9/1/24 College Football Picks | LSU vs USC | Preview and Prediction

hey guys it is Scott the Steen roller Stein with the winnersandwhiners.com it is Sunday the 1st of September the NFL says uh you know what we need another week off College you go ahead and have a big game and that's exactly what we're going to do that's exactly what we're going to take a look at but before we do that if you guys would take a minute of your time and hit that like button smash that thumbs up thank you very much for the effort if you haven't subscribed to the channel already man this is a good chance to do it going to be a lot of great football content up there for both the college and the pros so make sure when you do you ring that Bell and you get notified every time we put up brand new content of course we want you to go to winnersandwhiners.com the preeminent site for free handicapping on every single game Pricks picks previews and predictions every game every single day for free so check that out as well grab yourself some premium plays if you're so desired and if you would like to use the code ubz z55 d35 that'll get you 35% off any premium package at winnersandwhiners.com so check that out as well um spoiler alert you don't want to use that just head over to the website now we're doing a 40% sale that ends at midnight tonight on Sunday last weekend before the big football seasons really get rolling so make sure you take advantage of that 44% off or 40% off and yeah just disregard that code right there okay there you go uh all right take a look at yesterday action real quick before we get to this LSU USC game man day started off really well we had the Louisville Cardinals to cover 36 and a half and they kind of did that in their sleep as they what they win that 60 63 to the three I don't know a bunch h no that was I think that was that was Tennessee never mind but yeah a bunch did not very much as that one was really never in doubt uh the boys you state Georgia Southern game I'll tell you what Bo State brought back 11 starters uh Georgia Southern brought back eight uh should have got new ones because the defenses in that game were absolutely Dreadful didn't see it coming absolutely no defense and we went down in flames in that as far as our Underdog pick we didn't have a lot of great choices because of the big spreads uh we picked one that I thought had a real chance at Miami plus 140 you know what they had their shots the defense did well um or that Northwestern offense is is still really terrible Northwestern defense really good once again I'll tell you what those wild cats I Believe are going to be a dead under team until further notice so uh yeah not ideal at least you know at least Iowa showed some showed some glimpses of offense yesterday uh Northwestern yeah not much so one and two on our initial deep three of the college season not excited but you know what uh there room for improvement right there on the plus side had my premium college players today we need to go three and one including hitting my best bet which is Georgia minus 12 and a half love that line move once it got off the 13 in the end it didn't matter but we got a good number and we got a good victory out of that one all right so let's talk about this LSU USC game shall we it's going to be played out there in lost wages at the Allegient uh Allegent Field Center comple I don't whatever it is um it's uh we're looking at the total of this is 64 and a half guys it's a lot like laying numbers in the 40s when you start playing totals in the 60s but you know what I like the over in this game uh Miller Moss who was really good in USC's Bowl win last year Over Louisville takes over for Caleb Williams a quarterback believe it or not he probably has a better stable of receivers than Williams did uh last year to throw two and I expect to see downfield shots early and often this is an LSU defense that allowed a 41 41% completion rate on throws of 15 yards or more and that ranked 72nd in the country as far as the Tigers defense goes they were uh particularly susceptible to big plays on the ground they gave up 10 or more yards on 15.2% of their attempts that's 103rd in the country Lincoln Riley scheme uh has the uh very possibly could cause some issues for LSU he excels at spreading the defense defenses out creating light boxes and that is absolutely contrary to Baker's defensive strategy that they brought in from missou uh last year at Missouri Baker used a stacked box 50 65% of the time 20th highest rate in FBS and that's uh that's a recipe for a disaster on the defensive side uh but not only did uh Jaylen Daniels getting draft in the first round so did Neighbors and Williams they got nism in and he's going to have very good protection from this veteran offensive line uh Tigers brought back four starters and that was from a unit that ranked third in the nation in pressure adjusted proponent adjusted pressure rate last season according to campus to Canton and by the way if you don't campus to Canton it's a real great site uh USC Li allowed a 45.8% completion rate on passes to 15 yards more that's 112th in the country uh LSU to keep the defense off off to keep up with USC they're likely going to have to take some downfield shots I think the only way they get pressure is if uh if if USC blitzes and I believe that's going to leave opportunities both over the middle and downfield for big plays I see a lot of passing in this one and I see a lot of big gainers uh yeah it's 64 and a half it's a ton of points but you know what we're going to lay it so let's let's do it let's take LSU USC over 64 and a half and at the end of that one you guys can join me as we pick up our winning tickets and head back to the window all right everybody as always thanks very much for watching I appreciate each and every one of you don't forget to drop me a comment let me know what you think about this play and let me know what else you got cooked up for today got a little baseball you got a little WNBA whatever it is drop those plays in the comment section and let's see what you got cooking all right you guys take care have a fantastic Sunday enjoy the game let's go out there and make some money back tomorrow to talk all about it