Nate Silver prediction is wrong according to Allan Lichtman

Nate Sila predicted that Trump will win but Allan lickman predicts KLA Harris will win Alan liman's been predicting for over 40 years Nate Sila is his being a statistici is questionable because many think he's biased especially towards Trump here's here's this interview of presidential elections historian American University Professor Alan lickman has correctly predicted outcomes of presidential contest since 1984 except for the one Bush versus Gore in 2000 his formula includes 13 different elements that he calls Keys canidate has to meet the vast majority when he joined us in early July before President Biden exited the race he predicted Biden would beat Trump and of course with the unprecedented switch of the democratic nominee Professor lickman has forecasted Harris will Top the former president uh contrasting with pollster Nate Silver's uh predictions that we were just talking about earlier uh that said uh that the former president will be the winner so who will it be here to discuss what his keys are uh is Professor lickman uh we are delighted to have you uh join us and Professor I'd like to just start it off with you have uh Harris taking eight of those keys Trump having three of those keys and two of those keys are somewhat uh unclear in terms of the foreign policy ele element of it what went into deciding uh that that super majority for uh Harris with those keys let me explain uh my system ignores the pundits who don't have a scientific basis for their opinions and the posters like Nate silver who are so often wrong when I predicted Trump in 2016 silver was predicting a win for Hillary Clinton at about three quarters then of course when she l lost he said see I told you there was more than a 20% chance she would lose so he can never be right he can never be wrong he's just a clerk who compiles polls and also has no scientific basis the keys are a scientific model that tap into how presidential elections really work as votes up or down on the strength and performance of The White House party and the way it works if the White House Party loses six or more keys they are predicted losers otherwise they are predicted winners and definitively Parris has lost six of the needed six keys to predict her defeat party mandate based on US House losses for Democrats in 2022 incumbency because the sitting president is no longer running and incumbant Charisma because she's not a Franklin Roosevelt the only other two key that are in play are the two foreign policy military policy failure and success keys and I split them I said Gaza is a failure it's a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight we don't have boots on the ground but we are deeply invested there and I gave Biden a success for Ukraine it was Biden and Biden alone that put together the Coalition of the West that stopped Putin from conquering Ukraine and threatening our NATO allies his continued support has let Ukraine survive for more than two and a half years and even bring the battle to Russia this will go down as an historic presidential achievement so that's four Keys too short of the six Keys needed to predict Harris's defeat even if you didn't believe about the foreign policy success that's still just five Keys the worst case scenario she's still one key short of the six Keys needed to predict her defeat that's why my prediction and of course I'm a human being I could be wrong but I have a track record of 40 years before I think Nate Silva was even born and uh I am predicting we're going to have a path breaking president the first woman president of the United States and the first president of African and East Asian descent so I