NC State Football 2024 Schedule Preview & Record Projection

Intro what's going on YouTube this is sg1 sports and you're watching our college football channel we continue with our 2024 schedule preview and projected record series the NC State will pack up next coming off of a pretty good season Last Years Schedule let's look at their schedule from last year uh they did lose to Notre Dame Louisville and Duke played Notre Dame in the non-conference which of course is I mean it's a non-conference game but they have the agreement with the ACC they also played Yukon on the road some people thought that might be a tricky game for them uh con not a bad team they played VMI and then Marshall so outside of Notre Dame didn't really have too much of a challenge in the non-conference uh they did not have to play Florida State last season they did play Clemson and they did play Louisville so it was a you know pretty balanced schedule we look at the Schedule Breakdown schedule for this year and let's break it down first let's look at the non-conference they'll play Western Carolina Tennessee that game will be in Charlotte they'll play Louisiana Tech and Northern Illinois so it's very similar to last year three pretty easy games and then one challenging game in the non-conference just change out Tennessee or change Notre Dame to Tennessee all right the home schedule again those three non-conference games just mentioned Wake Forest Syracuse Stanford and Duke uh NC State's got a really good chance to go undefeated at home this is not a tough schedule at all um so you're talking about potentially seven wins right there not even talking about the road game so that is good news we look at the road schedule um it's not horrible really uh you do have that Tennessee game again neutral sight game at Clemson obviously a very tough place to play all the way across the country to play California at Georgia Tech and at North Carolina but again uh this is not horrible they don't play Louisville they don't play Florida State uh they don't even play Miami I mean uh again they locked out with this schedule this is a very very favorable schedule uh in Schedule Preview the ACC so they'll start with Western Carolina on August 29th that'll be the Thursday night of that opening weekend opening week whatever Tennessee on the seventh again in Charlotte Louisiana Tech on September 14th then they play at Clemson September 21st obviously going to be a really tough game there then a tough place to play of course Northern Illinois on September 28th then they'll play Wake Forest on October 5th and then back home again for cuse on October 12th uh but what do you notice here we're all the way to October 19th and they have not had their first by week they will get it after they play at California and this is at least the second team I've noticed when looking the at these schedules where um the ACC teams after going to California uh they have had a byee the next week which is interesting um you you can do that you can do that but you can't do it on the other side because C and Stanford they're going to have to go across the country four times so you can't put a bye after all those games uh so maybe a little bit of a disadvantage there for K and Stamford and I don't know if they did that for every team that goes on the road to play them again I just noticed that a couple times and interestingly enough after they play Stanford but that'll be at home on November 2nd after that first bye and they play Duke that game will be at home on the 9th and then it's on the road at Georgia Tech after their second bye so they have a bye two games and another byee and they'll play Georgia Tech on a Thursday night game on the road in then North Carolina to close things out so that kind of works out to where you know you don't have a short week you've got a byee before that week night game and so that's favorable as well I mean there's just a lot a lot to like about this schedule if you're an NC State fan you know Tennessee of course will be tough than non-conference Clemson on the road that'll be really tough but I mean they realistically could win every other game on this schedule um and I'm not saying they can't beat Tennessee or Clemson but let's just say they don't uh they could realistically win every other game on this schedule and they could lose several games as well but um it gives them a chance NC State is definitely a contender in the ACC uh if they're a good team if nothing else just because of this schedule obviously if they wind up dropping off a lot they'll they'll lose several games but if they're similar to how they were last year with the schedule yeah they're a very serious Contender so let's look at the Previous Projections projections from last year before we get to these the 2024 projections of course they were 9 and3 in the regular season they were 8-4 or our excuse me our projection was eight and four so missed by one game even though I predicted them to go six- six Aton predicted them to go s and five and the over under was at 6 and A2 so the projection was actually closer than anything else again it'll the same formula that we Ed to to do this projection that I'm about to show you but if you go back to last year I said that I felt like NC State or Pittsburgh one of those teams was going to be a big disappointment and I just couldn't figure out which team it was and I got it wrong and obviously pit was worse than six and six but um I I just felt like one of those teams I it was weird just looking at their rosters and everything I just felt like one of those teams was going to disappoint and again it wound up being Pittsburgh not NC State NC State had a very solid season Projections so let's get to the projections this is a scale that we use less than 20 over 80 those are games that are counted pretty much as guaranteed wins or losses 20 to 29 71 to 80 games where I think this spread will be double digits uh 10 to 10 to 16 maybe in that range 30 to 39 61 to 70 games where I think the spread will be about a touchdown 6 7 8 n points and then the 40 to 60 those are your 50/50 games games that really could go either way and games where I think the spread will be you know less than six or seven if we're talking a field goal three four five points in that round so we'll start with easy wins and they get three of them so I mean we've done several ACC teams already and most of those teams do not have three easy wins so already a big Advantage for NC State I just don't really see them having any trouble with Western Carolina Louisiana Tech or Northern Illinois so if you get three wins right already that's a good start and then I think they'll be favored in these games Wake Forest Syracuse Stanford and Duke by about you know probably eight or nine points maybe more it's you know it's it's February when I'm recording this I think the video will actually be up on March 1st but um it's still very early and it's it's hard to know really how good you know Wake Forest they weren't very good last year Syracuse wasn't very good last year but they've got a lot of roster changes uh Stanford don't expect a whole lot out of them Duke was pretty good last year but they've got a coaching change so it you know it's it's very early I think NC State could wind up being more than a seven or eight point favorite in these games but again with the formula that we use the tier system that we use these teams are all a tier below NC State that's why these games are in the purple because they're home games and they're against a tier a team a tier below them so how about games where they'll be underdogs I think Tennessee and Clemson I talked about this earlier I think Tennessee will be about a touchdown favorite in this game and I think Clemson will be about a touchdown favorite in in that game just because it's on the road if this game was at NC State I would call it a 50/50 game but on the road that's that's why that one winds up in the yellow here so two games that again NC State can win but I think they will clearly be underdogs in and then that leaves Cal Georgia Tech and North Carolina three Road games against teams that I think NC State is better than but because they're on the road that's why they wind up as 5050 games so these are all games again that NC State I believe is the better team and I think they're probably going to be favored in all three of these games uh kind of watching Georgia Tech they might actually be pretty good could be a borderline top 25 team if that's the case then maybe they're underdogs in that game but overall I would say they probably will be about a fi goal favorite in all three of these games but all three of them on the road um that's tough you know to win all of those games on the road is going to be tough for NC State so if they lose one of those and lose to Tennessee and Clemson they're right back to 9 and three you lose a couple of them you're at 8 and4 and it's a disappointing season uh you win them all gets to 10- two and we're talking about NC State in the playoff conversation we're talking about NC State as a team that maybe gets to to the ACC Championship probably does if they only have one conference loss to Clemson so uh NC State schedule sets up well for them what does it give us in the projection well it gives us a projected record of 8-4 so eight- four the projection here and again you've got the two games where they're going to be underdogs 35050 games four games where they're not going to be favored by a ton and that will tell us that they're probably going to lose four games I think they have a really good chance to do better than that uh with the schedule but again projection for them with our formula is 8 and4 do you guys agree do you disagree give me your thoughts on NC State down in the comments below