hello and welcome back to political predictions as you can tell with the title this video is going to be about how kamla Harris is crashing in the betting markets in the 2024 presidential election so as we can see here KLA Harris according to poly Market has a 46% chance of winning the presidency compared to Donald Trump's 53% chance and that seems like it's pretty close and it is however look at how it has changed recently so after Joe Biden dropped out or after the debate really Joe Biden has completely crashed Joe Biden crashed and then he dropped out of the race Kam Hara skyrocketed this is where we saw she was skyrocketing in the polls however there's one thing wrong with this she wasn't doing any interview she wasn't doing really anything she wasn't showing her policies as much and she really wasted an opportunity with so much momentum for the Democratic party as we can see here she jumped up to having as high as a 55 54% chance of winning the presidency compared to Donald TRS 44 that's a 10-point margin which is pretty good for her however she has since lost that and slowly but surely Donald Trump has taken a lead and now it is 53 to 46 and at comma Harris's pink Peak if we go to um I think it was in like August or something we can see here that KLA Harris was supposed to win was Consin Michigan Pennsylvania Nebraska second Maine or Minnesota Virginia uh Maine New Hampshire Nevada she was supposed to win most of the Swing states she was still supposed to lose Arizona but it was extremely close still supposed to lose Georgia extremely close north carinaa extremely close even States like Ohio were not for certain to go to Donald Trump at this time it seemed like they was leaning for in K Harris's favor however slowly but surely she seems to have lost this momentum and even when the DNC happened she still did not gain any momentum from it she really didn't see a convention bump like we saw for Donald Trump in 2016 and Joe Biden for 2020 we really did not see this and this is very very problematic for the KLA Harris campaign cuz she may have just wasted an opportunity to pretty much hand the election to her she had so much momentum behind her but she just didn't do anything with it she didn't do any interviews until the CNN went she did a few days ago and this was a good decision by her she really needed it but it seemed like it was too late it seems like it is too late because look at what's happened now we can see that now the first thing that happened was Nevada flipped Republican according to poly market then Pennsylvania flipped and now it seemed like Wisconsin Mich and uh Mi Wisconsin and Michigan might flip Republican as well Wisconsin now just has a 56% chance actually a 55.5% chance of going to kamla Harris which is the worst that we've seen uh in days for her we've not seen something this we've not seen this bad of a margin for her since uh since mid August so this is basically when she was at her Peak since then we've not seen anything as worse as this for KLA Harris uh since really pretty much when she became uh the Democratic nominee for sure so this is very very troubling news for KLA Harris and also this comes on top of when KLA Harris already has a disadvantage in the Electoral College Democrats need to win by 3% to win the electoral college because uh Democrats need more popular vote than uh Republicans do that's shown in 2016 Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2% but then she lost the Electoral College so Democrats need about 3% uh to win the electoral college 3% more than Republicans in the popular vote and if she's supposed to lose Pennsylvania North Carolina Georgia Nevada Arizona that's five of the seven swing States so she's already had disadvantage in the Electoral College and now she's projected to lose five of the seven swing States and now she's projected to lose the popular vote by enough or she's projected not to win the popular vote by enough to win the electoral college things are looking pretty bad for her however she can still turn this around she needs to do more interviews that is the main thing that she needs to do she needs to show her policies Donald Trump has done a great job of this Donald Trump has shown his policies to pretty much everyone everyone knows Donald Trump's policies not many people know KET Harris's policies and that has allowed Republicans to portray her as someone who flip-flops on her policies and it has worked very well so the Republicans seem to be a pretty good spot right now it seemed like KLA Harris might win the election but now she's losing Steam and Donald Trump is picking up steam and it seems like he might be winning the presidential election so thank you all for watching this video if you did please like And subscribe and we we're halfway to 500 subscribers which is my goal by the election so if you could please like And subscribe and I'll see you all in the next video goodbye