Trump vs Harris Based On The LATEST Poll in EACH STATE!

the 2024 election is now just 11 weeks away so let's take a look at the latest polling and betting Market data let's start off with all the states former president Trump will win Florida South Carolina Tennessee Alabama Mississippi Louisiana Arkansas Missouri Kentucky West Virginia Iowa Indiana Ohio Oklahoma Texas Kansas Nebraska North and South Dakota Montana Wyoming Idaho Utah Maine and finally Alaska now let's map the states kamla Harris will win without contest Washington Oregon California Hawaii New Mexico Colorado Nebraska's second district Illinois New York New Jersey Delaware Maryland Washington DC Vermont Connecticut Maryland Rhode Island and finally Maine's First District this brings Donald Trump's total to 221 electoral votes and kamla Harris to 197 now let's turn our attention to the Battleground states where the real fight for the presidency will be decided recent polls show a tight race in many of these crucial states starting in the west Arizona finds itself in a dead heat with Trump and Harris tied in the latest polls this traditionally Republican state has become increasingly competitive having flipped to the Democrats in 2020 for the first time since 1996 moving to Nevada Harris holds a slim lead of about one point while Nevada has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 2008 this narrow margin suggests it remains a Battleground shifting to the Rust Belt Minnesota gives Harris a more comfortable lead of 7.6 points Minnesota has the longest streak of voting Democratic and presidential elections lasto Republican in 1972 And this lead suggests that Trend may continue in Wisconsin Harris maintains a lead of 3.4 points Wisconsin has been highly competitive in recent elections often decided by narrow margins and playing a crucial role in determining the overall winner neighboring Michigan shows Harris with a 2.3 Point Advantage Michigan has been a key Battleground voting Republican in 2016 before flipping back to the Democrats in 2020 Pennsylvania often considered a must-win state shows a tightening race Harris leads by only one point with Trump closing the Gap Pennsylvania has swung between parties in recent elections and was pivotal in both 2016 and 2020 moving North to New Hampshire Harris holds a solid seven-point lead while New Hampshire has favored Democrats in recent presidential elections it's still considered a swing state due to its independent streak heading south to Virginia Harris maintains a three-point Advantage once a reliable Republican state Virginia has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008 though this margin suggests it's not a guaranteed win in North Carolina Trump holds a narrow lead of half a point North Carolina has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections with the exception of 2008 making this tight race particularly noteworthy finally Georgia presents another nailbiter with Harris leading by less than one point after flipping to the Democrats in 2020 for the first time since 1992 Georgia once again proves to be a crucial swing state based on these latest polls Harris appears to have a slight Edge in the Battleground States leading an eight out of 10 however with several States showing margins within the polling error and 2 months left until election day this race remains highly competitive the outcomes in Pennsylvania Wisconsin and Georgia could very well determine the next president now that we have the latest polling data let's update our elector College map for the swing States we'll make a prediction for each Battleground State based on current polls and voting history starting in the west we have Arizona with its 11 electoral votes Trump and Harris are tied here given Arizona's long history of voting Republican before 2020 will give Trump a slight Edge and color Arizona red moving to Nevada which carries six electoral votes Harris leads by about one point will color Nevada blue continue continuing its recent trend of supporting Democrats in presidential elections now to the Rust Belt in Minnesota worth 10 electoral votes Harris has a solid lead of 7.6 points will confidently color Minnesota blue reflecting its long streak of voting for democratic presidents Wisconsin also with 10 electoral votes shows Harris leading by 3.4 points will Mark Wisconsin blue adding another 10 electoral votes to her column in Michigan a big prize with 16 electoral votes Harris is up by 2.3 points we'll color Michigan blue as well aligning with its 2020 vote Pennsylvania always a crucial state with its 20 electoral votes has Harris leading by only one point despite the narrow margin we'll color Pennsylvania blue based on this slight lead and its 2020 results heading north to New Hampshire worth four electoral votes Harris holds a comfortable seven-point lead will color New Hampshire blue consistent with its recent voting pattern moving south to Virginia which has 13 electoral votes Harris maintains a three-point lead we'll mark Virginia blue in line with its voting Trend since 2008 in North Carolina a valuable state with 15 electoral votes Trump leads by half a point we'll color North Carolina red reflecting both this slim lead and its tendency to vote Republican in recent presidential elections finally we come to Georgia offering 16 electoral votes Paris Leads Here by less than one point despite the razor thin margin we'll cautiously color Georgia Blue following its surprise flip in 2020 after updating our electoral map with these predictions we see Harris with an advantage in the Battleground States winning seven out of 10 however several of these races remain Incredibly Close particularly in Arizona Pennsylvania and Georgia now let's take a step back and look at the big picture of this race through the lens of overall betting odds when President Biden made the surprising announcement that he wouldn't seek re-election the betting markets initially heavily favored Trump at that time Trump held a commanding lead in the odds with a 63% chance of winning compared to Harris's 29% however the race has tightened significantly since then Harris has steadily closed the Gap and at one point even took the lead in the overall odds this shift reflects the dynamic nature of the campaign and suggests that Harris has gained momentum since stepping into the role of democratic nominee the state-by-state breakdown of betting odds we just reviewed paints a nuanced picture of the race we see Harris performing strongly in some crucial Battleground States like Wisconsin Michigan and Minnesota on the other hand Trump is favored in other key states such as Pennsylvania Arizona and Georgia this mixed picture in the Battleground States underscores the competitive nature of this election while the national odds have tightened the state level odds suggest that the Electoral College race could be Incredibly Close what we can say with certainty is that the 2024 presidential election is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched and competitive races in recent memory the contrast between polling data and betting odds in some states adds an extra layer of intrigue to the contest