Trending searches: allan lichtman prediction for 2024
[Applause] two weeks after vice president kamla Harris took the stage at the Democratic National Convention to accept the party's nomination American University Professor Alan lickman has a prediction about the 2024 US presidential election kamla Harris will be the first woman president of the United States lickman is a historian and has correctly predicted nine out of the last 10 elections and his pick of Harris is certainly momentous this is enormous historically his prediction won't earn any approvals from Donald Trump but lickman did note he predicted Trump would beat Hillary Clinton back in 2016 I was one of the very few maybe virtually alone who predicted she would lose in 2016 and Donald Trump would win his forecasts are based on a historic index model he created that he calls the keys to the White House there are 13 of them and among them they include short and long-term economy policy change social unrest and foreign military success and failure Israel's war on Gaza helped make this election cycle harder to predict with ongoing protests against the US support of Israel and by having Harris not Biden who's responsible for policy outfront it's dampened uh protests and helped the Democrats to secure the social unrest Key by the way lickman initially said the Democrats should not drop Joe Biden from the race but somehow the Democrats grew a spine and grew a brain and United around Harris which secured the contest key now after more than four Decades of predicting every presidential winner except one in the year 2000 lickman has one main message to candidates and voters the big message of the keys and it's a positive one is that it's governing not campaigning that counts so keep your eye on the big picture Craig Boswell trt World Washington