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Category: People & Blogs

Back on the wall now you going to see better watch how you talk when you talk about me cuz i'll come and take if you want to really see something that said take a look what [music] [music] happened i'm st living Read more

Category: News & Politics

According to astrology mars is squaring neptune which means that from energy vampires to draining schedules you need to root out what's zapping your spirit the election is basically one big energy vampire if you think about [music] it hello and welcome to the 538 politics podcast i'm gayen dro and folks... Read more

Category: News & Politics

We already had this conversation once in the cycle because we had actually the first presidential debate in june but how much might we expect these kinds of affairs to shape the election well we've already had maybe the most consequential presidential debate in history probably i guess you'd have to... Read more

Category: News & Politics

We got a podcast full of singers yeah what part do you sing i'm a first tener usually first alto okay well we can create our own ac capella group right here on the 538 podcast we should come up with a song to do 525,600 voters okay we're not talking about love we're talking about data seasons of data... Read more

Category: News & Politics

Jeffrey do you think that this jobs report or any other economic data that is going to come out between now and election day is going to matter uh to who ends up winning in november i think it could matter very narrowly at the margins i think the the okay so the whole idea of like the jobs report being... Read more

Category: News & Politics

So you know normally i try to you know drink a little bit of coffee or something before these late night podcasts maybe a diet coke but uh i honestly um i don't think i need it you're just on a natural high i don't think i need it that's that you espresso that's that me espresso that debate was me espresso... Read more

Category: News & Politics

But it does seem like there is a lot more volatility or malleability in americans perceptions of harris and she didn't do quite as much to maybe define herself as the moderate on the economy or immigration or things where she might have been seen as vulnerable like she addressed the immigration portion... Read more

Category: News & Politics

So abortion was mentioned a total of one time during the first debate and i think that was used as evidence that biden was incapable of sort of pivoting the conversation towards democrats strengths whereas this time around it was mentioned eight times either abortion or reproductive care and i think... Read more

Category: Science & Technology

Exposing the early polls that say kamla harris won the first debate against donald trump you need to watch this if you're following the presidential race closely early polls are in and they suggest kamla harris came out on top in the first presidential debate against former president donald trump multiple... Read more

Category: People & Blogs

Those uh six or seven swing states including nevada that will really tell the tale yeah they certainly are the race what about the endorsement from taylor swift i'm around 250 million followers on instagram many of them young women but i can't imagine many of them were unaware of her support for kamla... Read more

Category: News & Politics

Ruth nathaniel walked us through literally how we got here but this was not pre-ordained i mean had there not been a debate we could still be here in september with biden um at the top of the ticket the party didn't need to rally around harris the way it did and also it probably wasn't written in the... Read more

Category: News & Politics

Well yeah it's also interesting because while she is improving notably with these groups she's in many cases still shy of where biden was in 2020 with these groups whether it's young voters or latino voters and also when you look at some of the states where she's turned around democrats lot like it... Read more

Category: News & Politics

And we see that harris has an advantage even a greater advantage than biden did on things like abortion protecting democracy healthcare and one one area where we've seen sort of real tightening is on crime and safety it seems like she's improved notably over where biden was compared to trump is that... Read more

Category: News & Politics

An underrated aspect of this year's elections the british election was on july 4th and the american election is on november 5th aka guy fox day that's true oh yeah y fireworks for britain in america and then fireworks for america in britain okay well somebody just described our last round of polling... Read more

Category: News & Politics

 tim miller, your thoughts. well,  nicole, i mean, in some ways, obviously,   this is a shock. it's an earthquake. dick cheney,  darth vader, uh, voting for the democrats, uh,   should be a wake up call to everybody. um,  that's really not that much of a surprise,   especially when you consider the... Read more

Category: News & Politics

So another thing that's going to happen over the next two months is a lot of talk about polling error ruth what sources of error in this election keep you up at night oo all sources of error keep me up at night um but i will no right yeah i have small kids i'm never sleeping um there are three things... Read more

Category: News & Politics

We have seen a trend in the cycle i mean it was more exacerbated under biden but i think we're still seeing it with harris is that there's softness amongst young voters and democrats seem to be holding up decently well with older voters and you know if we're thinking about oh what do people remember... Read more

Category: News & Politics

So britney i know that we have made uh you answering this question difficult by asking you to jump right on this podcast with us as soon as the debate ended but what are you hearing in the spin room about how the surrogates are trying to spin the performances of the two candidates well i mean i just... Read more

Category: People & Blogs

There is a word of warning isn't that that their candidate in 2016 hillary clinton probably won all three debates and yet still lost the general election sure and we'll really see the effect of this debate over the course of the next week we won't have particularly good scientific polling until about... Read more

Category: News & Politics

Nate silver has released his new prediction model for the 2024 us presidential election the model shows the race to 270 electoral votes and uses a very high certainty threshold we start the analysis by identifying safe states where both candidates have a 99% or higher probability of winning before we... Read more