SHOCKING Latest New Polls AFTER DEBATE: 2024 Election

I love this part of the night when we learn all the different ways that each candidate could win indeed good to talk to you Nora this is the fun part I'm going to show you just how close this is and what it means when we look at the fact that remember the presidential election is decided in the states and we think it will come down to just seven of those States the closest ones they're the Battlegrounds now across the Sun Belt there are a few we're going to see Nevada and Arizona and then Georgia and North Carolina all fast growing diverse States and then in the Upper Midwest we've got Michigan Wisconsin and where the debate's being held in Pennsylvania now you want to see just how tight these are I'll show you some of our latest polls in Pennsylvania dead even it's 5050 and then in Michigan it's a onepoint difference that's within the margin of error similar story in Wisconsin it's a two-point difference again in the margin of error those are examples of what we mean by razor tight so how does this play out then on Election night well we're going to take a look at what we call the past to victory for each of the candidates so I'm going to bring up that map and the states you're going to see in red we think they're going to go Republican the ones in blue we think they're going to go Democratic and those Battleground States I talked about those are in Gray so we can play a little hypothetical game here let's start with Pennsylvania and let's say Okay Democrats won it last time let's suppose Harris can hold it this time I'm going to put that in her column right there and Light It Up In Blue now if that happens and that's an if if she were to then also hold the states that Biden held in the Upper Midwest I'm going to put Michigan in her column and then I'm going to put Wisconsin in there and that all El equl would get Harris to the 270 that she would need okay there's another path for her and that could be through those Sun Belt states she could she flips North Carolina after the Democrats lost it last time if she keeps Georgia in the Democratic column which Joe Biden narrowly won and then goes out west and holds on to Arizona and also holds on to Nevada that also gets her over 275 now for Trump and this shows you also just how pivotal Pennsylvania can be here's a hypothetical for him he wins Pennsylvania let's suppose like he did in 2016 and then he could hold North Carolina like he did last time and if he were to flip Georgia back into his column that gets Trump to 270 so those are just some of the scenarios that could play out but the big story is in a race this close every vote every state starts to matter Nora Anthony salvanto thank you so much and of course of course those Battleground States those seven states could not play a more important role so let's turn now to Major Garrett he's got to look at where the campaigns have focused their time hi there major hi Nora Anthony loves maps and numbers I love maps and numbers this map though no numbers only blobs but I love blobs okay folks I love the blobs too all right very simply travel during this 20124 campaign in blue that's where the Democratic ticket has gone red that's where the Republicans gone the gray blob told you I love the blobs both guess what folks all the blobs are in the Battleground States hello that's exactly right look at the Blobby state of all no disrespect Pennsylvania God love you the Commonwealth more blobs than anyone else Republicans and Democrats are going to and have been descending on Pennsylvania same thing with Michigan Wisconsin interestingly North Carolina Nora 75 days ago after that first debate the Trump campaign thought North Carolina was done and dusted over not anymore they're spending a lot of time there and of course Nevada and Arizona these blobs are not just representative of the thing that candidates value most their time and their rallies and their exposure they're also indicative of campaign ad spending digital and television and radio they're also indicative of offices for the campaigns volunteers door knocking all the fundamentals in campaigns so wherever you see blobs that's where the campaigns are most active and a word of warning if you're an undecided voter in any of these blobs states to use a football term have your head on a swivel you are likely to be tackled walking into the grocery store by one of these two campaigns it's an excellent point and of those seven Battleground States Trump only won North Carolina in the last election so it's a competitive again this year but leans Republican at this point but narrowly very narly very narly the recent discussion of battleground States and potential paths to victory for both Donald Trump and kamla Harris shines a spotlight on the intensity of this election in a political landscape dominated by polarization the seven key States Pennsylvania Michigan Wisconsin North Carolina Georgia Arizona and Nevada are more critical than ever the outcome of this election will not be decided by the overall popular vote but by the electoral votes of these swing states which makes the competition in each of them all the more fierce in Michigan and Wisconsin States Biden narrowly won in 2020 the Democrats face an uphill battle to maintain their lead poll suggest that these states are similarly tight with only one or two points separating the two candidates Harris needs these tradition Democratic strongholds in the Upper Midwest to stay in her corner but Trump's ability to connect with bluecollar voters in these areas cannot be underestimated if he flips either Michigan or Wisconsin back to Red the path to Victory opens wide for him campaigns are more aggressive and targeted than ever the saturation of political ads phone calls door knocking and social media campaigns is overwhelming in these states it's almost impossible for voters to escape the political barrage but this level of Engagement speaks to the high stakes of the election undecided voters in Pennsylvania Michigan Mig and Georgia for example are receiving unparalleled attention and every vote counts in a race this close as Major Garrett joked if you're undecided in any of these states have your head on a swivel you're likely to be tackled going into the store by one of these campaigns but the importance of these sunb states cannot be overstated States like Georgia North Carolina and Arizona are growing quickly with increasingly diverse populations that represent a broader shift in the US electorate these are states where changing demographics are reshaping the political landscape in both parties are vying to win over these voters Harris needs to maintain the Democratic gains in Georgia and Arizona and possibly flip North Carolina to create a solid Pathway to 270 electoral votes meanwhile Trump will be looking to regain ground in these states particularly Georgia which he lost narrowly in 2020 one of the key aspects of this race is how razor tight the margins are in Michigan and Wisconsin both of which Biden won narrowly the margins are only one or two points this a slim difference shows just how competitive the race is these Rust Belt states are crucial for both campaigns and the path to victory for either candidate likely runs through this region Harris will need to defend these states while Trump will look to reclaim them to rebuild his Rust Belt firewall from 2016 the analysis also touched on the impact of campaign efforts in these Battleground States from ad spending to door knocking and other Grassroots activities this level of Engagement underscores just how important every single vote is in these states campaigns are sparing no effort in trying to persuade undecided voters in places like Pennsylvania and Georgia where even a small shift in voter sentiment could make all the difference as Major Garrett humorously pointed out voters in these states are likely to feel overwhelmed by the attention they're receiving from both campaigns in summary this election is a masterclass in political strategy both candidates are vying for razor thin margins and key Battleground States and every vote truly matters the tension and excitement in these states are palpable as they hold the keys to the future of the nation with such close polling the final outcome will likely come down to the wire each state could tip the scales in a different direction and that makes race one of the most unpredictable in modern history whether through the Rust Belt or the Sun Belt the path to 270 electoral votes is filled with twists and turns and only time will tell who will ultimately prevail