then went up into the Deep South 19 years ago. All right. So let's talk about the tropics. I know some of you might be wondering where has everything been given all the forecasts for a hyperactive year? Well, even in extremely active years, there can be lulls. In fact, oftentimes there are this quiet spell I do think is going to have very interesting consequences because there's been nothing in the peak part of summer, the water has gotten so much warmer than it already was. Meaning now that the water temperatures are going to stay hotter, longer, well into fall and it wouldn't shock me at all if we had storms into November this year. Given how hot the water is and where this quiet spell coincided with the summer months. Here's the next wave we're tracking out there. It's got a medium chance of development now. We'll get an update from the Hurricane Center at 8:00 tonight. This bears close watching. I'm not quite sure yet, to be honest. If it will actually develop, but if it does, it could really take off. Why things have struggled the last few weeks is because the waves off Africa have come off so far north. They've run into this unusually big dust plume and they've been killed off before they could get further west. Well, this wave is kind of on the southern end of that dust plume, and it's going to have a good chance to try and do something as we head into next week. You see, on the water vapor. There it is. There's not a lot of dry air in front of it, which is part of the reason why it has a almost 5050 chance at this point to develop. So over the next couple of days in the green, very hostile. It should not develop once it gets to the yellow area here over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, early next week, conditions should become more favorable for development. But if it survives the long trek towards us the end of next week, that's my concern, is that the environmental conditions between the shear and the ocean temps will be highly supportive for a tropical system, and here's the big concern any system passing through the Caribbean, I think like 2005 level storms of Rita. Wilma. We already saw Beryl this year in July and the water was nowhere near as hot as it is now. In July, when Beryl went through here, Beryl already got to Cat five. Strength in the Caribbean. So that's my concern through the rest of the season is if we get storms through the Caribbean here in the southern Gulf, right off Florida's east coast, the water temperatures are at historical highs right now, and they will stay that way for a while. Here's the European model. This is what it's thinking about a 50% chance we see Francine, you see here tracking south of Hispaniola by the 5th of September, then a second wave behind it. Right now the European gives that also about a 50% chance of development into Gordon towards the end of next week. So right now we've got a lull for a few more days. But this system here in Francine, if it's able to survive a hostile period in the environment for the next few days, next week things could get a little more interesting because it appears the window for that to steer away and recurve out to sea is probably pretty small. So if that does become something, it would be aimed towards the southeast U.S. next weekend. Right now we're just watching those storms each day, which the storm chances will