Predictor Allan Lichtman says Kamala will win the 2024 election#america

so let's get to how these Keys actually work they are 13 big picture true false questions that tap into the strength and performance of The White House Party and only two keys have anything to do with the candidates but Alan 2024 is an unprecedented election year can your 13 Keys really call it right the keys absolutely will work they are the constant Northern Star of political prediction number one the White House Party gained House Seats between midterm elections the Democrats did better than expected in 20122 but they still lost House Seats so the key is false remember a false key is good for Trump number two the incumbency key the sitting president is running for re-election Biden withdrew from the race costing the Democrats this key it is false wait you're saying it would have helped the Democrats if Biden stayed in if Biden stayed in they would have salvaged this one key that's all hm okay moving on for now number three the White House Party avoided a primary contest the Democrats finally got smart and United overwhelmingly behind vice president Harris so the key is true a true key that moves Harris off the starting block number four there's no third party Challenger RFK Jr has dropped out of the race and no no other thirdparty candidate is anywhere close to the 10% polling threshold needed to turn this key it's true for keys in and it's neck and neck let's keep going number five the short-term economy is strong look despite all the loose talk about a so-called Vibe session the economy is not in recession so this key is true number six long-term economic growth during this presidential term has been at least as good as the last two terms growth during the Biden term is far ahead of growth during the previous two terms so this key is clearly true number seven the White House has made major changes to National policy rejoining the Paris Accords on climate change the chips Bill the infrastructure Bill the inflation reduction and climate change Bill clearly the key is true number eight there is no sustained social unrest during the term there have been sporadic protests but nothing approaching the massive sustained social unrest needed to turn this key so it's true but schools are just going back to session with new protests couldn't this key flip yes there were a lot of protesters upset with Biden's policies in the Middle East but now with Harris not Biden front and center that has dampened social unrest number nine the White House is untainted by Scandal oh my favorite key the Scandal key and Republicans have been trying for years to pin a scandal on President Biden and come up empty so the key is true but come on Allan Biden's horrific debate performance questions about his Age Hunter Biden doesn't any of that count no there has to be at least some bipartisan recognition of actual corruption that implicates the president himself and not a family member so the key remains true so two false and seven true so far looking pretty good for the Democrats we have four keys left all of which would have to be false for Trump to have a path number 10 the incumbent Party candidate is charismatic this is a very high threshold key you have to be a once in a generational broadly inspirational candidate Harris has not met that standard so this key is is false number 11 the Challenger is uncharismatic some people think Donald Trump is a God but he only appeals to a narrow base so that key is true but wait that means the Democrats will hold on to the White House and kamla Harris will be the next president of the United States but wait a sec Allan we still have two keys left the foreign policy Keys you're right foreign policy is tricky and these keys could flip the Biden Administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight but even if both foreign policy Keys flipped false that would mean that there were only five negative Keys which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the white house so I guess that means you're standing by your prediction kamla Harris will be the next president of the United States at least that's my prediction for this race but the outcome is up to you so get out and vote