hi it's Mitch from piic dogs.com here with the free pick in the Rays versus Twins Major League Baseball matchup on Wednesday September 4th 20024 if you like all the free picks we do at pic dogs you'll love our premium picks our Best Bets just go to pic dogs.com click on the premium picks tab also got a link directly below this video in the description if you make bigger bets thousand or more per game you have like a $10,000 plus bankroll looking for that high volume trading style betting we offer that as well it's called our VIP service for that just text the number you see on the screen but let's get to it we've got the Rays taking on the twins two good teams but the twins a playoff team the Rays not a playoff team this year and you know the twins certainly battling it out in that uh American League Central but it just seems like nobody has really gained any ground they sit three games behind the Cleveland Guardians at this point and you know the way that things have gone in this race I don't see that changing much they have put some distance between them and the Royals for second third place in the wild card still trailing the Orioles for first place in the wild card as well same distance as them and the Guardians those three games look at this particular game it's Pablo Lopez on the ball for the twins Taj Bradley on the mount for the Rays and you know Lopez has been definitely a better pitcher recently than we saw him earlier this season you know when you think of Lopez you think of a top of the rotation guy but he hasn't always looked like that but this season um at least as of late boy you know has been tough to get runs on him and he's going deep into games a lot of strikeouts I mean this is exactly what the Twins were hoping to get when they traded a rise for him a couple years ago he's got a 4.05 erra for the Season 22 home runs allowed over 155 and 2/3 Innings of work he struck out 164 batters but you look at his last three games and it is a 0.0 erra the opposite side of this one for the Rays going with Taj Bradley who kind of has opposite results of Lopez where he started the season really strong and then lately he's just been getting absolutely belted all the way up to last game where he gave up eight earned runs in two in the third Innings of work on eight hits and a bomb allowed just absolutely terrible as ER though because of that really strong early part of the Season 3.55 erra 15 home runs allowed 114 strikeouts over 101 in a third Innings of work but here's where you got to always dig deeper in baseball because when you look at just season statistics right you look at Bradley 3.55 ER you look at Lopez 4.05 ER but you look at the last three games Lopez 0.0 ER Bradley 8.40 erra so who's actually the better pitcher I would say today it's Lopez when you look at the way these teams are hitting the baseball coming in Bradley a Bradley um you know the Lefty and Lopez the righty Brad the yeah the twins hitting just 189 versus lefties though and 233 versus righties while the rays are hitting lefties really hard at 321 Lopez of course a righty where the twins are hitting 218 both bullpens about even around in that four range over their last 10 games and the twins just three and eight in their last 11 against the Rays but the thing is this one just looks like a mismatch I'm going to take the Twins and that's going to be my free pick of course while you're doing your picks putting your bets in use our free betting tools at sportschatplace.com 100% free and they'll help put you on the most favorable bets on the board today