it's for clay and early counties and it is in regard Southwestern Georgia it is in regards to moisture from Fred seed from this storm and it includes the locations of Fort gains Blakeley Belleville bluon Ferell Crossroads kolski Mounds SP or kosi Mount state park that's what the SP means Harrison Mills koki zetto Jones Crossing su's Corner pan and Fort Gaines clay Airport so that's a flash blood warning in the city of Georgia connected to Francine some of the power is back on in Assumption Parish which is good but Turan is now up to 20 5,000 customers without power if you're wondering that's a 91.9% outage without power that's 92% oh that's a that was a glitch up there with Washington thought I should report that oh a little bit of a couet right there something to keep an eye on and just as quickly as the cupets there it starts to bronen out which happens a lot in uh tropical Cyclone tornadoes tropical Cyclone tornadoes are basically the definition of qlcs tornadoes yeah you get some invited super CS in there you can have some discrets as a part of the band in but they're a majority qlcs which is quasi linear convective system they're basically embedded they tend to be rain wrapped and they don't really get that strong now you can still get e f3s and e4s out of them um there is I don't think not been an E4 Tornado from a hurricane in about uh over 50 years usually they just go up to e f3s um there's to my knowledge never been an EF5 or F5 from a tornado oh sorry not from a tornado from a hurricane and there probably never will be one e for for e for for for still waiting to see what's happening with this tornado warant system couple how really broadened out don't I don't think they're going to do an extension on it I don't think one is happen I don't think we're going to see an extension think they're going to allow that to expire I will come back a little bit I think there's something that we need to make clear so the eye itself is right in this area it's right in here this is technically a part of the eyewall but it's so the rain is just so far detached from the eye and the wind itself like you have winds in this area and you have winds here and you have winds here that it's what happens when you have storms that come in as cat one cat 2os and have the you know the weird shaped eyes the the elliptical eyes and whatnot eyes that are not like fully closed you know you can tell like they're dealing with shear and dry air intrusions which is what Francine was dealing with up to landfall and the fact that it was even able to strengthen up up to Cat 2 at landfall up right up to landfall pretty impressive so this warning is going to expire in seven minutes I think once that warning expires we'll take another break and another short break I'm going to be waiting for the statement see what the Nic knocks it down to and we will go from there this has a special Marine warning on it going right towards the land I would not be surprised if throw a velocity yeah there's a there's a couplet there moving at 35 knots so that's moving at 40 m hour so there's a couplet here moving north um Northwest cuz here's the state line right here so it's going to move into extreme Western Mississippi and it's it's actually very close to shore it's actually about 8 8 and 1 12 miles from Shore so it looks like that the T the tornado threat with this is actually decided to it actually was holding off until after the stor made landfall and now we're going to be seeing a bit of a nocturnal which is in line with tomorrow the morning being a coastal Mississippi and Alabama threat so uh Southern Mississippi and Alabama in the morning and then having Central Alabama which includes Birmingham and Montgomery being in the early to midafternoon range going into the late afternoon for the tornado threat so this all checks out would not be surprised if we see a tornado warning get issued there now there is a tornado watch little effect till 11:00 p.m. central tonight that's midnight Eastern um that then they'll the SPC will before that one expires or as that one expires they'll put out another watch which will probably last about 12 hours that's usually how long these um watches that are related to tropical storms hurricanes you know to Tropical Cyclones and remnants of tropical Cyclones last for some damage in this alaman from what I've seen plish Parish has said that due to deteriorating weather conditions they will expa the EMS will only respond to extreme life-threatening situation for so I do fully expect the tornado warning to get issued very shortly on this as the side out aom one really is broadened down uh new day one convective Outlook P PC Storm Prediction Center and we do still have the slight risk in there for for all right and the tornado warning has been allowed to expire which is good same Martin has actually got him customers back online which is nice to see when that happens with that we're going to take a break we'll probably come back we'll come back in once the update comes out came out early last um hour I think it will come it early this hour as well and as well as we get a tornado warning on this we can cut back in so we will be back shortly for for for for [Music] this yep I knew so damn I'm just popping in to say uh new tornado warning I'm still going to wait for the um update to come out and come back fully but I'm just going to say Southern Hancock County and Southern Mississippi uh radar indicated W spout moving onshore to the west of Waveland this will be near Waveland and Shoreline Park around 755 alth it's actually going to be around there right now 5 minutes early and parlington around 805 uh this includes Interstate 10 in Mississippi between M markers 4 and 9 uh this warning will go till 8:15 Central we'll be back [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] e [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] for for [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] all right we're back um so this tornado warning does go until uh 9:15 update is out I knew it came out early uh heavy rains and strong winds spreading across New Orleans Francine continues to move Inland over Southern Louisiana lifethreatening storm surge heavy rains and hurricane force winds are affecting portions of the area stay inside and way from Windows that have multiple ways to receive warnings and updates heavy rains and Gusty winds are being are spreading across Metropolitan New Orleans an observation in Lakefront Airport has recently reported sustained winds at 37 mph with gust of 49 mph conditions are expected to continue to deteriorate during the next couple of hours the summary is this location 29.6 north 90.8 west it Francine Center is about 50 Mi west southwest of New Orleans it is moving Northeast at 17 mph maximum sustained winds are down to 75 M hour and the pressure has risen to 980 because that we are at bare minimum hurricane 75 mph this is the last hourly positional update on Francine for those that don't know how the NHC Works its positional updates um they stop positional updates when one of two things happens it gets to a bare minimum hurricane in between advisories a storm gets to a bare minimum hurricane in between intermediate and full or between full and intermediate and one of those hourly positionals meaning they're going to drop it down to a tropical storm at the next update or it's a tropical storm or they drop it immediately down to a tropical storm at an advisory which them putting it at 75 mil an hour tells me that we're going to a tropical storm at the next full advisory in 2 hours time so D if it's not already one by now so due to that we're not going to be lasting on the air that much longer we are going to cover this tornado warning and then we will head off uh the air once the tornado warning expires and also once with have the 7 hour mark but we'll also go over the remaining threats when it comes to Francine so we do have the this tornado warning it is radar indicated it's going to be near Pearlington about now I guess Eastern plarlington um and eventually it's going to go over there it looks like that the couplet is starting to broaden out a little bit which is always a good sign let's take a look at the CC do we have any CC drop we do not so no tornado on the ground from this I wall has really collapsed I don't even know if you can tell what is the eyewall anymore cuz at it is at 75 mph and I mean look at the the gust the gust we're at 990s now we're only in the high 80s and looking over here these gusts I mean they're still in the '90s but not as strong as they were so that tells you that it is weakening thankful this one looks like it's broadening out just like the last one which is a good sign as well let's take a look around at some other things well this is one that we're watching for possible couplets later on uh moving on sh as we know the threat tonight is mainly going to be in the nighttime hours these could spawn something the have looks like a bunch of storms trying to make some couplets right over here in this area and going to egland Air Force Base looks like not much in the way stuff over here Tallahassee not much going over here as well we'll see what happens with these moving this way this moving up when they basically mix into one tornado warning does continue for Hancock County and we do have a flash flood warning here for Hancock County in Mississippi for Livingston Parish in Louisiana St tamman Parish in Louisiana Tangi Pahoa count uh not County excuse me Parish in Louisiana 1 to 3 in of rain of fall and additional amounts of 2 to 4 in are possible and this includes sidel Hammond Bas Lewis Covington Wavin Diamond Head ponchatula Pearl River aidita Springs Madisonville Springfield lome stennis Space Center plarlington robertt Clint Shortline park at Albany and the sidel airport yeah for for e and it's falling apart they're going to let it expire so the tornado warning is going to be allowed to expire at the top or s coming up in just a couple minutes the force is over 30,000 customers without power Orleans is at 28,000 and Jefferson's at 37,000 customers plaman is at at 2600 there is a lot of Southern Louisiana without power that number will continue to rise all righty well let's just go over these flash flood warnings this one for Morgan City will expire at 11:00 p.m. central Time so midnight Eastern this one will expire at 900 p.m. for uh Northern Morgan City this one over here by belrose and plain Court will expire at 9:45 this one for de Al de Alman will be until 9:30 this is lifethreatening flash flooding so this is emergency management uh observe this is considerable the considerable tag so this has the considerable tag so this is essentially a PDS sloud warning I'm pretty sure uh same here for the place uh lifethreatening flash flooding it is uh confirmed radar indicated confirmed considerable tag on that New Orleans considerable tag on that one that goes until 930 the one for the place goes till 9:45 Central this one down here radar engage indicated this is considerable until 9:30 and then this one for H that one will go until 9:15 this one over here for sidal will go until 11:00 p.m. Central and the one in Georgia goes until 11:15 Eastern this special Marine warning goes till 8:30 and it's going to keep getting those until those get closer to the coast well let's go over the remaining risks on scene which is the rainfall obviously the winds are continue to go down but it's going to be the rainfall The Surge and of course the tornadoes um this winds obviously are an issue and are problem but the rain it's mainly going to be surge on the backside for some of these lowly areas is what we do have to worry about so so first of all starting off with the surge for Francine 1 to 3 ft for free point to Vermilion Cameron Parish line I assuming that this is going to get removed at the next full advisory Vermilion Cameron Parish line inter coastal city 2 to 4T that could come down or they might leave that inter coastal city to Burns Point 3 to 5 ft which includes Vermillion Bay 5 to 10 10 ft for burns point to Port foron the port foron the mouth of the Mississippi River is 4 to 7 ft the mouth of the Mississippi River to the mouth of the Pearl River which is the Louisiana uh Mississippi border 2 to 4 feet mouth of the poal river to Ocean Springs Mississippi 4 to 6 feet Ocean Springs Mississippi to the Mississippi Alabama border 3 to 5 ft the Mississippi Alabama border to the Alabama Florida border 2 to 4T which includes Mobile Bay being 2 to 4 ft and the Alabama Florida border to the Santa Rosa okalo County Line 1 to2 ft Lake maras 3 to 5 ft of surge on that Lake and on Lake pona train 4 to six feet there on the lake moving over to the Rain fall there is still for tonight A moderate risk on the excessive rainfall outlook for Louisiana and Mississippi going all the way up towards Jackson tomorrow there is that slight risk that goes into the Tennessee in parts of the Ohio Valley and Missouri valleys and shoots southeastward down to the Gulf Coast near Alabama Georgia and Florida and a day three excessive rainfall goes from Kentucky it shoots down southeastward through parts of West Central Tennessee across north northern and northeastern Alabama and into Central Georgia including the Atlanta metro area and that's going to be on Saturday Jacksonville is also under an excessive uh rainfall Outlook of a slight risk for today and then here's marginals all surrounding that on each to 3 days so for rainfall what are we expecting out of Francine well moisture for Francine is basically done for most of the Florida Peninsula only about up to an inch for parts of around cape canaval and the Miami area Jacksonville up to an inch but uh parts of southeastern Georgia could see up to uh 2 to 4 in or sorry 1 to 2 in up to 1 to 2 Ines there is what I meant to say for these areas up to 2 to 4 in in parts of southeastern Georgia uh parts of the Big Bend in Florida Panhandle could see up to 4 or 6 in but mainly the Panhandle is going to see 2 to 4 in with the Big Bend in that 1 to 2 in range Georgia most of Georgia is going to be in that 1 to2 in range however parts of Central Georgia including Atlanta are in that 2 to four range parts of the Carolinas um Western North Carolina and South Carolina uh 1 to 2 in but some Pockets locally up to 4 in Indiana Southern Indiana around Evansville 1 to 2 in for Kentucky uh also one to two in mainly for okay I do apologize about that disconnection real quick uh but we are back now eastern Arkansas 1 to 2 in of rain but along closer to the Mississippi River that's 2 to four uh now getting into Tennessee uh parts of East Central and most of Western Tennessee will be 2 to four however some parts of Central and Western Tennessee especially around Memphis are in that 2 to4 range um and then much of Mississippi Southern Mississippi has and a good chunk of central Mississippi going down the East Side in that 4 to6 uh the rest of the Mississippi in the 2 to4 however there is part here in Louisiana and around Mississippi there in that border region could get 6 to 8 Ines of rain still as for Louisiana most of the rain there is done Metro New Orleans looks like another is there and other parts here it looks like batam Rouge is probably going to be about 1 to 2 in more east of B Rouge you got 2 to four and then a lot of areas so on the southwest side of of the Lakes uh of Pon train and maras looks like four to six and that shoots northeastward into uh Mississippi so if you're to the north and east of the lake looks like another 4 6 in if you're to the west of the lake and south of the lake okay it reconnected that's telling me we got a we're going to wrap it up most of Alabama including mobile Tuscaloosa and other areas in and Auburn in that 2 to4 and then Birmingham up going towards Huntsville in the 4-6 range moving to the Storm Prediction Center slight r for the rest of tonight 5% for tornadoes no wind or hail there's a marginal for wind and hail up in The Inter Mountain West in the dtas Wyoming parts of Nebraska Idaho and Montana so that is a slight risk for tornadoes here a 5% including New Orleans mobile mat goport and Kenner with the two% including Baton Rouge Meridian shenendoa Laurel and Baker this is mainly an overnight threat where this is mainly going into day two our slight risk for tomorrow there is actually a double slight risk Wyoming and Montana and that goes up into Saskatchewan is the slight risk with the marginal being for Nebraska Wyoming Montana and The Dakotas that is a 2% tornado 15% win and 15% hail up there with 5% going around it but for our risk down here in the Southeast in regards to Francine we have a five % tornado risk and that goes for Birmingham Montgomery Tallahassee Hoover and Dothan Alabama with the 2% going for mobile Columbus Huntsville Tuscaloosa and Albany in Georgia uh Pensacola is in the 2% Panama City is in the 5% as well so this right hostal area so Alabama Southwestern Georgia you know Southern Alabama along the coast and also in the 5% there Southern Alabama bordering the Panhandle and the Florida Panhandle that's going to be more of a morning you know a morning event so carry over from tonight it's Fisk goes there tomorrow in the morning and then the rest of Alabama Eastern Mississippi uh North Eastern Mississippi parts of Southern Tennessee and Western Georgia that's going to be your more a afternoon event so early afternoon mid afternoon and going into the late afternoon this is going to be the uh event for tomorrow due to Francine moisture and the Eastern bands that's going to be uh a afternoon event so if you're below this line that I just drew my mouse you have a morning event if you're north of that line you're going to have an afternoon event hopefully not going to go into the evening overnight like we're seeing tonight but you never know and then day three this is just going to be leftover stuff when it regards the Francine because Francine's really going to slow down in this area or well what's going to be left of it before it dissipates marginal risk for the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend uh Eastern Alabama and much of Western and Central Georgia including Atlanta Birmingham Montgomery Columbus and Huntsville this is just probabilistic 5% risk um since this is going to be left over Francine could be another slight risk again uh mainly tornado driven but probably just going to be um not that uh Maybe not maybe other stuff gets in there so the main risks is the flash flooding and of course the tornadoes over the next few days so make sure you are whether prepared whether aware you have ways to receive warnings and make sure you can um get out of Harm's Way and go to your safe place if needed be but that's going to do it for us here at spark Service uh for covering the landfall of covering the landfall of Francine I want to thank you all for joining us and watching uh thanks to um I would like to thank Josh and Clayton who were chasing today and were out there for the landfall um you know safe travels for them getting back uh to where they are from in Mississippi um and I like to thank everybody for watching um if you know people that have been affected by Francine make sure you uh our you know our prayers go out to them um definitely send your donations to them via your local R Cross or any other um organization that will help with the Francine recovery that being said my name is Jonesy I've been your host for today and thank you all for watching and with that can I can I add the media source for oh so now that wants to work that's funny that's actually funny cuz it didn't work for the tornado warnings but it wants to work for that well those three counties in Montana have a seral that morning all righty but thank you all for watching and we will see you all next time take care and good night and I leave you with the song that we played to begin for the as an outro goodbye [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music] [Music]