what is up everybody Matt Moda here and what we're going to do in this video is we're going to talk about some NFL player props for Friday Night Football not sure we've had a Friday night game before but we do have one this week Friday night between the Packers and the Eagles I have three plus money Banger NFL player props for you guys to lock in for this game now I'm recording this before the Thursday night game has finished because I'm planning on having this video Drop as soon as Thursday night football game ends we can all get pumped for Friday Night Football so I unfortunately do not have a recap for you guys but let's assume that we had a great day on Thursday night and that we are hoping to keep the momentum up for Friday I do have stats from last year for you guys I kind of had a bunch of different categories for how I played the NFL what you need to know for this video is that player props are by far what I do the best when I am locking in plays and that was the case last year for the NFL I ended the season up around 20 units which isn't amazing admittedly it was like 10% Roi or so which is not bad of course it wasn't the best season in the world hoping to have a better season this year hopefully it started Thursday night hopefully it continues with this video for Friday's game if you are new to my channel I would appreciate it if you could hit that subscribe button and then for this specific video like comment let me know your thoughts if you like my bangers let me know what bangers you have and then I do also have a dub Club the last thing I'll mention is is that dub Club it's five bucks a month gets you everything that I'm playing across all sports so football now basketball later baseball kind of now and then also next year uh five bucks a month gets everything I play sent directly to your phone text email telegram if you're interested check that out the link is in the description if not no problem let's start talking about some bangers play number one I am taking sequin Barkley anytime touchdown plus 105 I at DraftKings now one thing that I do want to start is that these odds at plus 105 are really really good compared to the rest of the market now I use OD Jam to line shop FanDuel prices this at minus 130 Caesars prices this at minus 110 we're getting it at DraftKings at plus 105 really really good play now we're going to talk about Herz later I promise this is not a play because I'm fading the tush push I'm fading Jaylen Herz is rushing or anything like that this is really just a play Fading what happened to DeAndre Swift Last year it was remarkable how many times DeAndre Swift got tackled at the one yard line and how many times he got carries inside the five but could not score the Eagles were uh in terms of running back Rush rate I just saw this on Twitter via Ian um harvit I believe is how you pronounce his last name hopeing I'm not just totally butchering that but he tweeted out a stat the Eagles were number one in running back Rush attempts between the two yard line and the 5 yard line in the Red Zone they were 30th in running back Rush attempts at the one yard line because they would just run the tush push it was amazing how many times like I said DeAndre Swift got tackled at the one and if you look at just the entire season DeAndre Swift had the 11th most carries inside the 5 yard line last year he had 14 total he only had four touchdowns on those 14 carries that's a terrible conversion rate when you get to that money Zone for context you look at the 10 players above him nine of those 10 had five or more touchdowns only one of them did not that was Tony Pard who also had a terrible year nine of those 10 above him had five or more touchdowns had more than DeAndre Swift's four you look at players that had 13 or fewer carries inside the 5 yard line eight of them had more touchdowns than DeAndre Swift Kem hunt had 12 carries inside the five had six touchdowns it was amazing how many times he got tackled at the one yard line and you figure if you play out that year and simulate it 100 times he ends up with more than four touchdowns on those 14 carries Eagles had a good offensive line either it's a skill problem for DeAndre Swift or it was just incredibly unlucky with how frequently he got tackled inside the 5 yard line it's hard to believe that the same thing is going to happen to Squan Barkley whether you think he's cooked or not it's probably going to be better in the Red Zone than DeAndre Swift was last year now the last point I'll make part of this is just hearsay me being a little bit of body language doctor or whatever you want to call it not rooted in data I think the Eagles are really really going to want to come out in week one and prove that the money that they spent on saquin Barkley was money well spent we all saw the drama with saquin and the Giants in that hard knock offseason Edition and then the Eagles paid him real money I think they're going to get him involved early and often and I think they're really really going to try to get him a touchdown whether that comes to fruition or not who knows what I do know is that the plus 105 is incredible value gladly put a unit on that bad boy next up our second play of the game I am also putting one unit on Jaylen Herz anytime touchdown plus 130 odds at DraftKings I know that I'm already putting a unit on saquon I'm very very confident that one of them is going to score a touchdown so if that's the case if you agree that one of them is going to score well then it makes sense to put money on both of them because both are plus money so I put one unit on each if one of them scores we will have made money granted if it's just saquin we'd be up 0.05 units that's still money if you ask me and honestly it would not be crazy if both scored you know have a running back and a quarterback had rushing touchdowns in the same game before yeah and if there's ever a team to do that it would be these Eagles and also I don't know if DraftKings is just trying to get more users on their lame platform their odds for these anytime touchdowns we're going to see this in my Sunday video when that drops their their odds are giving out of crazy that includes the plus 130 odds that DraftKings is giving us on Jaylen Herz to score a rushing touchdown that when you compare the plus 130 to every other book the closest book is at plus 110 that's one book is at plus 110 every other book is either at plus 100 or even we see minus 110 and again we're getting this at plus 130 now yeah we don't know what the Eagles push push is going to look like without Jason Kelce because they've literally never run it without Jason Kelce they've run it incredibly successfully he's always been there my guess is that a the Eagles are going to run it until the teams show that they can stop it and I still think that the Eagles are going to be able to be successful with it with Jaylen Herz running it at quarterback who can squat 700 lb now it's of course not all Jaylen Herz some of it is the fact he can squat like 700 lb and again great price at plus 130 keep in mind this is a Jaylen Herz that scored at least one touchdown in 11 of 17 regular season games last year you go back to the last two years at least one touchdown in 23 of 35 games that he's played in the last two seasons and last year he had four games with multiple touchdowns so the ceiling is you want you want to take double touchdown double Tater on Jaylen Herz by all means would love that and again unless teams show that they can stop the tush push I think the Eagles are going to continue to run it if J saquon Barkley gets unlucky gets tackled at the one or receiver whatever somebody goes down at the one they're going to run the tush push and even if it's not from a tush push it's just a QB draw Jaylen Herz scrambles whatever it may be all reports out of training camp in Philadelphia was a that Herz looked good in general not quite as good as 2022 but better than last year but they also think that he looked a lot more spry whether he was dealing with an injury who knows what happened with Herz last year all reports out of Camp is that they're using his legs a lot and that he looks again more spry than he did last year so if one of these guys score a touchdown we're profiting if both score a touchdown we're very profitable let's hope for that next up our last play of the game I'm putting a half unit on Jordan love to have three or more passing touchdowns this is at plus 300 odds at bet three 65 if this bad boy cashes that would be incredible because of the odds that we are getting now again I only put a half unit on this bad boy I do think that Jaylen or excuse me that Jordan love has a chance to blow up this season and I also think that he has a chance to blow up in this game specifically so that's kind of why I'm playing this but again the plus 300 odds show you that's a little bit less likely to hit so go ahead and lower that unit size a little bit and I will admit using last year's stats is not super relevant for the eagles they have a new defensive coordinator the defense last year was a complete and utter joke announcers would watch the Eagles and think that the defensive line the linebackers in the secondary we're all playing three different schemes that's not going to be the case this year this is not a play because of a fade of the Eagles defense this is a play because of how high I am on Jordan love and because of how past happy the Packers are with Jordan love and even more specifically how pass happy they are in the Red Zone last year Jordan love attempted the third most Red Zone passes in the NFL the two QBs above him Dak Prescott Patrick Mahomes pretty good company he also is tied with two other quarterbacks with the second most Red Zone passing touchdowns in the NFL he had 29 Red Zone passing passing touchdowns again tied with two other quarterbacks with that 29 we get even closer to the end zone even more um efficient more high value these passing attempts are still looks prettyy good for Jordan love had the fourth most passing attempts inside the 10 yard line last year with the third most passing touchdowns inside the 10 he had 20 passing touchdowns inside the 10 I know it's a little bit confusing only one spot behind Dak Prescott who had 21 and then if there's a touchdown outside the Red Zone most likely that is coming from a pass from Jordan love so I think that Jordan love has the possibility to blow up this year I like his receivers Jaden Reed could take a step forward davien Wix could take a step forward Romeo dos is reliable Christian Watson if he can stay healthy is good and then as for the Eagles secondary they are much improved on paper it would not be a total shock if they came out and struggled out of the gate especially in week one like three of the five positions are new starters now one of them chony Gardner Johnson Jr was on the team two years ago but not on the team last year not as part of this defensive coordinator uh that's new and they also have a new nickel position and a new outside starting quarterback whether it's quinan Mitchell who's a rookie if he's making a a start as a rookie they're going to want to see they're going to want to test him see if he's good if it's not him it's going to be a new starter regardless so only two of the five positions are starters from last year I think it would not be a shock if they struggled out of the gate so I really really like Jordan love this year I really really like Jordan love in this game so I'm putting a half unit on him to record three plus passing touchdowns and that's all we got three total bangers for you guys to lock in get any combination of two of these bad boys to cash and we are sitting pretty if we just get the Jordan Love play to cash then at least that does a dent into our potential if we did not win the other two would that be a terrible day let's hope we get all three start the year after a great Thursday night game that definitely already happened hopefully we start the year with another good game on Friday and that's all we got appreciate everybody for watching make sure to like the video comment subscribe all that good stuff check out the dub Club if you are interested and have a good good one